Thread by @AnnaDeMilanese

🚨🧵THREAD: A deep dive into the intertwined roles of Nobel Laureate María Corina Machado and Donald Trump's administration amid the current, highly militarized escalation in the Caribbean. This investigative analysis focuses on the overt and covert mechanisms driving the regime change agenda in Venezuela.🚨

1/20: The US military deployment, including the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier group, is officially framed as a robust counter-narcotics effort against "narco-terrorists," but its scale far exceeds typical anti-smuggling operations, suggesting broader geopolitical aims beyond interdiction.

2/20: Expert consensus points toward a primary strategic objective: the forced Regime Change of Nicolás Maduro's authoritarian government, substituting the current socialist-aligned regime with a leadership friendly to US strategic and economic interests.

3/20: Central to this high-stakes political maneuvering is the Venezuelan opposition figure María Corina Machado, who was recently awarded the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for her struggle against the Maduro regime.

4/20: Machado is known for her unyielding position: a political hardliner who firmly rejects any negotiated settlement with the chávista government, insisting on an immediate, non-negotiable transfer of power to democratic forces.

5/20: Crucially, Machado has openly supported the once-taboo option of a US military intervention to decisively end the Venezuelan political crisis, setting her apart from many regional political figures.

6/20: The political symbiosis with Washington is clear: Machado publicly dedicated her Nobel Peace Prize to President Donald Trump, a move that starkly politicized the award.

7/20: She explicitly thanked Trump for his "determined support" and proclaimed him the opposition's "main ally," thereby aligning the moral authority of the Nobel Prize with the current US military and political pressure campaign.

8/20: This dedication solidifies the strategic partnership between the Trump administration and the Venezuelan conservative opposition, aiming for a radical neoliberal shift following Maduro's departure.

9/20: The ongoing US military actions – which have included the unprecedented deployment of the aircraft carrier and multiple deadly strikes on vessels near Venezuela's coast – constitute a deliberate strategy of "maximum pressure."

10/20: The core goal of the military escalation is to create untenable pressure on the highest echelons of the Venezuelan military and government, coercing them into executing an internal power transfer to the opposition leadership.

11/20: In parallel with the military buildup, Machado issued a direct ultimatum to Maduro, warning that if he refuses a negotiated transfer, the severe consequences of the escalating crisis "will be his responsibility alone."

12/20: Political analysts speculate that Machado's Nobel Prize could be leveraged as a humanitarian pretext by the US, potentially framing a military action as the "liberation of a persecuted democratic icon."

13/20: While a massive, conventional ground invasion remains highly unlikely due to the high political and military cost, US military posturing is designed to support targeted kinetic operations and high-impact destabilization efforts.

14/20: Potential scenarios include targeted special operations raids, sustained maritime or air blockades, or precision airstrikes against high-value targets in the security and military infrastructure to induce a regime collapse.

15/20: The Trump administration's commitment to this hardline approach is evidenced by the simultaneous authorization of covert CIA operations within Venezuela, alongside the public military display.

16/20: President Maduro's response has been one of defiance, mobilizing 4.5 million militia members and threatening to employ Russian-supplied air defense and missile systems to defend national sovereignty against external aggression.

17/20: This volatile geopolitical confrontation in the Caribbean significantly raises the danger of an unintended escalation from a military mishap or miscalculation, which could quickly spiral into a wider regional conflict.

18/20: This volatile geopolitical confrontation in the Caribbean significantly raises the danger of an unintended escalation from a military mishap or miscalculation—such as a collision or an accidental engagement with Venezuelan forces—which could quickly spiral out of control and precipitate a wider regional conflict impacting major energy supply routes.

19/20: Ultimately, the current US strategy, masked by the politically convenient banner of the "War on Drugs," is fundamentally geared towards facilitating a pro-US political outcome in the vital energy-rich nation of Venezuela. The true goal is to install a government, ideally led by figures like Machado, that would grant access to Venezuela's vast oil and mineral reserves and firmly shift the country away from its current alliance with Russia and China.

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