Chris Elmendorf Profile picture
Oct 11 23 tweets 7 min read Read on X
BIG new decision from Court of Appeal on housing-element law.

@DRand2024 says mid-cycle builder's remedy projects are coming soon. S/t one small caveat, I agree!

The decision also has big implications for sites analysis. Is p(dev) approach now de facto required?

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The court's first holding concerns the detailed statutory requirements for rezoning for "lower income" RHNA.

GC 65583.2(h) spells out minimum density requirements (16 or 20 du/acre) for sites that cities rezone to make up a "lower-income RHNA shortfall."

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In Martinez v. Clovis, Court of Appeal held that an "overlay" zone violates these min-density requirements if residential use (at lower density) is allowed by base zoning.


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Today's decision in New Commune v. Redondo Beach extends Martinez to, inter alia, prohibit use of overlay zones for lower-income RHNA on sites where base zoning allows industrial or commercial development.

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It holds, first, that base zoning can't allow residential or commercial use b/c that's tantamount to allowing development at residential density = 0, contrary to the min density requirement of GC 65583.2(h).

I think this holding is wrong.

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It's wrong b/c 65583.2(h)(2) clearly authorizes cities to allow non-residential uses on some lower-income sites if 50% or more of lower-income RHNA is assigned to sites zones exclusively for residential use.

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Next, court says that city's overlay zone can't be squared with "mixed-use exception" in 65583.2(h)(2), which allows cities to rely on mixed-use sites for 100% of lower-income RHNA if zoning requires that residential use "occupy 50 percent of the total floor area."

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Court says that city's base-zoning allowance for industrial & commercial use means that there's no guarantee that residential use will comprise at least 50% of a project on the site.

I think this holding is probably correct.

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But it also leads to hard questions!

Let's say there's a small, 100% commercial building on site to which city has allocated lower-income RHNA via an overlay for mixed-use projects (> 50% residential).

Owner wants to do repairs. Allowed?

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Or prohibited, b/c the repairs are a "project" and projects are only allowed if they result in structures that are >= 50% residential by square footage?

I don't know and the opinion doesn't say.

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The court's other big holding is about the new requirement that cities show that an existing use of a nonvacant site is "likely to be discontinued" during planning period.

This requirement applies if city relies on nonvacant sites for > 50% of lower-income RHNA.

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Despite HCD's approval of this housing element, and despite statutory presumption that HCD's determination was correct, the court found that city improperly relied on a site w/ an existing grocery store.

City did not show that grocery use was "likely to be discontinued."

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And, under terms of the grocery store's lease, the grocery store had the right to block housing development on a parking lot which the property owner had told the city they wanted to develop for housing.

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This holding looks fact-bound but it's a doozy.

There's no practical way for a city of any size to learn *all* the relevant lease terms & private covenants that govern uses of *all* the sites that are plausible candidates for redevelopment & that city needs for RHNA.

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The *only* practicable solution is to do what San Francisco agreed to do in its housing element: Discount sites' nominal capacity by a plausible estimate of their probability of development during the planning period.

(In lieu of site by site studies of existing leases.)

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The court didn't discuss the p(dev) alternative to site-by-site investigations, but I'm happy to report that it relied on the paper where I first proposed that approach (w / @elpaavo, @eric_biber & Moira O'Neill).

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The court adopted a core argument of our paper, which is that AB 1397's new requirements for realism is sites analysis should be implemented with an focus on what the sites can realistically be expected *to yield* during the planning period.

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This a great news, and I think it will put pressure on HCD and the Legislature to come up with guidelines & safe harbors for the p(dev) approach.

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Last thing: Are cities that used an overlay to do their housing-element rezoning automatically in the builder's remedy penalty box as of today?

No.

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As I read AB 1886 (2024), a city once found to be compliant by HCD or a court remains in compliance for purposes of the Builder's Remedy until HCD or a court revokes the finding of compliance.

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So Redondo Beach is subject to the BR (b/c the Court of Appeal just announced that it is not in substantial compliance), but every other city with an "illegal" overlay zone is still in the clear--for now!

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But cities should fix their overlay zones ASAP, b/c HCD may initiate the revocation process against many of them soon, and if HCD doesn't act quickly, YIMBY groups are sure to sue.

/end
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More from @CSElmendorf

Nov 9
I stumbled across the work of Arthur E. Stamps III this morning and, wow, my eyes have been opened!

He's was (is?) an architect in San Francisco who wrote scores of academic papers on the mass public's aesthetic preferences & the failure of "design review" to serve them.

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His studies show that San Francisco's Great Downzoning (1970s & early 1980s) was an answer to the public's genuine aesthetic dislike of residential dingbats and downtown "refrigerator towers."

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The city planning department had tried to address the public's dislike of midcentury "plain box" style by mandating bay windows. That yielded "Richmond Specials" -- a slight improvement, but still substantially disfavored by public relative to random sample of existing bldgs.

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Read 19 tweets
Nov 1
If builder's remedy comes to San Francisco, the city's anti-demolition / displacement rules go out the window.

For progressive supes & tenant orgs who believe what they say about those rules, enacting a compliant rezoning & constraint removal plan should be Priority #1.

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Explanation:

- s/t narrow exceptions, a city may not impose any local requirements on a builder's remedy project that EITHER (1) render project infeasible, OR (2) prevent a project that meets certain requirements from being constructed "as proposed by the applicant"

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- any local rule or procedure that prevents the demolition of the existing structure on a lot almost surely will "render the project infeasible"

- the exceptions, enumerated in GC 65589.5(d)(1)-(4), do not include tenant or old-building protections

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Read 11 tweets
Oct 30
The SF City Economist report on city's housing-element rezone is a nice bookend to the Court of Appeal's decision last month in New Commune v. Redondo Beach.

Put them together, and it's clear that pretty drastic reforms to CA's Housing Element Law are in order.

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Crux of New Commune: If city does fact-intensive, site-specific analysis of "realistic" capacity for new housing, any frustrated YIMBY can dredge up an existing lease, go to court, and get the judge to put the city in Builder's Remedy penalty box.

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Import of S.F. City Economist report (together w/ HCD's correspondence w/ city thus far): If city instead uses p(dev) method to gauge its plan's capacity, city will be at mercy of the inexpert model gods at HCD.

Who knows what model they'll bless?

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Read 20 tweets
Oct 30
California, home of the world's 4th largest economy & several of its top econ departments, has spent 50 years "planning for housing need" w/o availing itself of economic expertise.

The game is up, courtesy of the S.F. city economist. My op-ed in today's @sfchronicle ⤵️.

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What happened?

Every 8 years, CA cities must adopt a plan, called a "housing element," that shows how they'll accommodate their fair share of regionally needed housing.

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In June 2020, after some back-and-forth w/ regional "council of governments" (but no input from economists) @California_HCD announced the current target for the Bay Area.

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abag.ca.gov/sites/default/…
Read 24 tweets
Oct 21
New CEQA opinion nixing (again!) the voters' repeal of a 30' height limit in San Diego is a near-perfect vehicle for CA Supreme Court to jettison the worst of "Old CEQA."

Very glad that @MayorToddGloria is determined to appeal it.

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Background:

- In 1972, the voters capped heights at 30' "to prevent[] high-rise buildings from obstructing 'needed open breezes, sky & sunshine,'" and to "protect[] against unwanted population density with its problems of ... lack of parking space, increased crime[, etc.]"

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- the 1972 San Diego ballot measure defined "coastal zone" to include not only environmentally sensitive area, but also a big swath of industrially zoned land b/t the freeways

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Read 33 tweets
Oct 16
I read the @CAForever Specific Plan. It's exciting!

Here's a 🧵w/ some highlights & questions.

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First off: the grid & internal transit plan is fantastic.

There's a bike/ped/greenway grid; a slow-car/bike/ped grid; and transit/faster-car grid.

What other city has a citywide grid of bus rapid transit, with BRT lines every 1/2 mile both north-south & east-west?

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Parking:

- Street and public-garage parking will be variable-rate metered 24/7 from the get-go.
- Residents may rent a monthly spot in a public garage.
- No parking minimums for residential projects.

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Read 25 tweets

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