69 years ago today, thousands of Soviet troops were entering Hungary to prepare for Operation Whirlwind – the crushing of the Hungarian Revolution. Even as the invasion was being prepared, Hungarians celebrated their last few days of freedom.
2/ Twelve more Soviet divisions have joined the five divisions already stationed in Hungary. They are commanded from Szolnok in central Hungary by Marshal Ivan Konev, a Second World War veteran who is now the Supreme Commander of the Warsaw Pact Combined Forces.
3/ By now well aware of what is planned, Hungarian Prime Minister Imre Nagy (left) protests to Soviet Ambassador on Hungary (and later Party leader) Yuri Andropov (right) and briefs foreign ambassadors in Budapest.
4/ Nagy appeals to the UN to recognise Hungary's neutrality as a guarantee of the withdrawal of Soviet troops. Pál Maléter, newly promoted to Major General and appointed as Minister of Defence, is instructed to negotiate a Soviet withdrawal.
5/ Major General Béla Király develops a defence plan for Budapest, and artillery batteries are installed at important points in the city. The day is otherwise quiet across Hungary, with clashes having virtually ceased following the withdrawal of Soviet troops from the capital.
6/ Life has changed radically for the better for many Hungarians. The hated ÁVH secret police is no more, shops and markets are open, damage from the earlier fighting in Budapest is being cleaned up, and newspapers can publish without censorship for the first time in many years.
7/ However, the Soviets see matters very differently. 650 km away, Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev is secretly meeting with Yugoslav leader Marshal Josip Broz Tito on the Brijuni Islands. Khrushchev is seeking Tito's support, which he obtains, for the imminent invasion.
8/ Khrushchev's arguments are recorded in detail by Veljko Mićunović, Yugoslavia's ambassador to Moscow:
9/ "Communists are being hanged in Hungary, and the restoration of capitalism is imminent. We cannot stand idly by, neither as communists nor as internationalists. If we allowed it, the capitalists would think we were weak or stupid."
10/ The Soviet leader is also concerned about the potential effects of a successful Hungarian Revolution on the Soviet Union itself, "because the Soviet people would say that such a thing could not have happened under the heavy-handed Stalin, thus criticising the new leadership."
11/ Tito recommends that a new "communist revolutionary government composed of Hungarians, which would appeal to the people with some kind of programme" should be formed under János Kádár to replace the collapsed Hungarian communist regime. The Soviets agree.
12/ Khruschev assures Tito that no other Communist states will be involved in the invasion (unlike in the crushing of the Prague Spring in Czechoslovakia twelve years later). Tito, who opposes a suggestion that Romania should participate as well, is relieved:
13/ "That’s good, very good. The other socialist countries don’t have to intervene. The Soviet Union is a great power, and its troops are already in Hungary. They should just provide assistance to the Hungarian working class on a legal basis."
14/ Imre Nagy has already been in touch with the Yugoslavs about providing a refuge for him and his ministers at their embassy, if the Soviets go ahead with their invasion. Tito informs Khrushchev of this, though the latter is almost certainly well aware himself of Nagy's plans.
15/ However, the Soviets have no intention of allowing the Yugoslavs to provide any protection to the members of the Hungarian government. As darkness falls over Hungary, time is running out for the revolution.
69 years ago today, Hungary's dream of freedom and democracy was brutally crushed by 200,000 Soviet troops with over 1,000 tanks. Although Operation Whirlwind was meant to be over in three days, Hungary's revolutionaries fought on for a week.
2/ The Soviet forces already inside Hungary are organized into two armies. The Eighth Army is deployed around Debrecen in the east with six divisions. The 38th Guards Army, stationed around Székesfehérvár in the west, comprises another seven divisions.
3/ A separate 'Special Corps' comprising five elite Guards divisions is stationed just across the border in Romania, with another six divisions assigned to it for the operation. This force has been directed to seize Budapest in the morning of 4 November 1956.
1/ Russia is failing to keep up with Ukraine's drone development, according to a Russian warblogger. In a lengthy commentary, 'Voenkor Kotenok' asks: "Who is stealing Russia's victory on the battlefield in the Special Military Operation?" ⬇️
2/ 'Voenkor Kotenok' blames a range of factors, including bureaucratic inertia, commanders' mismanagement of UAV specialists, a technological deficit, different approaches, and the staffing of some Russian UAV with "cronies" who want what they think are safer roles. He writes:
3/ "The war in Ukraine is being marked by the creation of a new branch of the armed forces.
1/ A Russian marine says that his commander, whom he describes as an incompentent drunkard, ordered his unit to march 20 km and attack a Russian-held position, after which all but three of his men were killed. He's now considering a suicide mission to kill his commanders. ⬇️
2/ The man describes himself as a former Wagner Group fighter now serving with the 61st Separate Marine Brigade (military unit 38643). He says that he was fighting with the 2nd assault company near the village of Malynivka, about 14 km east of Pokrovsk.
3/ He is serving under a commander with the call sign 'Omut' ['Whirlpool'], of whom he says: "He's a total drunk. Before [the mission], there was no training, no preparation, no basic instruction. How, what, and why? He was just messing around..."
1/ This from @slantchev is exactly right. In Russia, there's a long tradition of petitioning the Tsar – petitions were called chelobitnye, literally 'forehead-beating documents', reflecting petitioners' ritual bowing of their foreheads to the ground before the Tsar.
2/ Importantly, this wasn't about appealing to the state's agencies for help – it was about obtaining the direct intercession of the monarch to bypass the slowness, obtuseness, and corruption of the state.
3/ This was a crucial part in maintaining faith in the monarchy. Even if the subjects noticed injustice, poverty, or oppression, it was always far removed from the benevolent figure of the monarch. Or as the Russians say, "Good tsar, bad boyars".
1/ The vast number of Russian casualties sustained in the war in Ukraine will one day require a reckoning, warns a Russian warblogger. He laments that Russia missed the opportunity to conquer Ukraine in 2014 after the revolution which ousted the pro-Russian leadership. ⬇️
2/ "Freeze, freeze, winds of the fields!
Don't disturb us in the mown rye...
In the morning, in the morning, I'll set out on my journey.
And you remember me, but do you hear, don't wait..."
['Freeze, Winds of the Field', by the Russian black metal band Temnozor]
3/ "I don't know how the statistically significant losses of this conflict will be explained in the future. How will they explain the loss of over 1.5 million soldiers on both sides in the battle for four regions that could have been taken almost bloodlessly in 2014?
69 years ago today, the Hungarian Revolution was poised on a knife edge. With Soviet troops pouring into the country – but not yet in action – the Hungarian government made last-ditch efforts to avert an imminent attack.
2/ On the surface, things seem calm: there is no violence, and Soviet negotiators are present in Budapest to discuss topics such as troop withdrawals, ceremonial farewells for the Soviets, and the preservation and restoration of Soviet war memorials.
3/ Prime Minister Imre Nagy reshuffles his government for one last time, replacing the ministers of the previous government. Plans are made for multi-party elections to be held early in 1957. Workers end their strikes, and shops and markets are open as normal.