1/4 How many more successful strikes will it take to break Russia’s economy, and how long will it take?
No one knows for sure, and it could take a long time.
The faster Ukraine scales up drone and missile production, the faster the war will end
2/4 Ukraine has hit Russia’s refineries hard in recent months.
Russia’s economy is already suffering from the war.
It is important to stay realistic. Russia still has ways to buy time
3/4 Trump could change US policy.
Russia could raise taxes, seek more aid from allies, privatize assets, seize oligarch wealth, move infrastructure east, and strike Ukraine’s defense production