Honza Černý Profile picture
Oct 15 7 tweets 1 min read Read on X
🇨🇳 Both SGE (Shanghai Gold Exchange) and SHFE (Shanghai Futures Exchange) just hit ALL-TIME HIGHS in silver and gold.
Silver closed at ¥11,970/kg ≈ $52.2/oz, higher than COMEX.
➡️ Physical price leads. Paper follows.
2️⃣
Daily data confirms it:
China SGE/SFE vaults are draining fast.

32,643 kg silver left in one day.

29,650 kg lost this week.
Physical is leaving the vaults — and not coming back.
3️⃣
Volume exploded on both exchanges.
This isn’t retail FOMO — it’s industrial and institutional accumulation.

The East is absorbing physical, while the West is still playing with IOUs.
4️⃣
For decades, London and New York dictated the silver price.

Now Shanghai is quietly taking that power.

SGE and SHFE are building the real benchmark — backed by metal, not promises.
5️⃣
COMEX trades “silver” on paper.
SGE/SHFE trade silver itself.
That’s the difference.

And right now, the physical world is setting the new price reality.
6️⃣
This isn’t a divergence anymore.
It’s a global decoupling between paper and physical.

And it’s happening in real time.

#SilverSqueeze ⚡ #StackerLogic 💪 #China #Gold #Silver #COMEX #SGE #SHFE
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More from @honzacern1

Oct 15
🧵 THREAD | Real Ratios Don’t Lie — Silver Is 10× Undervalued

They say Gold/Silver ratio is 80:1.
But that’s just paper math.
Let’s see what happens when we use real data — assuming gold = $4,200/oz.

SPECIAL THANKS TO @RoadtoRoota FOR KICKOFF
📊1. Market Price (80:1)
Paper says silver = $52.50/oz.
That’s the illusion — detached from physical reality.
🏦 2. Physical Available (0.79:1)
Bars, coins, ETFs.

Real silver available for investment is actually scarcer than gold.

At this ratio, silver could easily justify a four-digit price under real scarcity.
Read 10 tweets
Oct 14
🧵 | India’s Silver Premium = Reality Check

1️⃣
🚨 In India, silver ETFs are now trading at a 10–15% premium to spot.

Major funds (Kotak, SBI, Tata, UTI) have paused new purchases due to a shortage of LBMA-grade bars. That’s not normal.

m.economictimes.com/markets/commod…
2️⃣
Translation? Physical silver is tight.

When there’s not enough metal to back the paper, premiums explode and the “spot price” becomes fiction.
3️⃣
London just saw a historic short squeeze — lease rates over 30% last Friday.

Shorts are bleeding. Paper burns, physical rules.
Read 8 tweets
Oct 13
When I said WE ARE STRONG, I MEANT IT !!!!

🧵 | Paper Smash Confirmed — COMEX vs. Physical Reality
1️⃣
Friday’s COMEX data (Oct 10 2025) tells the story:
Open Interest jumped +1,591 contracts in one day — that’s ~8 million paper ounces of “silver” magically appearing on screens.

Volume hit 158,816 contracts.
No mine dug this metal out of the ground overnight.Image
Image
2️⃣
Each COMEX contract = 5,000 oz of Ag.
Total OI now stands at 171,302 contracts = 856 million oz paper silver.

Meanwhile, COMEX warehouses hold just ~280 million oz registered + eligible.
That’s 3 paper ounces for every real one.
3️⃣
What happened next?

Price dumped below $51 while China’s SGE and SFE traded $59+ per ounce.
A $8 spread between East and West.
Physical stays strong — paper panics.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 13
🧵 1/
🚨 Silver just broke $50.
Now at $51.40/oz, up +2.2% today — and smashing through every technical ceiling in sight.
This isn’t a rally anymore.
It’s a structural break.
#Silver #SilverSqueeze
2/
LBMA clearing data for August showed +26% jump in silver transfers — fewer transactions, but 43% bigger average size.
That’s not “trading.”
That’s metal moving across oceans.
COMEX → London.
Spot market’s starving for real ounces.
3/
When it takes 18 years to open a new gold mine in Australia, imagine how long it takes to restart a silver supply chain already running dry.
Demand can overwhelm supply fast.
#Gold #Silver
Read 5 tweets
Oct 13
1️⃣
🚨 BREAKOUT CONFIRMED
Silver just hit a new all-time high — $51.47/oz.
This isn’t a rally. It’s a rupture in the system. Mini thread with a big meaning 💥🧵
#Silver #SilverSqueeze
2️⃣
For years they said: “Too heavy to move, too cheap to care.”
Now silver is proving why real money always finds its way out when paper markets run dry. 💥
3️⃣
LBMA spot > COMEX futures.
Borrow rates surging.
Physical premiums exploding.
They’re not “trading silver” anymore — they’re fighting for it. ⚔️
Read 6 tweets
Oct 12
Thread 🧵 | Something big is brewing behind the scenes

1) Nomura: reports $150B in forced selling on Oct 10.
Funds were liquidating, margin calls flying. Somebody had to raise cash — fast.
#Markets #BlackMonday Image
2) Meanwhile, Trump posts on Truth Social:

“Don’t worry about China, it will all be fine.”

When politicians start saying don’t worry, it usually means someone is definitely worried. Image
3) Within an hour, Bloomberg reports:

“China declined a US phone call after export control announcement.”
Diplomacy freezes. Communication breaks down Image
Read 4 tweets

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