Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 12, 2025 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
1/6 Russia’s war on Ukraine may have entered its final stage.

However, this stage could be long, brutal, and extremely costly Image
2/6 For the first time in nearly 4 years of full-scale war, long-range strikes are shaping the war’s future more than movements on the front lines Image
3/6 Russia has bombarded Ukraine since day one.

Ukraine has been striking back for over a year.

Now, both sides produce so many drones and missiles that strike campaigns may matter more than territorial control Image
4/6 Ukraine targets refineries, military infrastructure, and Russia’s power grid.

Russia hits everything, including civilians.

Destruction will escalate. Ukraine urgently needs more air defense Image
5/6 Ukraine’s strategy is to bring the war to Russia and make it too costly to continue.

With US intel boosting precision, this approach is working.

It may take time, but it is the only way to accelerate the end Image
6/6 Europe must step up its aid, especially for air defense and long-range strike systems.

Ukraine needs funding, technology, and scale.

This phase will decide the war’s future and how soon it ends Image

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More from @joni_askola

Feb 17
1/12 Peter Thiel is the Bond villain of the 21st century.

He is a powerful oligarch who operates in the shadows while pulling the strings of global politics.

He is potentially the most dangerous man in the world today.

What makes this Epstein-class oligarch so dangerous: Image
2/12 The hypocrisy is absolute.

Thiel is a gay, foreign-born billionaire who built his fortune from liberal California.

He benefited from every protection a democracy provides, yet he now spends his resources trying to dismantle that system for everyone else Image
3/12 His ideology is a dark rejection of the West.

Thiel famously wrote that he no longer believes freedom and democracy are compatible.

He listens to neo-reactionaries like Curtis Yarvin and Aleksandr Dugin Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 16
1/7 Peter Thiel is the ultimate hypocrite.

He is a gay, foreign-born billionaire who built his fortune in liberal California.

He owns JD Vance and runs mass surveillance to fund a fascist movement aimed at destroying the very democracy that once allowed him to succeed Image
2/7 Thiel famously wrote that he no longer believes freedom and democracy are compatible.

This is the ideology of the man who owns JD Vance.

He does not want a better America.

He wants a corporate autocracy where the public is just a managed mob Image
3/7 The hypocrisy is absolute.

While he claims to value liberty, he built Palantir, a mass surveillance empire that harvests your data for the state.

He talks about freedom while selling the tools of total control to government agencies.

He is an enabler of authoritarianism Image
Read 7 tweets
Feb 10
1/12 EU regulation is like kryptonite to our enemies🧵 Image
2/12 There is a reason why Putin, Musk, Trump, Vance, Thiel, and Xi all spend fortunes to attack Brussels.

They do not hate the EU because it fails.

They hate it because of its potential.

Our unity is their nightmare Image
3/12 Think about the strategy. Why do they fund anti-EU movements?

Because they can bully Italy. They can buy Hungary. They can pressure France.

But they cannot bully a unified bloc of 450 million people.

When we stand together, their leverage evaporates Image
Read 12 tweets
Feb 2
1/11 The war is far from over, but Ukraine is still winning.

Here is how we can make sure that it defeats Russia 🧵 Image
2/11 Russia’s 2022 invasion is a genocide.

They use genocidal rhetoric to justify erasing Ukraine's identity. They kidnap children and commit daily war crimes to punish civilians for simply refusing to be Russian.

This is a systematic attempt to destroy a nation Image
3/11 The human cost is massive.

In Mariupol, the death toll in 3 months potentially exceeded the total deaths in Gaza throughout the entire war, despite a much smaller population.

People underestimate this scale and don't see that Russia is committing genocide in Europe Image
Read 11 tweets
Jan 23
1/12 “Value-Based Realism” was a major theme at Davos.

It is being sold by Stubb and Carney as a smart, pragmatic path for the West, but I think it is a strategic trap.

Here is why this new realism might actually lead to managed decline 🧵 Image
2/12 The concept is the latest intellectual fashion.

@alexstubb and @MarkJCarney are pushing it as the ultimate manual for "middle powers" like Canada, the UK, and the EU.

It sounds sophisticated to be principled yet pragmatic, but we need to look a bit closer Image
3/12 The logic is simple: stop waiting for a perfect world and deal with the brutal one we have.

It is an honest description of how we behave right now, post-Biden.

That is exactly the problem.

It takes our current failure of will and rebrands it as a high-level strategy Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 21
1/5 Europe needs a reality check.

The strategies that worked during Trump's first term are useless now.

We tried playing nice, and it failed.

It is high time to stop the appeasement and start facing reality Image
2/5 The time for Europeans to appease Trump is over.

We have spent the last year watching our tactics from "Trump 1" fail miserably in "Trump 2."

Flattery and silence do not work anymore.

He sees them as weakness, not respect Image
3/5 Trump lives in a bubble of total confirmation.

He is surrounded by sycophants who are too afraid to tell him the truth or challenge his worst impulses.

Because no one in his inner circle dares to confront him, he believes he can bully Europe without consequence Image
Read 5 tweets

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