David Turver Profile picture
Believer in freedom and democracy. Opposes authoritarianism. Investor in real assets. Man Utd fan. F1 fan. Author of Eigen Values substack.
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Feb 1 8 tweets 3 min read
The data is in, so now we know how much the Feed-in-Tariff (FiT) scheme cost us in 2024/25. A thread 🧵(1/n) Image First, overall generation under the scheme was down on the year at just under 8TWh. It is beginning to look like a downtrend has been in place since 2020/21 (2/n) Image
Jan 25 13 tweets 3 min read
If NESO cannot produce a complete set of energy scenarios and we can't rely on the costs, then what is the point of NESO. A thread (1/n) Image Many green blobbers have got very huffy about my report for the IEA looking into the various estimates of the cost of Net Zero (2/n)
iea.org.uk/publications/t…
Jan 18 13 tweets 4 min read
Another record year for CfD subsidies with £2.6bn paid out to renewables generators. Where does all the money go? A thread 🧵(1/n) Image 2025 was a record year, with £2.6bn paid out, up from £2.4bn in 2024. Offshore wind took the lion's share of over £2bn, with tree-burning taking £428m, dedicated biomass £118m. Onshore wind took 67m and solar £0.1m. (2/n) Image
Jan 15 15 tweets 4 min read
Yesterday's AR7 results show that Miliband, NESO and the CCC are gaslighting the nation. AR7 is locking in index-linked high electricity prices for decades. A thread 🧵(1/n) Image So, what happened? A total of 8.4GW of offshore wind was awarded contracts. Of this 8.2GW was fixed-bottom at an average of £91/MWh in 2024 prices, with 0.2GW of floating at £216/MWh. But these prices show the price of offshore wind is rising (2/n) Image
Jan 4 14 tweets 3 min read
Alastair and Rory caught telling porkies about solar power while shilling for lossmaking Fuse Energy. When facts and truth are ignored, The Rest is Propaganda. A thread 🧵 (1/n) Image The central claim of their clip was that solar is a “very cheap and affordable way to generate electricity”. But in the UK at least, that claim is manifestly untrue. Solar is in fact very expensive (2/n)

Dec 28, 2025 12 tweets 3 min read
It's the end of the year, so time to to take a light-hearted view of the past 12 months of our energy policy pantomime. A thread (1/n) Image As it's Christmas, the season of goodwill, we should begin with the Prince Charming, Snow White and Cinderella of energy policy, namely Richard Tice, Kemi Badenoch and Claire Coutinho who together have collapsed the cosy consensus supporting Net Zero (2/n)
Dec 14, 2025 15 tweets 4 min read
With its new economic annex setting out the costs, NESO has inadvertently blown the doors off Net Zero. And even then, the costs of action are understated and the costs of stopping the race to Net Zero overstated. A thread 🧵(1/n) Image The press reported that NESO's Holistic Transition to Net Zero would cost £350bn more than Falling Behind. The used this chart as evidence (2/n) Image
Dec 7, 2025 16 tweets 3 min read
None of the catastrophic climate predictions have come to pass. Emperor Ed Miliband has been left alone, shivering half-naked on the rapidly shrinking net zero iceberg. Time to follow the science and ditch Net Zero. A thread (1/n) Image The Climate Change Act contains important safeguards that allow for emissions reduction targets and carbon budgets to be altered if The Science™ changes (2/n) Image
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Nov 30, 2025 15 tweets 4 min read
Gas prices are down, but the energy price cap has gone up. Why are our energy bills going ever higher? A thread (1/n) Image For context, we had the highest industrial electricity prices and second highest domestic prices in 2024 (source IEA/DESNZ) (2/n) Image
Nov 23, 2025 11 tweets 3 min read
Arla has ended the Bovaer trial in the UK, just after massive problems appeared in Denmark. But what bovine stupidity led to Bovaer being introduced in the first place? A thread (1/n) Image Bovaer is a product of the Net Zero cult that has seen UK FIRES call for beef and lamb to eliminated by 2050. Of course they want to reduce methane emissions as well as CO2 (2/n) Image
Nov 16, 2025 12 tweets 3 min read
Rising consumer energy debt coupled with suppliers not conforming with new capital adequacy rules shows that Ofgem is asleep at the wheel. New thread (1/n) Image Consumer energy debt is rising. The amount outstanding for people under formal repayment arrangements rose to a record £1.1bn in 2Q25. Arrears past due for >91 days rose to £3.32bn, giving total debt of £4.43bn (2/n) Image
Nov 9, 2025 6 tweets 2 min read
Both Reform and Tories have committed to getting rid of Net Zero. While these commitments are welcome, ending Net Zero brings some risks that need to be mitigated (1/n) Image First up, cutting carbon taxes on gas-fired electricity and ending Renewables Obligation subsidies early will cut revenues for these generators and asset values will collapse (2/n)
Nov 2, 2025 13 tweets 3 min read
Today is a sad day, but the show must go on. Time to think about the poor bankers if Reform or Tories get in and abandon Renewables Obligations and cut carbon taxes (1/n) Image ROCs will cost about £7.8bn this financial year. Onshore and offshore wind are the biggest recipients of ROC subsidies (2/n)
Oct 28, 2025 11 tweets 3 min read
Yesterday, Miliband announced the for the AR7 renewables Contract for Difference (CfD) auction. He's offering £113/MWh for fixed and £271/MWh for floating offshore wind index-linked for 20 years. This will drive up our electricity bills & miss his own CP2030 target. (1/n) Image First up he has set the budget for offshore wind at £1,080m, split £900m for fixed-bottom and £180m for floating offshore wind. In essence this means the Government expects this auction to add £1.08bn to our bills, which compares to the £2.4bn total CfD cost in 2024/25 (2/n) Image
Oct 26, 2025 10 tweets 3 min read
New research from More In Common shows high energy prices are driving a revolutionary mood. When asked about our institutions, 43% of people can't help thinking "just let them all burn". What is going on. (1/n) Image First, there is widespread concern and stress about energy bills across all income groups, even those households earning >£100,000/yr (2/n) Image
Oct 15, 2025 11 tweets 3 min read
In preparation for my appearance at #BattleFest on Saturday, I've written a new article on Why is My Energy Bill So High? A thread 🧵(1/n) Image First off, we have the highest industrial electricity prices in the developed world and the second highest domestic prices. Prices like this represent an existential threat to the economy (2/n) Image
Oct 12, 2025 13 tweets 4 min read
Despite receiving huge subsidies and curtailment payments, yet another wind farm investor is issuing profit warnings. What is going on at Greencoat UK Wind $UKW ? Sunday thread 🧵(1/n) Image The UKW share price has been on a downward trend since peaking in September 2022 despite paying large dividends and buying back shares (2/n) Image
Oct 5, 2025 10 tweets 2 min read
How do you go bankrupt? Slowly at first, then suddenly. How does Net Zero crumble? Slowly at first, then suddenly. Net Zero is collapsing faster than the coal power stations blown up by Alok Sharma. A thread (1/n) Image Not too long ago, the Climate Change and Net Zero agenda was seemingly impregnable. Party leaders agreed to put the agenda outside democratic control (2/n) Image
Oct 1, 2025 9 tweets 3 min read
New data out yesterday showed UK industrial electricity prices are the highest in the IEA. No wonder Ed Miliband is beginning to show signs of strain. What's going on under the surface? A thread (1/n) Image Industrial electricity prices are indeed the highest in the IEA, 63% higher than the median and 3.5X more than Canada (2/n) Image
Sep 28, 2025 14 tweets 3 min read
This week’s thread kicks off a mini-series looking at the risks facing renewables investment funds such as ORIT, highlighting their share price declines amid profit warnings in the wind sector (1/13). Image ORIT's share price has been in a trending down since peaking in August 2022. Despite paying out £33.5m in dividends in 2024 and buying back £6.8m of its shares (with more buybacks in 2025), the price keeps falling. The fund aims for income & growth, but it's struggling (2/13). Image
Sep 21, 2025 12 tweets 3 min read
Frankly, my dear, I don’t give a damn that windfarm operators are issuing profit warnings because it hasn’t been windy enough. What's going on? A thread 🧵(1/n) Image Windfarm operators including Vattenfall, RWE and Orsted have all issued profit warnings, blaming lower than expected wind speeds. Investment funds TRIG $TRIG and Greencoat UK Wind $UKW have also issued warnings as low wind threatens dividend payouts (2/n)