Clément Molin Profile picture
Nov 4 23 tweets 11 min read Read on X
Seen from Kyiv 🇺🇦, the last Donbas fortress

Most maps of the war in Ukraine are showing the same perspective and the same informations. Here, you will see rivers, railways, fortifications, forests...

20 surprising maps on the war in Ukraine

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️⬇️⬇️Image
1- The frontline in december 2022

Days after the end of the Kharkiv and Kherson counter-offensive, russian army was controling less than 50% of the Donetsk region. The battle for Bakhmut just started and Donetsk was still threatened.

This map may seem old or out of context, but it actually helps to better understand the evolution of the Russian offensives in the Donbas.

One must put oneself in the shoes of the political and military decision-makers in Moscow: they had failed to take Kyiv, Kharkiv, or Odessa, to force Ukraine to capitulate, they had been humiliated in Kharkiv, and had to retreat from Kherson. It was therefore the full force of Soviet firepower that was deployed in the east of the country and became ruthless in the ensuing battles, sometimes at the cost of very heavy losses, as at Bakhmut and Avdiivka.Image
2- Three years in Donbas

The last 3 years of war have mainly been fought in Donbass.

After very slow and costly advances for the Russian army in Bakhmut and Avdiivka in 2023, the offensive towards Pokrovsk accelerated in 2024, with the Ukrainian army surrendering the best fortifications in the Donetsk suburbs.

The main Russian victory took place in South Donetsk, now completely under Russian control, but many months of campaigning remain, at the current pace, between one and two years to capture the last strongholds in North Donetsk. These three years have seen a constant offensive, the gradual depletion of Ukrainian reserves, and the deaths of hundreds of thousands of soldiers in a relentless war of attrition. On paper, the Ukrainian army has held its ground and not yielded, despite local setbacks. It remains to be seen whether it will maintain its endurance.Image
3- Donbas progression
🔴2021
🟠2022
🟡2023
🟡2024
⚪️2025
⚫️Administrative Border

Here is the progress of russian forces in Donbass since february 24th 2022. We can see how slow it has been and the acceleration in 2024 and 2025. There is still a long path to go for Russia. Image
4- One last stand

Seen from Kyiv perspective, the ukrainian Donbass is now much smaller than before, with Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad currently falling, the 4 remaining cities around Kramatorsk will be the last stand for Ukraine in Donbass.

This map may be disturbing isn't it ? Image
5- The last Donbas fortress

As you saw on the first picture of this thread, with the fortification overlay, we can clearly see how much has been built in front of the remaning cities and behind them.

Every additional month is Donbas is more fortifications behind. Image
6- The new Donbas line method

In 2025, Ukraine started digging new style of defenses, with :
-3 ditches filled with barbed wire
-1 dragon teeths with barbed wire on top
-2 barbed wire row

I've called these lines the "New Donbas Lines", because it started in the western part of Donetsk oblast.

Currently, we have two to three such lines of defense in the Donbas, some of which have already proven their worth. They are now being deployed throughout the country, for example, towards Kharkiv, Sumy, and Zaporizhzhia.

Looking at this map, we also notice that almost all of the fortifications face east—curious, isn't it?Image
7- Old and new fortifications

In red, you can see the new fortifications on the "New Donbas Lin" style. In yellow, you can find old fortifications (some are obsolete) and new ones that are still very useful, especially in the case of anti-tank ditches and anti-infantry obstacles Image
8- Railway logistics

After for maps where the north was on the left, we are back at normal. With the end of Pokrovsk as the main Donbas railhub, new cities are being used for this purpose.

They became, thus, strategic cities and objectives for Russia. We have Lozova (the Kramatorsk railway station just closed, so it may become the terminus), Pavlohrad and Zaporizhia.Image
9- Road logistics

The road logistics have also changed a lot recently. Pokrovsk has been replaced by smaller cities playing as frontline logistics hubs. Pavlohrad and Lozova are again playing the role of main supply hubs, together with Zaporizhia. Image
10- Dnipro and Zaporizhia soon threatened ?

The Russian push towards the Dnipropetrovsk region and the initial advance towards Zaporizhzhia raise fears of a long-term threat to the two major cities in central Ukraine.

The immediate concern is not so much the fall of these cities, but rather the gradual neutralization of their capacity as logistics hubs, both rail and road, their strategic industries, and their few remaining bridges over the Dnipro River. Recently, the first modern fortifications have been erected east of Zaporizhzhia, along three lines currently under construction.Image
11- 23 bridges on the Dnipro river

Ukrainian logistics are severely hampered by the Dnieper River, a vast waterway, spanned between Kyiv and Zaporizhzhia (the Kherson bridges having been destroyed) by only 23 bridges (4 of which are solely railway bridges, and a dozen mixed-use bridges), 5 of which are dams and therefore difficult to destroy.

However, if the dozen or so bridges in Zaporizhzhia and the Dnieper River were partially or totally destroyed, Ukrainian logistics would be completely crippled. This is a crucial point to bear in mind.Image
12- Across the Dnipro

Ukrainian strategic reserves are thus positioned west of the Dnieper River and are not intended for deployment in the east. They are there to cover the rear, provide logistics, air defense, training, border security, and so on. In total, it is likely that hundreds of thousands of mobilized personnel (including, unfortunately, those with the highest social and intellectual standing) are being kept on this side of the Dnieper for various reasons.

They have, in particular, a colossal task: maintaining air defenses, guarding the borders with Belarus and Transnistria, and securing the coasts along the Dnieper River and the Black Sea.Image
13- An encircled Ukraine

De-zooming is also very important, on this map, you can see that Ukraine is encircled on all sides, it has to defend all these borders and frontlines...

It also gives us a snapshot of the potential future Ukraine... Image
14- Between Forest and river

The Oskil front is also quite active. When looking at a map, one doesn't necessarily notice two very important landscape features:

Two long, wide rivers (the Donets and the Oskil) and the dense surrounding forests. The Oskil River is a significant natural barrier (not impossible to cross, certainly, but it gives the defender an advantage, while also complicating their logistics). The Siverski Donets River, on the other hand, was the main Ukrainian line of defense in 2022.

The Ukrainian army initially withdrew along the main cities (Sievierodonetsk, Kreminna, Lyman, Izium, Balaklya, Chuihuiv, etc.) before counter-attacking. With the second battle of Lyman about to begin, we are right in the middle of this situation. The river also offers very large forests, which allow for the concealment of equipment and troops and provoke trench warfare, as in the Serebyanka Forest. From an ecological point of view, the fighting in this protected natural area is absolutely devastating for the flora and fauna.Image
15- Northern forests

Talking about forests, we should'nt forget about the large forests in northern Ukraine, where troops, fortifications, air defense an other assets can be easily hidden.

It would also complicate any offensive, but is allowing DRG infiltration. Image
16- 2024-2025

We didn't look that much into russian perspective, this time, we can see in green all the russian progress in 2024 and in 2025. Interesting right ? Image
17- Remaining fortifications

With the same point of view (and obviously, you need to click to zoom in), we can see in red all the remaining ukrainian fortifications in eastern, southern and north-eastern Ukraine. Image
18- Cities, fortifications and rivers east of the Dnipro

Another map, this one on the highest resoltion possible, showing the view from the Dnipro river Image
19- Diplomatic negociations :

On this map, you can see the borders of the 4 "annexed" oblasts, the black line⚫️ is what Putin official wants. The red line🔴 iw what he had before the war and the white line ⚪️ is what he currently has. Image
20- Ukrainian and Russian units

For the last map, I will show you the excellent work of @UAControlMap with all the deployed units of both sides.

Always remember more than 80% of the russian army is currently in Ukraine. Image
Here is the end of this thread. Tell me which maps do you prefer here with the 3 numbers (for example, i will say 5/3/14).

I reached 80 000 followers, thank you very much ! Don't forget to follow me on LinkedIn.

linkedin.com/posts/cl%C3%A9…
If you want to support me to continue making maps and analysis like this, you can do it here :

However, the most important is to follow my account and ❤️🔃, thank you !buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Clément Molin

Clément Molin Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @clement_molin

Dec 6
Analysis of Russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes north of Sumy in 2025

This year, I've closely followed russian airstrike campaign.

In Sumy, I mapped around 4 000 strikes. With recent satellite images of a small 153 km2, I found 1641 airstrikes impact !

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️Image
I found very recent sattelite images from May or June 2025.

What they are showing is really crazy. Multiple airstrikes impacts and wiped out villages, it helps to understand russian strategy. Image
Thus, I have decided to cover this small area of 153km2 with airstrikes visible on the high resolution images of june in white and the ones on mid resolution from october and november in pink.

1641, it's 10.7 per km2 ! Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6
Pourquoi la RD Congo 🇨🇩, le Rwanda 🇷🇼, le Burundi 🇧🇮 et l'Ouganda 🇺🇬 sont ils tous en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Depuis 1994, les trois Etats organisent ensemble le pillage des ressources minières congolaise, changeant régulièrement d'alliance, CARTE :

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Le principal Etat impliqué est le Rwanda. Mais pourquoi est-il en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Lors de la guerre entre le FPR (tutsis) et l'Etat Rwandais (Hutu) entre 1990-1994, le FPR est soutenu et armé par l'Ouganda 🇺🇬, la Grande Bretagne 🇬🇧 et les Etats-Unis 🇺🇸 Image
Battant les forces armées rwandaises (hutus) pendant le génocide, le FPR prend le pouvoir, avec à sa tête Paul Kagame.

Il devient dès lors la vitrine anglo-saxone en Afrique, recevant armes et financements. Les USA organisent via le Rwanda la chute du dictateur Mobutu au Zaïre. Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 28
The use of unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs): the new revolution in the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 war.

Replacing infantry, UGVs fulfill several roles: combat support, troop evacuation, mine-laying, or logistics...

The revolution of ground drones in Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 :

🧵THREAD🧵1/17⬇️Image
Like images from the future, ground drones are becoming increasingly visible on the ground in Ukraine.

While the arrival of aerial drones and their variants, as well as naval drones, has been well covered, the arrival of ground drones has been almost forgotten.
Multiple videos from the last few weeks are showing a wider use of ground drones for various missions.

Even if they are often targeter by aerial drones, they are still being very useful.
Read 17 tweets
Nov 27
« La Russie n'est pas mon ennemie… 🇫🇷🇷🇺 »

📸Tchasiv Yar, Ukraine 🇺🇦

🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
📸Vovchansk Image
📸Marioupol Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 26
Les fortifications peuvent-elles changer le cours de la guerre en faveur de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦 ?

Malgré un manque cruel d'infanterie pour les occuper, les obstacles ukrainiens sont de plus en plus nombreux et conséquents, ralentissant la progression russe 🇷🇺

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️Image
Cela fait plus de 3 ans que j'analyse régulièrement la question des lignes de défense en Ukraine.

J'ai cartographié la quasi-totalité de ces défenses, analysé leurs résultats, leurs échecs et les récentes évolutions. Image
D'abord avec cette carte, vous pouvez voir en rouge les fortifications creusées en 2025 et en vert le territoire pris par l'armée russe la même année.

Pour la première fois, nous allons le voir, ces fortifications sont continues, bien préparées et nombreuses. Image
Read 24 tweets
Nov 25
We often talk about russian 🇷🇺 losses but little about ukrainian 🇺🇦 ones

Holding into Myrnohrad and continuing to send troops inside Pokrovsk has proven to be very costly.

A small update on Pokrovsk, the strategic front and "peace talks" :

🧵THREAD🧵1/12 ⬇️
Russian soldiers have been seen throughout the city of Pokrovsk for 1 month and half.

According to my research, they still control the majority of the city and are continuing their consolidation. The area south of the railway is +/- under Russian control. (old map) Image
The main area of ​​interest is further east. As the video in the first tweet shows, dozens of Ukrainian armored vehicles and pickup trucks were destroyed on the Rodynske-Myrnohrad road. In Myrnohrad, the Ukrainians still control most of the city. Image
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(