Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Oct 17 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Putin pissed off Trump after a 40-minute historic lecture in Alaska.

Trump came with a ceasefire proposal, and Putin refused it. Trump lost patience, ended the meeting early, and scrapped all follow-up talks, FT.

[Second lecture in Budapest?] 1/ Image
Putin claimed Ukraine was part of Russia’s historical core.

He listed Rurik, Yaroslav the Wise, and Bohdan Khmelnytsky as proof of shared origins and accused the West of inventing Ukraine to break up the “Russian world.” 2/
Alaska blowup exposed bad prep. Trump’s envoy Witkoff told Washington that Putin was ready to compromise.

Instead, Putin demanded Ukraine’s surrender, regime change, and an end to NATO support. Trump ended the discussion on the spot. 3/
The meeting showed Trump that Putin wasn’t interested in peace.

Back in Washington, he stopped trying to bargain and started pressuring Moscow. Washington let Europe buy U.S. weapons for Ukraine, shared intel for strikes on Russian energy sites, and hinted Kyiv could get Tomahawks next. 4/
Putin tried to fix it with flattery, calling Trump a “peacemaker” and saying he deserved the Nobel Prize.

Trump thanked him publicly but brushed it off privately. After Alaska, he saw Putin as unreliable and someone who wasted his time. 5/
The fallout also unsettled Moscow. Russian officials admitted Putin “overreached.”

Within days, Lavrov blamed U.S. allies for pressuring Trump to walk away, saying “they fooled him.” The Kremlin now worries Trump may lean harder on Kyiv’s side. 6/
Trump still plans another meeting with Putin in Budapest but no date is set. European officials called it “high-risk” but noted that Trump now treats Putin as a problem to manage. 7X

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More from @Mylovanov

Oct 19
Putin told Trump Ukraine must surrender all of Donetsk oblast to end the war — WP.

Let it sink in: Putin told Trump Ukraine must surrender

A consolation prize: Putin is willing to give up [some of] Zaporizhzhia and Kherson for that.

1/ Image
But Trump didn’t back Putin’s demand [good for him!]

After meeting Zelensky on Oct 17, he called for a ceasefire “where they are” and plans to meet Putin soon in Hungary. 2/
Still, White House envoy Steve Witkoff urged Kyiv to cede Donetsk, echoing Moscow’s claim that the region is mostly Russian-speaking [and so what? Does it mean the US have to give itself up to the UK now, by this logic?]

3/
Read 9 tweets
Oct 19
In Poland, civilians train for a possible Russian invasion.

Telegraph: Children practise forest drills, women learn to shoot and groups near the Kaliningrad border stockpile weapons. Many join the Polish Preppers Network to learn how to fight if troops don’t arrive in time. 1/ Image
Piotr Czuryllo, known as Poland’s “Grandfather of Preppers,” leads the movement. His garage holds rifles, bows, and tactical gear. “We are all armed and have tactics in place. If needed, we’ll move to the forest and fight from there,” he said. 2/
In Łódź, shooting clubs train civilians in pistol work and field medicine. Trainees shoot live rounds, apply tourniquets, and carry injured volunteers to cover.

Many join weekend sessions to learn how to fight and save lives under fire. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Oct 18
Putin fears Tomahawks. Proven in battles, they threaten Russia’s S-400s and can shift the war’s course.

If Trump wants peace, he must give Ukraine Tomahawks.

They pierce Russian air defenses and hit any target, recently proving effective against Iran — The Telegraph. 1/ Image
The Kremlin and Lukashenko are threatening nuclear war if Tomahawks are deployed to Ukraine, revealing how much they fear this weapon.

Ukraine could use Tomahawks to completely shut down Russian oil refineries, which are the life-blood of Russia's staggering economy. 2/
Putin recruits non-ethnic Russians, prisoners, and mercenaries to avoid drafting Muscovites.

Moscow faces unrest as fuel shortages halt travel. Anti-Putin songs now echo in St. Petersburg and elite hubs for the first time in weeks. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Oct 18
Trump said that India will stop buying Russian oil as part of U.S. pressure on Moscow to end the war in Ukraine, writes Reuters.

He said PM Narendra Modi personally told him India would halt imports — a claim Indian officials have not confirmed.

1/ Image
Trump first mentioned the conversation earlier this week, saying it was part of his broader campaign to “cut off Putin’s war money.”

India is Russia’s largest oil customer, buying over 1.9 million barrels per day in recent months.

2/
If true, the move would mark a major shift in global energy flows — and a major diplomatic win for Trump as he presses allies to tighten economic pressure on the Kremlin.

Read 4 tweets
Oct 18
Ukraine spy chief Budanov: When the threat to Europe comes from the East, any alliance without Ukraine is stillborn. It won’t work for geographical, military reasons.

If someone thinks he can do it — try, it will end as right now. This shows uncertainty in what exists. 1/
Q: How much does Washington influence our strategy?
Budanov: Washington is with us. 2/
Budanov: It is unlikely there'll be no life-threatening situations in the coming years for Ukraine.

We must be ready to fight back, including armed resistance, at any moment. We'll have to live with this. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Oct 18
Ukraine Air Force commander Kryvonozhko: Western partners are sometimes surprised by our work.

They see what we do, but they don't understand how we do it.

They no longer teach us. We come to teach them. 1/
Kryvonozhko: During mass air raids, commanders — from Air Force chief to anti-air units chiefs and aircraft pilots — can act independently.

Once given a target, pilots no longer require orders from ground but destroy it themselves. 2/
Mi-17 helicopter commander: The advantage of shooting down drones with a helicopter is that it is more mobile.

Planes operate with guided missiles, and their cost is quite considerable. We work with a regular machine gun. It is much more money efficient. 3X
Read 4 tweets

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