Thread by @GREENESJ333

Roger Froikin @rlefraim wrote:
"If the hostages are released, I will be very happy about that, but... Part One.

I am not happy at all about the plan proposal of what will come after that hostage release.
1)

The following are what I expect, because everyone seems to look only at the first stages, but I know that Hamas, the Muslim Brotherhood, are thinking long term and planning long term and what they are planning, and I am sure they are, will destabilize the entire region.
2)

I don’t know if Hamas will release all the hostages or if they will continue to play their horrible game, but whether they do or not, my predictions remain the same—only the timing and the degree of violence in the immediate days will change.
3)

Frankly, I think the regional neighbors of Israel in the Arab/Muslim world, many of whom thought Hamas went too far on October 7, 2023 (according to Al-Arabiya), are happy to work to end the violence and
4)

even to shove Hamas, as a part of the Muslim Brotherhood, which is banned in some of the Muslim states, out of the way.

That having been said, one must think like Khaled Mashaal and other Hamas leaders that have survived in safety, sheltered by Turkey and European interests.
5)

So, here is the prediction.

Hamas will claim they are accepting a temporary period of strategic quiet (hudna, in Arabic). Learning from the Qur’an, temporary strategic quiets are for regrouping, rearming, reviewing strategy, and
6)

planning for the day of victory and reversal of setbacks. No goal of peace is part of the ideology.

So, Hamas will emphasize reorganizing in Judea and Samaria, and in Jordan, strengthening their command structure, acquiring weapons, supplied by its allies in Turkey, Iran, &
7)

elsewhere, and educating its people—in a part of the region which already had majority support for Hamas (the reason the Palestine Authority has not had elections).

It will take a bit short of three years.
8)

Then in 2028, while the Americans are mired in a Presidential and Congressional election campaign, and while France and Germany are dealing with governmental instability and EU disunity, and the media in the West is distracted...
9)

Hamas will organize its troops, in Turkarem and Qalqilya, just across the line from the narrow center of Israel, perhaps 1,000s of terrorists, armed, with pickup trucks and motorcycles, and there will be a massive attack,
10)

murdering and burning in Ra’anana, Kfar Saba, and communities from there, westward to the sea. It will dwarf the attack from Gaza on October 7, 2023 in the number killed and the brutality of the attack, and
11)

because where the attack hits, the disruption to Israel roads, railroads, and the general economy will be crippling. Jewish communities in Samaria will be massacred by a mix of armed terrorists and enthusiastic civilians.
12)

And where will the world be? It would repeat the same clichés it said on October 7, 2023. It’s Israel’s fault for daring to not give the Arab Muslims everything they want.

And in Europe, silence so as not to inflame Muslim violence domestically.
13)

Is there a rational alternative? Yes. That is the next message."
14)

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