Honza Černý Profile picture
Oct 21 5 tweets 1 min read Read on X
🧵 THREAD:

“China’s silver vaults are draining fast.” 🐉🥈

1️⃣
Shanghai Gold Exchange just reported another 57 tons of silver withdrawn last week.

That’s 1.83 million ounces gone — in one week.

SGE inventories dropped from 1 108 t → 1 050 t, approaching the 1 000 t mark for the first time in years.
2️⃣
For perspective:

if this pace continues (−50 t per week), China’s vaults could dip below 1 000 t by mid-November.

That would mark one of the lowest levels since 2020, when supply chains were shattered and premiums exploded across Asia.
3️⃣
Why it matters:

When physical silver drains from Chinese vaults, it usually signals tightness in the real market — not paper.

Industrial demand (solar, electronics) and investor buying are both pulling from the same pool.
And that pool is shrinking.
4️⃣
Meanwhile, Western “paper markets” still pretend everything’s fine —but you can’t short what’s not there.

China’s silver outflows are a real-world stress test for the illusion of abundance created in London and New York.
5️⃣
Keep watching the SGE inventory chart.
When it breaks below 1 000 t — it’s not just a number.
It’s a signal that Asia owns the price discovery,
and the East is stacking while the West is sleeping. 🥈🐉

#Silver #China #SGE #SilverSqueeze

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Honza Černý

Honza Černý Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @honzacern1

Oct 22
1⃣Rumor says LBMA just leased 150 metric tonnes (4.8M oz) of physical #Silver from Chinese national banks via the Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) —
at grotesquely high lease rates. 🤯
That’s not normal. That’s panic.

Huge respect to Erik – @KingKong9888, absolute legend!
2️⃣

Why borrow silver from China?

Because London doesn’t have enough.

If LBMA vaults were comfortably stocked,
they wouldn’t be paying sky-high rates to lease metal halfway across the world. ✈️🥈
3️⃣

China knows it holds the leverage.
High lease rates = “You want our metal?
Pay up.” 💰🐉

This is not generosity.
It’s strategy.
Read 8 tweets
Oct 22
1/
🇮🇳 CONNECT THE DOTS:
Until March 31 2026, India restricts silver imports (DGFT licensing).

From April 1 2026, the RBI will allow 85% LTV loans against gold and silver. 🏦🥈 Image
2/
What changed?

“Free” imports → now Restricted.
You’ll need a license to import certain silver jewelry/products.

Goal: curb duty evasion, improve traceability, and clean up import channels.
3/
Timing isn’t random.

First, tighten the gates on unmonitored inflows.
Then, let banks operate with silver as collateral safely and transparently.

March 31 → April 1. That’s not coincidence.
Read 11 tweets
Oct 22
1/
🇮🇳 RBI just moved silver into the “gold league.”
The Reserve Bank of India raised the Loan-to-Value ratio to 85% for loans against gold and silver (up to ₹2.5 lakh). 🏦🥈 Image
2/
What does it mean?

Indian banks will now officially accept silver as collateral, just like gold.

A huge shift — from retail to institutional recognition.
3/
🔧 Applies to: commercial banks, urban & rural cooperative banks, and NBFCs (incl. Housing Finance Companies).

🗓 Effective: April 1, 2026 — part of a standardized, regulated framework for lending against precious metals.
Read 12 tweets
Oct 22
🧵 THREAD:
"October 2025 — the month silver steps into the spotlight." 🥈🇺🇸
1️⃣
Something big is coming.
The U.S. Department of Commerce has been running a Section 232 investigation on silver — to decide if America’s dependence on foreign silver is a national-security risk.

That report was due by late October. ⏳
2️⃣
Section 232 is no joke.
It’s the same law used to protect steel, aluminum, and critical energy metals.

If silver is confirmed as critical, the U.S. could:
– restrict exports,
– boost domestic mining,
– or even create strategic silver reserves.
Read 9 tweets
Oct 22
🧵 THREAD:
“Where do they keep getting it from?” 🥈

1️⃣
SLV – iShares Silver Trust.
Borrow fee: 9.25%.

Available shares to short: 100,000.
Yesterday: zero.

Today: magically full again.
Where did it come from? 🤔 Image
2️⃣
No, they didn’t fly in pallets from COMEX.

These “shares to borrow” don’t come from real silver.

They come from the system itself — paper, derivatives, and interbank lending.
3️⃣
SLV runs through Authorized Participants (J.P. Morgan, Citi, Goldman…).

They can create new ETF shares anytime, backed not by metal,
but by promises — synthetic hedges and swaps.
Read 7 tweets
Oct 22
🧵 THREAD:
China just drained more silver from its vaults — while the West keeps shorting paper. 🥈🇨🇳
1️⃣
SGE/SFE Daily Report — Oct 22, 2025
China’s silver vaults just lost 57.7 tons of metal in one day.

That’s 1.85 million ounces physically withdrawn.

Vault levels hit a new low since COVID-19.
2️⃣
Weekly data confirm it:
➡️ From 1,108,065 kg last week
➡️ To 1,050,675 kg this week
📉 Down 57,390 kg in just seven days.

Physical silver is flowing out of exchange warehouses — fast.
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(