Chris Elmendorf Profile picture
Oct 11, 2025 23 tweets 7 min read Read on X
BIG new decision from Court of Appeal on housing-element law.

@DRand2024 says mid-cycle builder's remedy projects are coming soon. S/t one small caveat, I agree!

The decision also has big implications for sites analysis. Is p(dev) approach now de facto required?

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The court's first holding concerns the detailed statutory requirements for rezoning for "lower income" RHNA.

GC 65583.2(h) spells out minimum density requirements (16 or 20 du/acre) for sites that cities rezone to make up a "lower-income RHNA shortfall."

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In Martinez v. Clovis, Court of Appeal held that an "overlay" zone violates these min-density requirements if residential use (at lower density) is allowed by base zoning.


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Today's decision in New Commune v. Redondo Beach extends Martinez to, inter alia, prohibit use of overlay zones for lower-income RHNA on sites where base zoning allows industrial or commercial development.

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It holds, first, that base zoning can't allow residential or commercial use b/c that's tantamount to allowing development at residential density = 0, contrary to the min density requirement of GC 65583.2(h).

I think this holding is wrong.

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It's wrong b/c 65583.2(h)(2) clearly authorizes cities to allow non-residential uses on some lower-income sites if 50% or more of lower-income RHNA is assigned to sites zones exclusively for residential use.

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Next, court says that city's overlay zone can't be squared with "mixed-use exception" in 65583.2(h)(2), which allows cities to rely on mixed-use sites for 100% of lower-income RHNA if zoning requires that residential use "occupy 50 percent of the total floor area."

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Court says that city's base-zoning allowance for industrial & commercial use means that there's no guarantee that residential use will comprise at least 50% of a project on the site.

I think this holding is probably correct.

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But it also leads to hard questions!

Let's say there's a small, 100% commercial building on site to which city has allocated lower-income RHNA via an overlay for mixed-use projects (> 50% residential).

Owner wants to do repairs. Allowed?

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Or prohibited, b/c the repairs are a "project" and projects are only allowed if they result in structures that are >= 50% residential by square footage?

I don't know and the opinion doesn't say.

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The court's other big holding is about the new requirement that cities show that an existing use of a nonvacant site is "likely to be discontinued" during planning period.

This requirement applies if city relies on nonvacant sites for > 50% of lower-income RHNA.

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Despite HCD's approval of this housing element, and despite statutory presumption that HCD's determination was correct, the court found that city improperly relied on a site w/ an existing grocery store.

City did not show that grocery use was "likely to be discontinued."

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And, under terms of the grocery store's lease, the grocery store had the right to block housing development on a parking lot which the property owner had told the city they wanted to develop for housing.

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This holding looks fact-bound but it's a doozy.

There's no practical way for a city of any size to learn *all* the relevant lease terms & private covenants that govern uses of *all* the sites that are plausible candidates for redevelopment & that city needs for RHNA.

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The *only* practicable solution is to do what San Francisco agreed to do in its housing element: Discount sites' nominal capacity by a plausible estimate of their probability of development during the planning period.

(In lieu of site by site studies of existing leases.)

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The court didn't discuss the p(dev) alternative to site-by-site investigations, but I'm happy to report that it relied on the paper where I first proposed that approach (w / @elpaavo, @eric_biber & Moira O'Neill).

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The court adopted a core argument of our paper, which is that AB 1397's new requirements for realism is sites analysis should be implemented with an focus on what the sites can realistically be expected *to yield* during the planning period.

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This a great news, and I think it will put pressure on HCD and the Legislature to come up with guidelines & safe harbors for the p(dev) approach.

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Last thing: Are cities that used an overlay to do their housing-element rezoning automatically in the builder's remedy penalty box as of today?

No.

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As I read AB 1886 (2024), a city once found to be compliant by HCD or a court remains in compliance for purposes of the Builder's Remedy until HCD or a court revokes the finding of compliance.

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So Redondo Beach is subject to the BR (b/c the Court of Appeal just announced that it is not in substantial compliance), but every other city with an "illegal" overlay zone is still in the clear--for now!

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But cities should fix their overlay zones ASAP, b/c HCD may initiate the revocation process against many of them soon, and if HCD doesn't act quickly, YIMBY groups are sure to sue.

/end
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More from @CSElmendorf

Jan 22
An architect who does multifamily housing throughout CA told me recently,

"The secret's not out, but San Francisco, erstwhile worst offender, has become one of the easiest places to get projects entitled & permitted in CA."

I asked what changed. He said, "The mayor."

1/5
"Just about everyone in every city dept now understands its their job to get permits issued, quickly. Mangers got their marching orders from @DanielLurie and workflows have gotten much better."

(I'm paraphrasing his remarks.)

/2
S.F. still has all sorts of lousy laws & policies that thwart housing production -- high transfer taxes, high IZ, expensive bespoke code requirements, de facto prohibitions on redevelopment of any building w/ rent-controlled units -- but mgmt apparently is much improved.

/3
Read 5 tweets
Dec 31, 2025
New decision from CA Court of Appeal on the fee-shifting provisions of AB 1633 has big implications for NIMBYs' incentive to challenge housing approvals under CEQA & beyond.

This one belongs in a Law of Abundance casebook.

🧵/24
law.justia.com/cases/californ…Image
Context: As part of the 1970s revolution in admin law, states & the federal gov't actively encouraged self-appointed "private attorneys general" to sue, via attorneys' fee bounties.

/2
Asymmetric fee-shifting provisions were written into scores of public laws: If a plaintiff challenging a gov't decision wins, the gov't has to pay for the plaintiff's attorney; if the plaintiff loses, they don't have to pay for the gov's attorney.

/3 Image
Read 25 tweets
Dec 30, 2025
"For a typical mid-rise apartment in San José, construction costs can exceed $700k–$900k per unit."

I 💯% agree w/ @MattMahanSJ that reducing construction costs should be a top priority for 2026 -- and that this is mainly a job for the state legislature.

🧵/22
Reason #1. CA's fiscal constitution + local political incentives push local govs to extract "value" from development w/ impact fees, IZ & transfer taxes.

This drives up the cost of building enormously.

/2
The state leg should preempt most such fees, IZ, & taxes, ***and create a substitute source of local revenue.***

My preferred alternative: a state parcel tax assessed on the "net potential square feet" or "net potential units" created by upzoning pursuant to state law.

/3
Read 22 tweets
Dec 28, 2025
Could L.A. really land in the Builder's Remedy penalty box, just for f'ing around with a single low-income housing project which a nonprofit developer wants to build on city-owned land?

Yes.

A quick explainer🧵.
In October, @California_HCD sent L.A. a sharply worded letter, warning that the city's housing element had relied on the Venice Dell project both as a "pipeline project" and as part of the city's strategy to "affirmatively further fair housing."

/2

hcd.ca.gov/sites/default/…Image
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The HCD letter also flagged five "policies" and two "programs" in L.A.'s housing element that per HCD should "facilitate the project."

The city's course of action has been "inconsistent with these policies."

/3 Image
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Read 11 tweets
Dec 20, 2025
Cooking in San Diego: A turquoise, 23-story test of the Permit Streamlining Act's new-and-improved "deemed approved" proviso.

This could turn into a big constitutional battle.

🧵/22 Image
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Enacted in 1977, the PSA put time limits on CEQA and other agency reviews of development proposals.

If an agency violated the time limits, the project was to be "deemed approved" by operation of law. Wow!

It proved wholly ineffectual.

/2
As @TDuncheon & I explained, courts first decided that the Leg couldn't possibly have meant for a project to be approved before enviro review was complete.

Ergo, CEQA review must be finalized before the deemed-approval clock starts ticking.

/3

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Read 23 tweets
Dec 5, 2025
In the topsy-turvy world of CA Density Bonus Law:

- San Francisco almost certainly must approve this 25-story project on a site zoned for 4 stories

- The city's new ordinance deregulating density in "well-resourced areas" will operate as de-facto downzoning of such sites

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This project's site is zoned for retail use and is currently occupied by the Marina Safeway.

The zoning classification also allows residential use at density of 1 unit per 600 sqft of lot area or density of nearest residential district, whichever is greater.

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The nearest residential district, RM-4, allows density of 1 unit per 200 sqft of lot area.

That translates into 567 units on site.

Developer proposes to build 790 units, which requires a 39% density bonus (790/567 = 1.39).

/3 Image
Read 21 tweets

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