Swissblock Profile picture
Oct 11 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Most traders see the crash after it happens.

This thread shows how to spot market stress before it breaks, and how to tell if the damage is short-term or structural.

We’ll use two moments — the August ATH and yesterday’s selloff —to show how @bitcoinvector alerts reveal the structure beneath price.

🧵 Read this if you trade volatility ↓
Local Stress (Flash Crash Alert)

Every breakdown begins quietly — as local stress.

⚪️The Flash Crash alert detects short-term volatility shocks before price collapses.

In both August and yesterday, these alerts fired hours ahead of the main move, mapping fast-building downside pressure while most of the market was still calm.That early signal is the first layer of protection.Image
Stabilization (When the Panic Ends)

After each selloff, @bitcoinvector tracks volatility compression to identify when sellers exhaust.

This triggers a “Stabilizing Price” phase 🟢 — showing when local stress fades and the market resets. It helps you know when to pause and when to re-enter — avoiding false recoveries that trap reactive traders.Image
The key question: Was it just stress — or a structural breakdown?

In the chart 👇

(1) Regime Shift Signal → volatility skew flips bearish — first sign of structural change.

(2) Risk-Off Signal → confirms full systemic deterioration — liquidity contraction and prolonged downside risk.

• August ATH: both (1) + (2) triggered → full structural breakdown.
• Yesterday: only (1) → stress elevated, but not systemic yet.Image
The difference between reaction and anticipation is structure.

@bitcoinvector Advanced gives you the same alerts that identify stress before the crowd sees it —
from Flash Crash triggers to Regime Shift and Risk-Off transitions.

Stay informed. Stay positioned. Stay ahead.

🔗 Join here → swissblock.net/products/repor…

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More from @swissblock__

Aug 13
With #BTC and #ETH on the verge of marking new all-time highs.

BTC’s price structure remains bullish and intact, despite the early August downside pressure.

The question: is there enough strength to break higher? 👇Image
BTC is fundamentally strong, backed by solid on-chain metrics.

It’s in a state of bullish vitality, but one key driver is missing: increasing liquidity, with fresh capital inflows lagging new market participants.Image
As @woonomic notes, without fresh liquidity, BTC is more likely to stay in a cycle of liquidations and speculation rather than enter a sustained, strong uptrend.

From @bitcoinvector

Read 6 tweets
Jul 31
What’s going on with Bitcoin?

Momentum has failed to ignite.

$BTC attempted to break higher—but the rally stalled above $118K, and momentum flipped back to negative.

Are we in a failed breakout zone?

Let’s break it down 🧵Image
Why is momentum stalling?

Profit-taking is rising—but not as intense as late 2024.
Realized profits grew during July, enough to cap upside and trigger consolidation.

Selling pressure is visible, but not extreme—think cooling, not capitulation.

Chart from @glassnodeImage
96% of supply is in profit.

That’s a double-edged sword:
Strong holders remain
But unrealized gains are tempting sellers
Until demand returns, each bounce invites supply.

The trend is intact—but momentum needs a reset.

Chart from @glassnodeImage
Read 6 tweets
Jul 22
The ultimate breakdown of Bitcoin’s positioning:

Structure, momentum, risk, fundamentals, and market rotation.

Here’s what’s building beneath the surface — and why the cycle isn’t over, it’s evolving.
Chart via @bitcoinvector

Fundamentals are solid: new participants and liquidity have entered the system.

This supports the mid-term bullish case.
But in the short term, buyers are DCA’ing or waiting for volatility or confirmation.

Chart via @bitcoinvector

Risk-Off Signal = stable (1)
Optimal Signal = fading (2)
Price = stuck in range

This is not a breakdown — it’s bullish structure with fading velocity.

Momentum is soft, but structure remains intact.
Compression continues.Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 24
ETH is playing catch-up, and the setup couldn't be clearer (Part 1).

🔹We're entering a phase where capital rotation into Ethereum—and altcoins—has historically triggered explosive upside.

Let’s break down the data 🧵
Green Zones = Accumulation & Expansion Phases

Across all charts, we highlight 5 key green zones—moments where:

🔹ETH and BTC fundamentals aligned
🔹Supply in profit surged
🔹Capital rotated
🔹Alts exploded

ETH is now stepping into Zone 5, and the signs are familiar.Image
BTC Supply in Profit: Topped Out

🔹In Zone 5, over 90% of BTC supply is in profit—similar to past cycle peaks.
🔹This suggests upside is becoming asymmetrically limited for BTC short term.

Smart money starts rotating when this happens.Image
Read 4 tweets

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