As Nathan Gill’s sentencing date approaches for bribery by Russian agents when serving as an elected MEP, it’s worth noting that he wasn’t the then BREXIT party’s only link to Russia. So, the question is how much further did it go? 🧵1/17
2/ Gill has admitted 8 counts of bribery between 6/12/18 and 18/07/19. He was handled by Oleg Voloshyn, although his wife Nadia Sass (aka Borodi) was never far away. They both worked on behalf of Ukrainian pro-Russian politician Viktor Medvedchuk, a personal friend of Putin.
3/ There have been photographs and other links between these two characters and other members of the Brexit Party at the time, but only Gill has been formally charged with any crime.
4/ It would be easy to dismiss this episode to be just about Ukraine, although taking a pro Russian position on that for money is bad enough. But the truth is that the Russian links go far deeper and beyond just these characters.
5/ First a quick reminder. Nigel Farage became an MEP in Jun 1999. In 2004 he became the president of Europe of Freedom and Direct Democracy (EFDD) and was elected as UKIP’s leader in 2006.
6/ In 2014 UKIP won the most seats in the European Parliament election which pressured David Cameron to call the 2106 EU Referendum. After which, Farage resigned as UKIP's leader and co-founded the Brexit Party in 2018 (renamed Reform in 2021). He remained an MEP until Jan 2020.
7/ The aforementioned bribes started just after the Brexit party was formed (6/12/18) until 18/7/19. but let’s go back to Nigel Farage’s time as President of the EFDD (04-19) - a right wing euro- sceptic group of which 24 of its 47 MEPs were from UKIP. euronews.com/my-europe/2019…
8/ A senior member of the EFDD staff until at least 2015, was a Maltese man named Kevin Ellul Bonici, who was known to have a close relationship with the Russian embassy in Brussels. and was known to distribute Russian propaganda material collected there. theguardian.com/politics/2017/…
9/ Bonici was educated in Russia and wrote in an essay about his fondness for the Soviet Union , and his belief that the EU was a doomed project. He spent many of his following years seeking to bring that about, as well as pushing Russian propaganda.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/6…
10/ It’s worth noting here that during his period as President of the EFDD, Farage appeared on Russia Today at least 17 times. It’s perhaps inconceivable that this and Bonici’s ties to the Russian Embassy in Brussels is a coincidence.theguardian.com/politics/2014/…
11/ But let’s talk about Yelizaveta Peskova and Aymeric Chauprade. Chauprade was a French MEP who supported Russia’s 2014 annexation of Crimea. He even travelled to Crimea to "monitor" the discredited Crimean status Referendum and commented on the events live on Russia Today.
12/ He was a member of both the European Parliament’s foreign affairs committee and the subcommittee on security and defense, and was part of the delegation of the EU-Russia parliamentary committee.
13/ Up until late 2015, Chauprade was a member of Marine Le Pen’s National Front, but quit the party to become an independent MEP, before becoming the vice-Chair of (yes you guessed it) the EFDD, of which Farage was still the President.
14/ But who was Yelizaveta Peskova you ask? Well, between Nov 2018 and April 2019 she was an intern for Chauprade. Not unusual for a young graduate to cut their teeth in the political cauldron of the European Parliament you say.
15/ But she is the daughter of Dmitry Peskov, the Kremlin’s Press Secretary since 2012. Now, these links could be entirely coincidental, or merely symptomatic of Russian attempts to infiltrate and influence political leaders that further their own aims. bbc.co.uk/news/world-eur…
16/ But, Nathan Gill’s case has given us the first proof of collusion between a UK MEP and RussiA. What this🧵shows is that there is plenty of circumstantial evidence to suggest our elected politicians were far more exposed to potential Russian influence over a far longer period.
17/ We are currently witnessing a media and political frenzy over the legal application of the definition of spying with respect to a minor staff appointment to a serving MP. If only we had had the same level of scrutiny a few years back…
POST NOTE: I’m not trying to score a political point, I would call out any suspected collusion with a hostile Nation. But, had I, or anyone else who served, had an ounce of this level of connection with Russia, we would never have received a security clearance...
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The UK’s Carrier Strike Group is about to conduct a transit of the South China Sea after its time in Japan. It now finds itself having to manage a complex and changing diplomatic context. Is this crunch time for UK strategy & credibility in the region? - a🧵1/8
2/ The S. China Sea is a contested region because of China’s claim of a wider EEZ, demarked by the so-called 9-Dash line, and their “designs” on Taiwan. Their actions around Taiwan, in particular, are increasingly active, hostile and encroaching.
3/ This period is notable for the recent Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) meeting, where the ties between China, Russia & India were clear for all to see. It was followed by China’s biggest ever military parade
A stark appraisal of the state of the RN. But we must be wary of playing victim here and learn lessons as to what a Service must do to thrive . Because the underlying issues identified here are not unique to the RN. Let’s explore where and how it can and does go wrong: 🧵1/18
2/ OVER- AMBITION: is a killer, it’s ok to have a vision or aspiration, but if your plans exceed your budget you have no margin of safety. And the first clue that it’s not going to work is when you start fitting “for and not with”, because you can only afford the former.
3/ IGNORING THE BASICS: Under investing in your core services and capabilities to afford more shiny kit has only one outcome, unless you have a recovery plan and can mitigate the additional costs of that recovery. But it’s a slippery slope that is hard to come back from.
There is a lot of commentary on this rather alarming video of a fly past that very nearly had a tragic ending. Lots of theories out there - here’s mine! I’ll use snapshots from the second video to explain what I think happened. Spoiler alert: I think it was pilot error.🧵1/7
2/ An EF-18 of the Spanish Air Force was performing at the Gijón Air Festival held on Sunday July 27 over San Lorenzo Bay in Asturias, Spain: it’s not clear if it was meant to be a full display or an “enthusiastic” flypast - I suspect the latter. festivalaereogijon.com/#programa
3/ The aircraft approaches from the North and follows the coastline of the grassy promontory (see below). There are a few birds around but I don’t think they are a factor. As the pilot points at the beach they should just reverse the turn to follow the coastline, but they don’t
The lessons from the Israel/Iran“12 Day War” are far more profound and relevant to us in the UK than those learned in Ukraine.🧵1/n warontherocks.com/2025/07/lesson…
2/ “It not only reaffirmed the continuing relevance of conventional capabilities but also underlined the importance of cyber integration, information dominance, strategic precision, and alliance cooperation in 21st-century conflict scenarios.”
3/ “Air superiority remains the cornerstone of operational success, but it ought to be supplemented by cyber dominance, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance integration, and electronic warfare.”
There has been plenty of heat and light surrounding the recent act of sabotage at Brize Norton. Let’s unpick some of the facts and add some thoughts. 🧵1/15telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/06/2…
2/ As usual, everyone focusses on the things they can see. Airfield perimeters are very hard to make impervious, which is why we have defence in layers. I’m not going to discuss those layers here, but it’s possible that some were either not in place or failed at Brize Norton.
3/ The section of fence that the “security experts” at the Telegraph have identified, is what’s known as a frangible fence. It’s a compromise between security and causing an over-running aircraft to crash & erupt in a ball of flame.
Ok, I’m going to say it. This was somewhat over complicated, and looks more like the perfect execution of the plan they would had prepared assuming that it was a US pre-emptive strike and that they were the first ones in.🧵1/8
2/ But, over a week of Israeli strikes has brought the Iranian defence network to its knees, and their Air Force have been able to operate even 4th generation aircraft overhead Iran with impunity. Air supremacy is a tough state to achieve but it has been over Iran.
3/ The deception feint of the Pacific route seems more of a political stunt than a military tactic, especially as it mirrored & signposted the very nature and timing of the attack it was meant to mask. It also used up precious strike power and tankers. But a nice option to have!