2. Not only has it won, but the gap is & will grow wider as @baoshaoshan highlights
The rational steps for the πΊπΈ & collective West is not to try & build an alternate to the π¨π³ system to 'decouple' or achieve 'supply chain resilience' (e.g. π)
"by the time πΊπΈ vertical integration is complete, the world will already be horizontally integrated through π¨π³-supported industrial ecosystems that define the next global cost frontier"
4. Having tried all other options other than direct military conflict to contain π¨π³ (Plan A), we are at an apparent crossroads
Will the πΊπΈ & its coterie continue with the Crusade against Multipolarity in a desperate & nihilistic tantrum to regain some form
5. of dominance (improbable that it will succeed due to a lack of industrial capacity & reliance on this it seeks to destroy)?
Or will it comes to terms with its place as one of several powerful nodes in the multi-polar π, & work with rather than against the Rest?
β’ β’ β’
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1. It's worth remembering that the Trump-Putin negotiations, at least to π·πΊ, are about much than whether a particular Oblast in πΊπ¦ becomes π·πΊ or not
π·πΊ primary objectives were outlined in the draft treaty proposed by π·πΊ in December 2021
"The Parties shall cooperate on the basis of principles of indivisible,
equal and undiminished security and to these ends:
- shall not undertake actions nor participate in or support activities that affect the security of the other Party"
3. The last three years could be viewed as the continuation of politics by military means to force the πΊπΈ to the point where π·πΊ πΊπΈ negotiations on these substantive matters have become possible
The π·πΊ πΊπΈ relationship is the most important in the π - for either could destroy the
I had the opportunity to listen to @RuanZongzeCGBne π¨π³ Consul General (CG) at @unisqaus today
A very interesting talk & discussion on π¨π³ perspective on π affairs & π¦πΊ-π¨π³ relations
2. The CG started by reflecting on how facism was defeated 80 years ago, including π¨π³ significant role, yet we are now at a crossroads:
Peace vs War
Openness vs division
Win-Win vs Zero Sum
3. On Trump's "tariff salami" he said that π¨π³ would never accept the tariff war & upholds the interests of people π wide for open economies & supply chains
The CG argued that a multilateral (e.g. WTO) approach is the only viable path in a system based on fairness not hegemony
1. In trying to draw out lessons that π¦πΊ should heed in developing its next National Defence Strategy, @WarInTheFuture has produced a classic example of why, for the sake of our national security, his analysis should be ignored
2. Ryan claims that "democracies face a sustained, multi-generational confrontation with the major authoritarian powers" & suggests that understanding the vulnerabilities of the 'authoritarian' powers is important so they might be targeted to degrade
3. their aggression, resources and influence
This is empire evangelism 101, a thinly veiled attempt to justify the re-establishment of πΊπΈ hegemonic power, aka the 'rules based order'
2. The focus of the entire article is an invasion of πΉπΌ by π¨π³
But never considers the obvious trigger for any conflict being the πΊπΈ efforts to contain, disrupt & ultimately defeat π¨π³
πΉπΌ is just a tool for the πΊπΈ to bring about such an occurrence, just as πΊπ¦ was for π·πΊ
3. So we get the 2027 timetable
"πΊπΈ military and intelligence officials have warned that 2027 marks another key milestone: the date that Xi Jinping has instructed his military to have the capability to invade πΉπΌ"
Without noting what should be obvious- that is the πΊπΈ
AKA as the 'worst deal of the century', it is a symptom of everything wrong with π¦πΊ defence policy
An anachronism to times past
A wealth transfer to the Military Industrial Complex
A loss of sovereignty
It's got to be stopped #auspol βοΈ
2. As both a retired Army officer & soil scientist, I am far more concerned about the state of our environment than any credible military threat π¦πΊ faces.
3. For 70% of the initial price of AUKUS, we could fix 200 years of land degradation.
Or we could waste much more than that on some steel coffins