Thread by @CFBNerds

Every week we generate a 1-136 ranking with our model. Basically simulating every team against every other team and ranking them by wins.

Some interesting takeaways 🧵

It thinks not only OSU is the best team, but the best team by a decent clip over #2.

Vandy in the top 10 all year. Thought we were chasing a bug in the system, but turns out Vandy is a really good team, and we probably don't think there's an issue but for looking at logos.

Much talk about B1G teams not playing ranked opponents, but if you look at modeled top 40 opponents, OSU has 5 top 40, 2 top 25 (Texas, Michigan)

Alabama has 8 top 25 in our model.

Bama's schedule strength is an outlier. OSU's schedule is better than it seems at first glance

Since the model doesn't care about who you beat or who you lost to, but rather how you performed opponent adjusted, it doesn't automatically dump a Miami or TTU for losing. Still thinks both are great teams.

Knowing TTU played a backup QB last week makes this really interesting

Oregon is being overvalued and Bama being punished because of schedule. Our model tries to adjust for competition, but when you play really poor competition or an abnormally tough schedule, you get over or under valued at the extremes.

Our model doesn't use priors and doesn't even know that Georgia is Georgia or ND is ND.

With that in mind, it's shows clear that:
- the SEC is the best and deepest conference by far
- the B1G's best teams are as good as anyone in the country

If you want to view our ranking, model any two teams against each other, or look at team statistical profiles, link is in our profile page. It's all free. Go crazy.