Clinically Vulnerable Families πŸ’™πŸ’œπŸ’— Profile picture
Oct 16, 2025 β€’ 41 tweets β€’ 12 min read β€’ Read on X
🚨UKHSA - Dr Shona Aurara

The system of control in schools was not effective for an airborne virus.

CVF's questions from @AdamWagner1 KC

NB/ There was a HUGE amount of content - our amazing team are working on prioritising the best clips for you actively!

1/
Adam had to work hard today to try to hold UKSHA to account!

2/
AW "By reducing the isolation period [to 3 days], as well as restricting testing unless advised by a healthcare professional, that meant that infectious children were likely to be returning to classrooms?"

SA "Infectious period... viral shedding... balance of risk..."

3/
AW "Don't you agree that by reducing the period to 3 days and reducing the need for testing you are going to make it more likely that infectious children are going to be in the classrooms?"

SA "...Population immunity... Vaccine programme"

4/
AW "Was any assessment made of the disproportionate impact that that shortened isolation period and restricted testing would have on CV children and children in CV family members?"

5/
RAPID REVIEW

Main lesson is to improve evidence generation.

Rapid evaluation into a response:
- Sleeper study cells / protocols
- Rapid adaptive trials for simulateous testing of NPIs

CTI "What is needed [in plain language] to plug the gap?"

6/
SA "...set up studies ...design frameworks... studies and develop protocols... use peacetime more effectively..."

7/
Airborne Risks in Schools

CTI "Ask more generally, whether plans to make schools safer should focus on pathogens which are transmitted through the air?"

8/
SA "Five out of the six pandemics that have occurred since the 20th century have been respiratory or airborne."

"It would certainly make sense to start with prioritising that."

9/
Prof Sir Chis Whitty explained that even illnesses that are not airborne still have risks for children.

10/
Whitty says that evidence that ventilation or air cleaning reduces transmission is described as β€˜very limited’ - mainly because infection data is hard to obtain.

Reducing airborne pathogens by 50% may not cut infection by 50% if exposure still exceeds the infectious dose.

11/ 6.8. Evidence that demonstrates ventilation or air cleaning reduces transmission of infection or illness is very limited. This is primarily because such data is very challenging to obtain for two reasons:  (1) There is not necessarily a linear relationship between the reduction in the concentration of a pathogen in the air (and hence the exposure) and the reduction in the likelihood of infection. The likelihood of infection depends on the infectious dose (or dose-response), which will depend on the particular pathogen as well as the susceptibility of the individual. For example, improving v...
He thinks that it is hard to measure. People won't just stay in one location and different spaces have different risks.

Clean air protects everyone in a room, not just one person, which makes trials difficult.
___

However, it does not mean the science is weak!

12/ (2) Direct evidence from intervention studies is difficult to measure. Unlike medical trials where different treatments can be given to individuals and the treatment only affects that person, ventilation is an environmental measure which affects a building and everyone in the space. As such it may have different effects over a day or season depending on aspects such as the weather and the occupant behaviours. It is hard to conduct studies which compare directly between spaces which have different levels of ventilation, as it is difficult to control parameters within and between spaces. Wher...
To be continued...
Prof Cath Noakes has explained:

For trial to evaluate air cleaning technology, if children travel by bus - so it is difficult to work out the benefit from air cleaning.

13/
CTI "Noakes' view is that there is growing evidence that indicates that enabling better ventilation and indoor air quality does have a positive effect on children..."

"Should more be done to improve ventilation and air quality in education settings?"

14/
SA "That isn't a decision for UKHSA to make."

15/
Indoor air quality matters for a whole range of issues:

Infectious disease transmission
Concentration / wellbeing
Thermal quality (hot / cold)

New study "CHILLI" (?)

16/
Limited resources in schools.
Need good new build standards.
Challenge is around retrofitting.

17/
Guidance to schools on ventilation weren't provided by PHE. They were referred to guidance for businesses.

CTI "Would you agree that ventilation guidance specific to schools ought to have been given by PHE during the pandemic?"

18/
SA "There was a stronger focus on 'droplet spread' and a and less so on 'aerosol spread'.

And therefore a stronger focus on [droplet] measures."

DfE guidance should have addressed this as the evidence emerged.

19/
Noakes' recommendations:

More effective monitoring with long-term data collection across public building, supporting building the evidence base for environmental impacts on health.

20/
On the need for long-term data collection on environmental impacts on health:

SA "It wouldn't necessarily be us [UKSHA] to spearhead, we would certainly be there to support."

21/
DfE are taking a leadership role:

CO2 monitors
Awaiting publication of Bradford study [ClassACT]

Academic institutions, Engineers (building expertise) and UKSHA in a supporting role.

"DfE absolutely critical"

22/
PART 2/

Tweet 23 clips go missing... so skipping this one...

⚠️23/
Guidance for CV/CEV children and young people:

School attendance

24/
March 2020 - PHE Shielding Guidance (12 week)

May 2020 - DfE Guidance CV & Immunocompromised C&YP: Julia Kinnerberg (DfE) said PHE assisted.

25/
"Vulnerable children and young people who have a social worker attendance is expected unless the child or household is shielding or clinically vulnerable."

26/
"It is giving parents, and other adults with responsible for that child... permission... to weigh competing interests, including health vulnerabilities in deciding whether attendance is appropriate for those children."

27/
RCPCH and the NHSE removed the category CV children stating "the middle ground group was not meaningful as applied to children".

Children were either "CEV" or "not at significantly increased risk".

28/
CTI "Can you help us with why the DfE guidance referred to 'clinically vulnerable' children, whereas it seems... in early May this category was made obsolete as regards to children?"

29/
10 June 2020 - Shielding update

Asthma, Diabetes, Epilepsy, Kidney Disease

Can return to school if it opens...
⚠️NONE OF WHICH AS A GROUP WERE SHIELDED
(aside from severely immunosuppressed asthmatics)

30/
How do you even answer this question...

THEY WEREN'T SHIELDED!

31/
CVF understood that CEV were downgraded to CV in September 2021 - CV wasn't removed.

32/
Guidance from DHSA and PHE:
Children should no longer be classified as CEV

"Recent clinical studies have shown children and young people are at very low risk of serious illness if they catch Covid-19."

33/
"Children and young people under 18 are no longer considered to be CEV.... A small number of children and young people will have been advised to isolate or reduced their social contacts... due to their general risk of infection rather than because of the pandemic."

34/
SA "Beginning to be a move away from CEV.... vaccines... treatments."

NB/ Most children weren't vaccinated. Antiviral treatments weren't generally available to children because they weren't approved for them!

35/
"NEW NORMAL"

Small group of severely immunosuppressed children.

e.g. Those undergoing chemotherapy who are at risk from any infectious disease.

36/
Evidence from @lara_wong from CVF regarding the "Green Book" which has criteria for clinically vulnerable children.

There is some confusion about children being classed as CV when it comes to vaccines but not schools.

37/
@lara_wong SA: "Vaccine prioritisations... are recommended by JCVI... UKHSA are a member.

They [look at] how effective a vaccine would be at either reducing transmission or *preventing a severe outcome* "

38/
@lara_wong SA "That might be different in a school setting"
- The risk of *severe outcomes* from might be different in a school setting?

"What are the mitigations if they are in school to keep them safe and protected."
- Haven't we already established they were the wrong mitigations?

39/
@lara_wong 🀯

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More from @cv_cev

Mar 29
The government just published its Pandemic Preparedness Strategy.

TLDR: Some welcome commitments inc. on ventilation. But Clinically Vulnerable people are still not clearly defined or automatically protected, and the prioritisation framework won't arrive until 2027.

1/🧡 Department of Health & Social Care  Pandemic Preparedness Strategy: building our capabilities  Published 25 March 2026
What's new?

Published 25 March 2026, this is the UK's first major pandemic strategy since Covid.

It covers all 4 nations, sets out 12 principles and detailed action plans to 2030, backed by around Β£1 billion of investment.

But what about the detail...?

2/
They know another pandemic is coming... and epidemics are also a risk.

The question is:
Will Clinically Vulnerable families be protected when it does?

- This document raises the question more than it answers it.

3/ While pandemics of this scale are rare, major epidemics are far more common and milder  pandemics still cause significant damage. A future pandemic is a certainty - we just don’t  know when it will happen or what will cause it. It would most likely be caused by a virus,  though it could also be caused by bacteria or fungi. It could be spread by one or more of  the routes of infection transmission, with the 5 main transmission routes being: β€’ respiratory β€’ oral β€’ blood or sexual β€’ touch 1 Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies and DHSC’s DHSC and ONS: direct and indirect health impacts  o...
Read 20 tweets
Mar 25
πŸ“‰ Kent MenB outbreak

⚠️East Kent Trust failed to report their first case for 2 days⚠️

Here's what you need to know.
TLDR: Peaked 13th March. No new cases since - with reporting delays, but that's even better news than it sounds.
1/🧡 πŸ‘‡ @laurabundock @SkyNews
THE OUTBREAK IS DECLINING but understates how well that's going. πŸ“‰

The earliest case became unwell on 9th March, with the latest on 16th March, and the peak was 13th March.

2/
Cases take time to be confirmed and reported.

The fact that nothing new has surfaced in the data as of 23rd March - despite the reporting lag - means the real-world situation is almost certainly better than the numbers show.

3/ Image of bar chart  Figure 2. Cases of invasive meningococcal disease in Kent outbreak, by case category, outbreak bacterial subtype: serotype P1.12-1,16-183, attendance at Club Chemistry, and date of onset (data as of 23 March 2026)  6  5-  4  Number of cases  3  2  1-  0  07 Mar  09 Mar  11 Mar  13 Mar  15 Mar  17 Mar  19 Mar  21 Mar  23 Mar  Date of onset  Confirmed outbreak strain  Confirmed  Probable  Attended Club Chemistry  Includes 17 Confirmed - outbreak strain and 3 Confirmed and 2 Probable case(s). Excludes 1 Probable case with missing date information.
Read 15 tweets
Mar 18
Meningitis
* Important thread for those who prefer balanced and factual information *

In order to understand risk we need to break down a few things....

🦠Risk from the bacteria
πŸ’™πŸ’œπŸ’— Individual risk
πŸŽ“ Environmental risks
1/
The Kent outbreak is predominantly MenB (Group B). This is a serious infection - and potentially an adapted strain - investigations are ongoing...

Bacterial meningitis is rare but more severe than viral, and up to 1 in 10 cases of bacterial meningitis in the UK is fatal.

2/
MenB isn't new. There are around 300 cases of MenB per year in the UK, even with vaccination programmes.

What's unusual is the cluster - multiple cases linked to a single location in a short window. It has now spread to a student at a second university in Canterbury, Kent.
3/
Read 9 tweets
Mar 5
UK COVID INQUIRY - CVFπŸ’™πŸ’œπŸ’—
@AdamWagner1 Closing Submissions

The Covid Inquiry has good ventilation protocols (as advised by CVF at the start of the Inquiry) including HEPA filters.

Under 1000ppm is therefore the safe threshold ( but without it would be under 800ppm).

1/
We need to understand airborne transmission in order to make all indoor environments safer for everyone, and especially for Clinically Vulnerable people.

2/
The need for Clinically Vulnerable people to have:

Safety
Support
& Status

3/
Read 14 tweets
Mar 1
🚨COVID INQUIRY ROUND UP (Wk2)

This week saw CVF's evidence & organisations representing: disability, domestic abuse, faith, migrants, homeless, prisons, local government.

Expert evidence focused on: later life, LGBTQ+, race and gender inequalities (Dr Clare Wenham, below)

1/
EXPERT RACIAL INEQUALITIES

Prof Laia BΓ©cares discussed the risks in multigenerational households where there were keyworkers and children in schools.

2/
EXPERT LATER LIFE
Prof @JamesNazroo

CVF were concerned that many older people, who were at high risk, were not supported to shield - which included advice on how to stay safe, as well as food deliveries and community outreach.

3/
Read 15 tweets
Feb 26
🚨 NEW DfE GUIDANCE
- VENTILATION & AIR QUALITY -

Clean air matters - especially for #ClinicallyVulnerable children, staff and families. This is an important recognition that airborne transmission is preventable.

1/ Image
But the proposed COβ‚‚ thresholds are too high. 800ppm should be the upper limit - not 1500ppm. By 1500ppm, air is already significantly rebreathed. That’s not a precautionary standard for children, let alone those at higher risk.



2/gov.uk/government/pub…
If we’ve learned anything from the pandemic, it’s that minimum compliance is not the same as safety. #ClinicallyVulnerable pupils cannot β€œchoose” lower exposure if the baseline standard is poor.

3/
Read 8 tweets

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