François Valentin Profile picture
Oct 21 12 tweets 3 min read Read on X
In a predictably 🇫🇷 twist, unions are blaming the Louvre fiasco on lack of staff

They claim that 100s of jobs were cut in the last 10/15 years. The French press took these number for granted

So I did what no one did and looked at the annual reports:

The unions are wrong Image
The unions are claiming that staff head count has gone down by 200.

In 2010 the Louvre's annual report claims 2100 employees.

By 2015 it has gone down somewhat at 2072

And in 2024? Would it be 1900?

Nope... it's even higher than in 2010 at 2242
Oh but perhaps the unions are talking about security agents.

In 2010 there's 1200 of them

In 2015 there's 1200 of them

In 2024 there's... 1200 of them
What about the Louvre's budget, has it gone down perhaps?

In 2015 its budget was 199 million

In 2025 it reaches 323 million, considerably outstripping inflation
There's one claim I haven't been able to assess, Unions claim that personnel is being used for "prestige" events like VIP visits and gala nights.

But the claim that (security) jobs have been destroyed simply doesn't add up
Also the "security agents" ran away when the heist happen.

That's because they're not trained to intervene and are here to protect the public.

So it's hard to blame them for what happened but hard to claim that another 200 would have changed much.
What is emerging is a culture of inefficiency. An upcoming leaked report from the Cour des Comptes blasts its leadership. A third of rooms don't have CCTV.

In some wings 75% of rooms don't have CCTV...

Only 138 cameras were set up in the last 5 years for 73000 SqM
The report also says that internal studies can take years if not decades.

An initiative on adapting the museum for potential fire outbreaks has been ongoing for 21 years...
The press also reports that the old security system on the left has been replaced by the one on the right in 2019

The former could back up into safes at the slightest alarm Image
Image
I don't want to point fingers. I don't know what happened

But I wanted to talk about the reaction to the heiest

It's never an issue of personal responsibility, flawed processes or poor prioritisation

It's always a question of adding more (public) funding and hiring more staff
There's also a lesson about modern journalism

There's certainly nuances that aren't in the annual reports (more visitors add more strain)

But it took me 45 minutes to check the reports and write this thread and yet not a journalist has checked the claim of a drop in headcount

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More from @Valen10Francois

Oct 14
People often assume that French politicians never touch pensions out of fear of the grey vote

This is only partially true:

Working age Frenchies are also delusional or ill-informed on pensions

This is how they end up backing "Turkeys for Christmas" policies

A🧵 Image
French people don't see pensions as a big issue

When you ask them what to cut:

32% mention family benefits (≃50 bn)

31% digital policy (no idea of the value but single digit billions at most)

30% unemployment benefits (≃40bn)

Only 6% mention pensions (400bn+) Image
French people overwhelmingly favor the abrogation of Macron's pensions reform Image
Read 10 tweets
Sep 22
Is Catholicism making a revival in France?

Latin masses, baptisms, pilgrimages, Catholicism seems hip again!

But behind the vibes, what do the stats and maps show?

A 🧵 on the decline and transformation of Catholicism in post-Catholic France Image
France is historically one of the most important Catholic countries in Europe

To this day the trace of Catholicism can be found everywhere in France

Here's a map of France with all the towns with "Catholic" names (with Saint or trinity in it for example) Image
But since around the mid 18th century, Catholicism stops being a mass phenomenon and is instead much more geographically polarised

Here's the map of practicing Catholics in 1965. Big contrasts. Alsace, Brittany, the SW and the south-center are very pious Image
Read 27 tweets
Sep 8
French PM François Bayrou has been ousted by parliament. Macron's 3rd PM to lose his job in 18 months

The stakes are huge:

Will Macron dissolve parliament? Will the left take over? What about the IMF?

A 🧵on what happened and what happens next Image
What happened?

Ever since Macron's snap election last july, his coalition has shrunk into a small minority government

Last December his previous PM Michel Barnier was deposed by parliament after 3 months.

Bayrou took over facing similarly impossible parliamentary arithmetics Image
On top of that his government had to deal with possibly the most toxic fiscal situation in a decade

France's deficit is well above the 3% EU target

Bayrou was aiming for 43 bn in savings!

A recipe for disaster with roughly 3 equal parliamentary blocks unwilling to compromise Image
Read 24 tweets
Sep 7
Portugal being the first modern European colonial empire despite having a population of 1 million is seriously impressive. Image
And then at a similarly impressive pace becoming a secondary political player for the five centuries that followed.
Fun fact on the Portuguese empire: after decades of negotiations to try to get Goa peacefully, India just sent in the army in 1961

Portuguese dictator Salazar ordered for the completely outgunned defenders to fight to the last man

The prudent governor surrendered 36 hours after Image
Read 5 tweets
Aug 6
In 1582 Jesuit missionaries entered China

They could have been killed!

And yet in a few years they became the Emperor’s top advisors, brokering diplomatic deals and moving their pawns

This is a 🧵on how the Jesuits infiltrated China...

And how it all came crashing down! Image
The Society of Jesus was founded in Paris in 1534 by students.

It rapidly grew and recognised by the Pope in 1540

They were big on missionary work and wanted to convert the world before the protestants

Here's a map of their colleges founded in the 220 years that followed Image
In that global vision China was key. Since Marco Polo it was the land of fantasies.

One of the order's cofounder Francis Xavier died on the shores of China without being able to enter. Image
Read 26 tweets
Jul 4
China's biggest threat isn't Trump... but its explosive local debt

After decades of relying on land sales and the real estate market the music has stopped with huge consequences.

A 🧵 on China's biggest and underreported economic challenge Image
It might come as a surprise but China is in some ways very decentralised!

85-90% of all public spending is done at subnational level.

Even the US with its Federal model is at 50% Image
The debate about centralisation in communist regimes is an old one.

Leninists wanted a strong centralised state to push industrialisation, but there's a long anti-bureaucratic tradition in Marxism

Mao made fun of the USSR's bureaucracy but himself oscillated on centralisation Image
Read 14 tweets

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