1/5 China spent years quietly building influence in Europe through trade, technology, propaganda, and diplomacy. It worked for China.
But backing Russia’s war in Ukraine was a strategic mistake.
Europe is now rethinking its relationship with Beijing
2/5 China refused to condemn the invasion, boosted Russian energy exports, helped dodge sanctions, sold machinery, sent proxy aid, shared intel, and echoed anti-West narratives.
It didn’t go unnoticed.
Europe now sees China not just as a competitor but as a threat to stability
3/5 The Netherlands just seized a Chinese-owned chipmaker.
Germany and France are tightening tech controls.
The EU is investing in supply chain independence and defense coordination.
China’s influence strategy is being dismantled bit by bit
1/4 How many more successful strikes will it take to break Russia’s economy, and how long will it take?
No one knows for sure, and it could take a long time.
The faster Ukraine scales up drone and missile production, the faster the war will end
2/4 Ukraine has hit Russia’s refineries hard in recent months.
Russia’s economy is already suffering from the war.
It is important to stay realistic. Russia still has ways to buy time
3/4 Trump could change US policy.
Russia could raise taxes, seek more aid from allies, privatize assets, seize oligarch wealth, move infrastructure east, and strike Ukraine’s defense production