Joni Askola Profile picture
Oct 15 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/7 Finland has the most advanced total defense model in Europe.

It is not just for war. It helps in any crisis.

Government, businesses, civil society, and citizens all have roles.

Europe should treat this as a benchmark and start building toward it, not merely on paper Image
2/7 Every big building has a bomb shelter.

Every sector has a contingency plan.

Every citizen knows what to do.

Finland’s model is built on realism, not illusions. It is quiet, practical, cheap, and effective Image
3/7 The military is backed by a trained reserve, strategic stockpiles, and legal obligations for civil preparedness.

No other European country has this level of integration.

It is the most complete deterrence system on the continent Image
4/7 The war in Ukraine shows why this matters.

When Russia invaded, civil society stepped up.

Volunteers, businesses, and local governments filled gaps.

Total defense is not theory. it is survival Image
5/7 Russia’s threats will not go away.

Hybrid attacks, sabotage, disinformation, and energy blackmail are part of its playbook.

Europe must be ready to defend not just borders, but entire societies Image
6/7 Europe does not need to copy Finland overnight.

But it must start coordinating defense, resilience, and civil readiness more seriously and at a larger scale.

This is the only affordable way to prepare for war and survive future crises Image
7/7 Finland did not wait for disaster.

It built a system that works in peace and war.

Europe should follow that lead.

The next crisis / Russian invasion will not wait for us to catch up Image

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More from @joni_askola

Oct 14
1/5 Zelensky has just revoked the citizenship of Odesa Mayor Hennadiy Trukhanov.

The reason? He allegedly holds a Russian passport.

If confirmed, this could finally bring an end to the reign of one of Ukraine’s most corrupt and controversial leaders Image
2/5 Trukhanov has ruled Odesa since 2014.

He’s been linked to organized crime, smuggling networks, and major corruption cases.

He was arrested in 2023 for embezzling $2.5 million in a fake real estate deal. The case is still dragging on Image
3/5 He’s also been accused of blocking military aid, delaying defense spending, and making pro-Russian statements.

While Odesa was under threat, he did little to help.

For years, he treated the city like his personal empire Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 14
1/5 With Gaza partially settled for now, Trump is shifting focus.

Zelensky is meeting him this week.

Ukraine wants Tomahawk missiles. Trump sounds more supportive than ever.

But don’t get fooled Image
2/5 Yes, Tomahawks would help.

But there are only a few ground launchers available.

Unless sent in large numbers, they won’t change the war.

Even so, a few would be a powerful signal Image
3/5 Trump has sounded promising lately.

But he hasn’t sent new aid. Hasn’t added sanctions. And just thanked Putin for saying he deserved a Nobel Peace Prize.

This is who he is Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 13
1/5 China spent years quietly building influence in Europe through trade, technology, propaganda, and diplomacy. It worked for China.

But backing Russia’s war in Ukraine was a strategic mistake.

Europe is now rethinking its relationship with Beijing Image
2/5 China refused to condemn the invasion, boosted Russian energy exports, helped dodge sanctions, sold machinery, sent proxy aid, shared intel, and echoed anti-West narratives.

It didn’t go unnoticed.

Europe now sees China not just as a competitor but as a threat to stability Image
3/5 The Netherlands just seized a Chinese-owned chipmaker.

Germany and France are tightening tech controls.

The EU is investing in supply chain independence and defense coordination.

China’s influence strategy is being dismantled bit by bit Image
Read 5 tweets
Oct 13
1/8 Putin's Perspective — If you were Putin, this is the nightmare you’d be living:

You started a useless war that was supposed to last days. It has lasted years.

You thought Ukraine would fold. Instead, it became stronger, more united, and more militarized than ever Image
2/8 You started a useless war.

You made this non-existential war existential. You went all in.

You sacrificed your economy, your military, and your global standing.

And you are further from your goals than before the war began. Pathetic! Image
3/8 You wanted NATO to back off. Instead, it expanded.

You wanted to divide the West. Instead, it rallied.

You wanted to weaken Ukraine. Instead, it became a symbol of resistance Image
Read 8 tweets
Oct 13
1/6 Russia’s economy is falling apart.

Ukraine’s strike campaign is hitting key sectors hard.

Even before the war, Russia’s economy was fragile: reliant on energy exports, too centralized, corrupt, and facing a labor crisis.

The war made it all worse Image
2/6 The war has made everything worse.

Russia now depends on energy exports and the defense industry.

Civilian sectors are starved of labor.

The economy is shrinking from within Image
3/6 Despite massive public spending, Russia barely grows.

Inflation is rising, but output is flat.

If any Western country increased its spending this much, it would see a boom.

Russia sees stagnation. That is a disaster Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 12
1/4 How many more successful strikes will it take to break Russia’s economy, and how long will it take?

No one knows for sure, and it could take a long time.

The faster Ukraine scales up drone and missile production, the faster the war will end Image
2/4 Ukraine has hit Russia’s refineries hard in recent months.

Russia’s economy is already suffering from the war.

It is important to stay realistic. Russia still has ways to buy time Image
3/4 Trump could change US policy.

Russia could raise taxes, seek more aid from allies, privatize assets, seize oligarch wealth, move infrastructure east, and strike Ukraine’s defense production Image
Read 4 tweets

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