Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Oct 16 9 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Donald Trump is preparing a Ukraine Victory Fund financed by a 500% tariff on Chinese imports, reports The Telegraph.

Revenue would go to Ukraine’s defense as Kyiv says it needs $120B annually to sustain its army.

Tomahawk missiles are also under discussion.

1/ Image
The plan, crafted by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, redirects tariff income from Chinese goods toward Ukraine’s military.

“It could be a ‘Russian oil tariff’ or a ‘Ukrainian victory tariff,’” Bessent said. “We will respond if our European allies join us.”

2/
Trump wants to raise the cost for both Beijing and Moscow while avoiding direct U.S. mobilization.

Parliamentary allies in Europe are reviewing the idea as part of a new joint financial framework to keep Ukraine’s army supplied into 2026.

3/
The shift marks a major change in Trump’s stance.

He once said Zelensky “did not hold the cards for victory.”

Now he’s losing patience with Putin and is considering arming Ukraine “in ways only the U.S. can do”.

4/
Trump is also weighing the transfer of Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine — giving Kyiv the ability to hit Russian targets deep behind the front lines for the first time.

NATO discussions focused on delivery and training timelines.

5/
Hegseth: “Peace comes through strength. You get peace when you have real capabilities that adversaries respect — not when you wag your finger.”

He confirmed the U.S. War Department is “ready to act if Russia refuses peace.”

6/
European allies back the proposal in principle but admit the final call lies with Trump.

If approved, the fund and missile program would be financed through NATO’s Purl scheme — U.S. weapons paid for by European governments.

7/
For Kyiv, the stakes are enormous.

Ukraine’s Defence Ministry Denys Shmyhal says the country needs $120B per year to maintain its defense.

If Trump’s tariff fund moves forward, it could become the largest Western effort yet to secure Ukraine’s victory.

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More from @Mylovanov

Oct 17
Ukraine is now striking Russia “blackout for blackout.”

Kyiv has built a long-range strike force using home-produced drones and missiles, and it is hitting Russian refineries almost every day.

“If they impose blackouts on us, we will do the same,” Zelenskyy told POLITICO.

1/ Image
Over the last week, Russian forces fired 3,100 drones, 92 missiles, and 1,360 glide bombs, mostly at Ukraine’s energy network.

This time, Ukraine responded with deep strikes inside Russia.

2/
So far in 2025, Ukraine has hit 21 of Russia’s 38 oil refineries, damaging roughly 38% of its refining capacity, according to the BBC.

Zelenskyy said the strikes cost Russia “up to a fifth” of its gasoline supply, forcing imports from Belarus and disrupting military logistics.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Oct 17
Putin pissed off Trump after a 40-minute historic lecture in Alaska.

Trump came with a ceasefire proposal, and Putin refused it. Trump lost patience, ended the meeting early, and scrapped all follow-up talks, FT.

[Second lecture in Budapest?] 1/ Image
Putin claimed Ukraine was part of Russia’s historical core.

He listed Rurik, Yaroslav the Wise, and Bohdan Khmelnytsky as proof of shared origins and accused the West of inventing Ukraine to break up the “Russian world.” 2/
Alaska blowup exposed bad prep. Trump’s envoy Witkoff told Washington that Putin was ready to compromise.

Instead, Putin demanded Ukraine’s surrender, regime change, and an end to NATO support. Trump ended the discussion on the spot. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Oct 17
“I think Russians will kill me… so I don’t have time,” — Alina Sarnatska.

Once a combat medic, now a playwright. She turns war’s brutality into theater that Ukraine can neither ignore nor fully bear to watch, writing as if she’s racing death, not polishing tragedy, The Guardian. 1/Image
18 months ago, Alina was a frontline medic in Bakhmut, 6 months later, her 1st play "Military Mama" premiered in Kyiv, launching her as one of Ukraine’s most unflinching new voices. 2/
“I think Russians will kill me, maybe after 2 years, maybe after 3… so I need to do everything right now,” she says, describing how war stripped her of illusions about time and safety. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Oct 17
Politico: Zelenskyy has learned how to read Trump.

Flatter the dealmaker, fuel his rivalry with Putin, and let his need for victory work for Ukraine. Confidence in Kyiv is rising again. 1/ Image
Ukraine’s leaders believe Trump’s shift against Putin after the Gaza cease-fire could speed up pressure for negotiations by next year. 2/
Zelenskyy and Trump’s relationship has transformed from confrontation to pragmatic alignment, driven by Trump’s hunger for another diplomatic win. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Oct 16
Trump says he ended 8 wars. Can he end another one? I don’t know, but I hope so.

Trump’s optimistic about Ukraine peace after the Middle East hostage deal. He meets Zelenskyy on Friday as Ukraine seeks Tomahawks, more weapons, air defense, drone production support — Politico. 1/ Image
Several Ukrainian delegations have spent two weeks in Washington in a “new engagement format,” including military, financial, and energy teams.

Trump told Zelenskyy to meet with U.S. energy and defense companies during his visit. 2/
Ukrainian officials saw Gaza as “the simplest” issue but believe success there can build momentum.

Ukraine plans new arms deliveries under NATO’s PURL initiative. Ambassador Stefanishyna hinted at a tech-sharing deal giving the U.S. access to Ukrainian drone technologies. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Oct 16
BBC: Pentagon ordered reporters to sign a policy banning unauthorized reporting or lose access by Oct 15, 2025.

NYT, WP, CNN, BBC, AP, Reuters, WSJ refused, calling it press intimidation.

Defense Sec. Hegseth says, “Pentagon access is a privilege, not a right.” 1/ Image
Over 100 reporters risk losing long-held Pentagon access.

A new 21-page policy says even asking troops for unapproved info — classified or not — isn’t protected by the First Amendment. 2/
Pentagon Press Association says most members will give up badges rather than accept the “gag policy” on Department of War staff.

Trump backs the rules, calling the press “very dishonest.” 3/
Read 5 tweets

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