For the first time in months, Russia 🇷🇺 launched tanks and armoured vehicles in Ukraine 🇺🇦
2 years after the large scale Avdiivka offensive, russian forces tried to storm the Pokrovsk-Kostiantynivka area of the frontline, losing around 30 armoured vehicles.
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The main use of tanks, IFV and AFV was during the Avdiivka-Donestk offensive, mainly between october 2023 and may 2024.
Then, it was slowly abandonned. Since the first months of 2025, the use of armoured vehicles nearly disappeared.
Why ?
Because Russia was slowly lacking reserves in armoured vehicles and drone warfare was making their use more and more dangerous.
Most of them have been put away from the front during months and endured some changes.
Now that the summer is finishing, the roads are getting more and more muddy.
It is thus impossible to do assaults with motorcycles and ladas while assaulting on foots without cover is increasingly dangerous. This is the main reason for this come back.
On these long videos published by ukrainian forces we can see columns of armoured vehicles and tanks assaulting ukrainian positions near Pokrovsk.
For 2 months, russians have had difficulties to reach Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka, mainly failing to take strongholds.
One of the assaults was trying to reach Myrnohrad, especially taking control over the mine west of the city, a ukrainian stronghold. They lost 4 vehicles here.
Another axis was the Kostiantynivka-Pokrovsk highway. In this area, multiple russian columns have been destroyed in the previous months, one of the only one where they continued to send tanks and armoured vehicles.
However, the main assaulted direction is the village of Shakove, a ukrainian stronghold.
Russia launched multiple armoured vehicles, hundreds of soldiers and motorcycles here to break the ukrainian defenses. Shakove is protecting the whole direction.
Despite multiple assaults on Volodymyrivka, just south of Shakove, the russians still didn't managed to take it.
Now, it is mainly a grey zone and tens of soldiers have been brought here, they will probably try to gain a strong foothold here and in Shakove.
Using armoured vehicles is somewhat new this year, it is also the result of months of reinforcements.
At 0:25 there is an interesting footage. You can see that the ditch forces the BTR to use the road, which has been mined. That's how dtches should be used.
The importance of fortifications : to reach Shakove from the main assault route, they need to stay on this road (because of the 6 anti-tank obstacles).
-> it concentrates the ukrainian fire on a single road.
And it's exactly the same with infantry and barbed wire :
They need to walk in the only zones where there are no barbed wire. Here, we can see a recent picture and a 1 month old one (Novotoretsk'e).
What is happening near Pokrovsk ?
The grey zone is increasingly big, it is getting more and more difficult to consolidate any progress. Pokrovsk is still safe, fightings are ongoing in Rodynske and Udachne, while some infiltrations are ongoing in the south of the city.
The main objectif for russian forces now is to expand the Dobropilla bridgehead, by taking Shakove. Then, they will be able to connect again with their isolated troops north-west.
They will also try to consolidate gains near Myrnohrad.
In one month, the tree cover will have disapeared, preventing infantry infiltration. The weather may affect drones, which is also important to remember.
Thus, Russia has to reach (and consolidate around) Pokrovsk and Kostiantynivka before the winter to assault it.
I finish this thread with the wide preparation of new defensive lines, especially away from Donbass region.
Main new lines :
-Pavlohrad-Novomykholaivka
-Vilniansk-Zaporijia
-3rd Donbass line (behind Kramatorsk)
• • •
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After 11 days of war in the Middle East, here is a new MAP UPDATE 🇮🇷/🇮🇱🇺🇸
The Hormuz Strait remains closed, Iran and Hezbollah continue to launch strikes, while the US and Israel intensify their campaign in multiple Iranian cities.
🧵THREAD🧵1/21 ⬇️
This is THE breaking news for today. Multiple Iranian made Shahed drones reached for the second time southern Oman, hitting the oil facilities of Salalah Port.
Oman 🇴🇲, which remains neutral, was one of the only state congratulating the new Iranian Ayatollah...
Today's strikes against Oman are a clear signal Iran will not stop targeting oil infrastructures in the region until the war ends.
Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Qatar and the UAE have also been recently targeted and hit, mainly by Iranian drones.
Ces dernières semaines, l'armée russe a redéployé le 68ème corps d'armée, la 40ème brigade et la 55ème division d'infanterie navale et la 39ème brigade motorisée dans le secteur d'Houlialpole.
After 10 days of war between Iran 🇮🇷 and the USA/Israel 🇺🇸🇮🇱, the economical situation is worsening
Here is a new MAP UPDATE with the military situation, the economical situation, some analysis and some prospects :
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The war has been going on for now more than 10 days and the repercussion are felt worldwide.
Iran held despite constant strikes which obliterated its navy and airforce and still continues to launch important drone and missile strikes across the region.
The death of Ayatollah Khamenei which was quickly replaced within ten days by his son didn't have the expected results.
The Iranian president and part of the leadership is still alive, while the IRCG individuals now understood that their bases are not safe.
Quelles implications pour chaque Etat du Moyen-Orient dans la guerre ?
Chacun des ~19 Etats de la région est touché de manière plus ou moins profonde par la guerre, voici un petit résumé Etat par Etat.
🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️
(Partenariat qui peut vous servir) :
L'histoire et la géopolitique de la région étant complexe, pour ceux qui n'ont pas eu de cours dessus ou veulent se remettre à niveau, voici une formation :
La Turquie a abattu un missile iranien au dessus de son territoire, des débris sont retombés dans le Hatay.
🔹Armée : Ankara a massé des troupes à sa frontière sud-est, non pas pour intervenir en Iran, mais pour empêcher un afflux massif de réfugiés et surveiller les mouvements kurdes qui pourraient profiter du chaos.
🔹Politique : Erdogan adopte une posture de condamnation de l'offensive américaine, tout en laissant les radars de l'OTAN sur son sol fournir des données cruciales aux alliés. Il joue la médiation pour ne pas perdre son influence sur le marché énergétique.
🔹La Turquie est dans une mauvaise posture. La guerre pourrait créer une crise des réfugiés massive à sa frontière, sa politique basée sur l'entente entre les pays musulmans se voit impactée et le renforcement d'Israël est un mauvais signal pour Ankara. La Turquie surveille de près les kurdes d'Iran (qu'elle considère comme une menace) et les azéris d'Iran, de potentiels alliés turciques.
🔹En cas de chute du régime, Ankara perdra le rôle qu'elle joue actuellement dans la région, notamment sur l'aspect commercial et sécuritaire. La Turquie n'a aucun intérêt à avoir un Iran pro-américain et puissant à sa frontière.
After 8 days of war between Iran 🇮🇷 and the USA/Israel 🇺🇸🇮🇱, here is a new MAP UPDATE
In total, the US and Israel conducted around 4 500 strikes across Iran, while Iran retaliated with 3 500 vectors, including ~905 missiles.
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Despite facing significant challenges due to Israeli-American air supremacy over Iranian territory, Iranian retaliatory strikes continue across the Middle East, while the United States continues to accumulate damage to its bases.
After initial strikes that had few results (except in Bahrain and Kuwait), Iran used more precise missiles to strike four AN/TPY-2 (THAAD) radars, blinding the region's air defenses and limiting response time.
The massive consumption of Patriot missiles also raises concerns about a potential shortage.