In preparation for my appearance at #BattleFest on Saturday, I've written a new article on Why is My Energy Bill So High? A thread 🧵(1/n)
First off, we have the highest industrial electricity prices in the developed world and the second highest domestic prices. Prices like this represent an existential threat to the economy (2/n)
Gas plays a part in setting the wholesale price of electricity, and the cost of gas used in electricity generation in 2024 was about £5.5bn (3/n)
But we add on carbon taxes to the cost of gas-fired electricity in the form of Carbon Price Support and the Emissions Trading Scheme that at today's prices cost about £2bn per year. So, carbon taxes now make up about a third of the wholesale price (4/n)
Then there's Renewables Obligations, Feed in Tariffs and Contracts for Difference subsidies that together add a further £12bn to our bills. Renewables subsidies cost >2X the cost of gas for electricity (5/n)
And new renewables in AR7 will also be very expensive with new 20-year index-link contracts (6/n)
Then there's extra costs of renewables for grid balancing and backup that together add another £4bn to bills and are forecast to cost £10-12bn by 2030. These extra costs are forecast to cost twice as much as gas used for electricity (7/n)
Then to compensate for high prices, there's extra costs on our bills like Warm Homes Discount and Energy Company Obligation (8/n)
To fix this, we need to recognise that we face a trolley problem. We either save society or the green blob, not both. The green blob must be dismantled to cut energy prices (9/n)
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Despite receiving huge subsidies and curtailment payments, yet another wind farm investor is issuing profit warnings. What is going on at Greencoat UK Wind $UKW ? Sunday thread 🧵(1/n)
The UKW share price has been on a downward trend since peaking in September 2022 despite paying large dividends and buying back shares (2/n)
The large dividends can be paid because the windfarms UKW has a stake in have been paid billions in subsidies, over £8.7bn in total, of which UKW will have received a share. They also get paid to turn off when it's too windy - curtailment payments (3/n)
How do you go bankrupt? Slowly at first, then suddenly. How does Net Zero crumble? Slowly at first, then suddenly. Net Zero is collapsing faster than the coal power stations blown up by Alok Sharma. A thread (1/n)
Not too long ago, the Climate Change and Net Zero agenda was seemingly impregnable. Party leaders agreed to put the agenda outside democratic control (2/n)
At COP26 the Tories were falling over themselves to comply with the agenda: blowing up coal power stations and aligning £trillions of global finance towards Net Zero (3/n)
New data out yesterday showed UK industrial electricity prices are the highest in the IEA. No wonder Ed Miliband is beginning to show signs of strain. What's going on under the surface? A thread (1/n)
Industrial electricity prices are indeed the highest in the IEA, 63% higher than the median and 3.5X more than Canada (2/n)
We fare better on industrial gas prices, with ours being a little below the IEA median and lower than both Germany and France. But Canadian gas prices are 6X lower than the UK (3/n)
This week’s thread kicks off a mini-series looking at the risks facing renewables investment funds such as ORIT, highlighting their share price declines amid profit warnings in the wind sector (1/13).
ORIT's share price has been in a trending down since peaking in August 2022. Despite paying out £33.5m in dividends in 2024 and buying back £6.8m of its shares (with more buybacks in 2025), the price keeps falling. The fund aims for income & growth, but it's struggling (2/13).
Dividends have risen from 3.18p per share in 2020 to 6.02p in 2024. However, the Net Asset Value (NAV) is declining, though not as sharply as the share price. ORIT's portfolio spans 41 assets across solar, batteries, hydrogen, onshore, and offshore wind (3/13).
Frankly, my dear, I don’t give a damn that windfarm operators are issuing profit warnings because it hasn’t been windy enough. What's going on? A thread 🧵(1/n)
Windfarm operators including Vattenfall, RWE and Orsted have all issued profit warnings, blaming lower than expected wind speeds. Investment funds TRIG $TRIG and Greencoat UK Wind $UKW have also issued warnings as low wind threatens dividend payouts (2/n)
We can get an idea of what is going on by looking at the Jan-Aug generation of CfD funded offshore windfarms with a track record back to 2022 (3/n)
By making a dissembling response to Claire Coutinho, the new chair of the CCC has made himself complicit in the Seventh Carbon Budget deceit. A thread 🧵 (1/n)
In her letter to the CCC, Coutinho asked why the CCC were using £38/MWh as a cost for offshore wind in 2030 when Ed Miliband is offering >3X that, or £117/MWh in Allocation Round 7. She urged Topping to correct the costings before Parliament votes on CB7 (2/n)
Topping's response was tendentious drivel, insisting that their LCOE calculations are accurate and CfD strike prices didn't reflect actual costs but rather "a policy-determined revenue guarantee" (3/n)