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Oct 22 30 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/ Russia is said to be lagging far behind Ukraine in drone production, with as many as 40 to 100 Ukrainian drones for every Russian one. An angry commentary from a Russian warblogger complains of an ongoing failure by Russia to produce enough drones for the front. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Voenkor Kotenok' writes: "For those infinitely removed from the front line and who understand the war as a stream of official media reports, let me explain: at the moment, full-scale counter-attacks are taking place in many directions and sectors of the…
3/ …Special Military Operation, involving small units/groups/detachments. The fighting is fierce, with varying success, with individual terrain, positions, strongholds, and the ruins of populated areas changing hands four or five times.
4/ "Small groups are constantly maneuvering in urban areas with air support, where the main objective of each side is to spot the enemy first. Early detection means faster defeat, survival, and mission accomplishment.
5/ "Like us, the enemy is attempting to use attack aircraft, UAVs, including FPV drones (ubiquitous), artillery, multiple launch rocket systems, mortars, and a variety of missile weapons.
6/ "Enemy activity, for example, in the Orekhovo area of ​​Zaporizhzhia Oblast, can be explained by a number of factors, primarily the short logistics "leg": Zaporizhzhia, a large metropolitan area, is nearby. These include warehouses and logistics centres.
7/ "From there, everything is quickly delivered to the front lines. For enemy "light aircraft" operators, the conditions are excellent, if not resort-like—launch pads, control points, and launch pads are set up…
8/ …right under the cover of civilians in the urban and industrial areas of Zaporizhzhia. Some UAVs fly directly from the outskirts of the city itself, targeting our troops.
9/ "And now about the most important thing right now, something that, in my opinion, would be very useful to remind the leadership of the Ministry of Defence, various high-ranking officials, and, finally, the State Duma deputies.
10/ "Not today or yesterday, but much earlier, information was received that in ALL DIRECTIONS of the Special Military Operation, the enemy has an advantage in "light aircraft," primarily FPV drones.
11/ "This gap existed even before the start of the Special Military Operation, but, unfortunately, it remains insurmountable. This advantage is manifold. How does this look in practice?
12/ "For example, in the Zaporizhzhia sector, PER ONE OF OUR SOLDIERS IDENTIFIED BY THE ENEMY, THERE ARE 40-100 DRONES! PER ONE!

Even if we take the lower limit of 40 drones—does that seem low?
13/ "What are the chances of an stormtrooper, or even a motorised infantryman, surviving under these conditions? How long can a soldier survive on the battlefield? You can calculate it… Minutes within the margin of statistical error…
14/ "We are lagging behind in UAV production, which is understandable, as the technical capabilities of a number of countries invested in Russia's defeat, making this practically the main tenet of their foreign policy at the moment, are being rigged against us.
15/ "And we, too, were rather late in getting going...
16/ "UAVs are a fundamentally new branch of the military, significantly changing the landscape of combat, thoroughly reshaping tactics, and placing entirely new demands on the quality of troop command and control at the tactical and operational levels.
17/ "The issue of equipping our units with "small aircraft" and countermeasures is not just urgent; it is critical. The safety of personnel, the nation, and the future of our country depend on it.
18/ "That is precisely why investing in unmanned aircraft is a matter of Russia's future and requires special attention from the President, the Government, the Federation Council, the State Duma, the military-industrial complex, governors, and others.
19/ "But it seems we are so preoccupied with the future construction of a tunnel between Chukotka and Alaska that we are paying little attention to the unmanned aviation industry. Is that really so? Or does it just seem that way?
20/ "How can we change the situation with the production and equipping of our troops' UAVs? How can we close the gap with the enemy?
21/ "Only one way—first and foremost, by radically increasing the production of unmanned aircraft, with new, massive purchases from our allies, if not our sympathisers.
22/ "Gentlemen and comrades! Gerans [Shaheds] alone are not enough to achieve victory in the Ukrainian (and other) theatre of operations.
23/ "We need thousands of new long-range/heavy strike and reconnaissance, multi-role UAVs, as well as hundreds of thousands, millions—I'm not exaggerating—of drones for tactical use.
24/ "Again, for comparison's sake, the command of the enemy's Achilles unmanned aircraft unit happily reported last year that it had increased the number of drones at its disposal to 1 million!
25/ "We had enthusiastic reports on the testing of the heavy Okhotnik UAV on TV even before the start of the Second Military Operation. And how many of them have actually deployed and are participating in combat operations?
26/ "Or was Timur Ivanov [former deputy defence minister fired and imprisoned for corruption] also responsible for the Okhotnik deployment?
27/ "Basically, the front needs drones. The efforts of grandmothers weaving camouflage nets and spending their hard-earned rubles from their meagre pensions for the sake of victory aren't enough.
28/ "Personally, I would call on North Korea for help, which, as experience shows, can solve military and military-technical problems in the shortest possible time...
29/ "But the fact remains: our lag is unacceptable and stands in stark contrast to what the overwhelming majority of media outlets are preaching.
30/ "If the picture hasn't changed after three years and eight months of combat, that doesn't mean it shouldn't be changed. Better late than never..." /end

Sources:
🔹 t.me/voenkorKotenok…
🔹 t.me/voenkorKotenok…

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Oct 23
1/ THE HUNGARIAN REVOLUTION, DAY 1:

69 years ago today, Hungary rose up against a tyrannical Communist government backed by the Soviet Union. With Hungary currently under another pro-Russian leader, the story of the Hungarian Revolution is still strongly relevant. Image
2/ Immediately prior to the revolution, Hungary's Stalinist regime was deeply unpopular. Hungary's economy was struggling, Communist leader Mátyás Rákosi had been deposed by the Soviets over destalinisation, and the many past abuses of the regime were becoming public knowledge. Image
3/ A student protest sparked the revolution, followed by the Hungarian Writers' Union declaring its support for anti-communist reformers in Poland and laying a symbolic wreath at the statue of General Józef Zachariasz Bem, a hero of the Hungarian Revolution of 1848. Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 23
1/ A Russian city is literally drowning in human waste due to the failure of its sewage system. It's worn out but hasn't been replaced or repaired due to a lack of funding. It's a vivid illustration of the costs imposed by Russia's money being redirected to the war in Ukraine. ⬇️
2/ Balakhna is an historic city of around 51,000 people, founded in 1474 on the banks of the Volga River about 32 kilometers (20 mi) north of Nizhny Novgorod. However, its underfunded sewage system has collapsed, with the result that "the city is literally flooded with shit". Image
Image
3/ Balakhna native Alexander Kartavykh – a Russian warblogger – has been highlighting the city's problems in a series of posts on Telegram. He says that "the pumps aren't working, everything's broken, it's a complete and utter disaster."
Read 13 tweets
Oct 23
1/ Russian forces are making extensive use of infiltration tactics in place of the notorious 'meat assaults', according to a new report by @jack_watling. However, a Russian warblogger says that this is costing 2 or 3 times as many cumulative casualties as massed assaults. ⬇️
2/ The DShRG Rusich Telegram channel has published a video taken by a Russian soldier on an infiltration mission. He follows a path along a treeline which was used by many other Russian soldiers on similar missions – dozens of whom can be seen lying dead along the way.
3/ The channel's author writes:

"The tactic of infiltrating small groups (2-3 people), unfortunately, often results in greater losses than a single massive assault. Yes, on video, it looks tragic from the enemy side, with several units of equipment being destroyed."
Read 23 tweets
Oct 22
1/ A Russian colonel reportedly died of cardiac arrest after it was discovered during a rotation that he had been lying to his superiors about his division's control of territory in the Kherson region. ⬇️ Image
2/ Colonel Alexey Vladlenovich Plisov, callsign 'Ryazan', was the commander of the Russian 70th Motor Rifle Division of the 18th Combined Arms Army. The division was located on the left bank of the Dnipro river.
3/ Plisov is said to have repeatedly reported to his superiors that most of the islands in the Kherson region were under Russian control. However, Ukrainian reports and independent assessments have consistently assigned the islands to the 'grey zone' controlled by neither side. Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 21
1/ Russian convicts are refusing en masse to join the army, according to the jailed Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin. In contrast to Yevgeny Prigozhin's recruitment campaigns in 2022-23, which attracted tens of thousands of recruits, distrust of the army is now said to be universal. ⬇️ Image
2/ Girkin, who was jailed last year, is reportedly being held in the IK-5 penal colony in Kirovo-Chepetsk in the Kirov region. The facility specialises in holding ex-security officials (Girkin is ex-FSB). As such it might normally be expected to provide plenty of army recruits.
3/ The reality is very different though, according to Girkin. Interestingly, he says that the imprisonment of deserters is causing the wider prison population to become more aware of how the army treats its men and makes them more resistent to recruitment efforts:
Read 14 tweets
Oct 21
1/ The constant presence of drones has fundamentally changed the nature of the war in Ukraine, according to Russian warblogger Alexander Kharchenko. The only way to survive is to stay underground, and it can take days to travel just a few kilometres. ⬇️ Image
2/ On his Telegram channel 'Witnesses of Bayraktar', Karchenko writes:

"Movement is life. In the Special Military Operation, this axiom has taken on new meaning. Just a year ago, you could zip into Novohrodivka on a motorcycle and be out before sunset."
3/ "Now, such a scenario resembles a Hollywood blockbuster about tough guys. In real life, the brave and courageous move from one shelter to another. It can take a week to walk ten kilometres.
Read 10 tweets

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