“My friends, the world is changing. It's not a question of whether that change will come. It's a question of who will change it.” @ZohranKMamdani
People are choosing real alternatives instead of continuity. Mamdani stands for an antifascist economics in the name of the many. 🧵
His program puts affordability first: a rent freeze on stabilized apartments, construction of 200,000 affordable homes, free buses, universal childcare from 6 weeks to 5 years, & city-run grocery stores in food deserts, funded through higher taxes on millionaires & corporations.
Critics dismiss this as “pie-in-the-sky socialism.” But what they truly object to is something more fundamental: the notion that democratic governments should guarantee people’s basic needs, even if that means intervening in markets.
Essentials like housing, food, energy, & childcare are not ordinary commodities. When their prices surge, they trigger redistribution shocks.
Our research identifies these sectors as key drivers of inequality. Link: scholarworks.umass.edu/entities/publi…
A petroleum price shock hits the poorest Americans with a 54% higher inflation impact than the richest decile. For food, the gap is even greater at 126%.
But windfall profits flow upward: in 2022, half of record fossil-fuel profits went to the richest 1%; only 1% reached the bottom half.
Guaranteeing affordable prices for essentials addresses inequality without dividing society. Free buses or childcare are universal.
They benefit everyone and create solidarity across income, race, and religion — a unifying rather than exclusionary economic agenda.
Public options for essentials are also powerful instruments of price stabilization. The same sectors that matter most for inequality also drive inflation.
By preventing price shocks in essentials, governments can contain inflation & inequality.
This leads to what I mean by antifascist economics. It doesn’t target one party; it tackles the material conditions that make fascism appealing: insecurity, despair, unmet basic needs.
Policies that make life affordable are not just social policy, they are democracy insurance.
If guaranteeing essentials sounds radical in 2025, it speaks to how far we’ve drifted from democracy’s core promise. Markets will not save democracy.
Germany is facing its deepest economic and democratic crisis in decades. Real wages are down, the far right is rising—and the new government has no plan that speaks to the scale of the challenge. A thread 🧵
Germany’s economy has stalled. After six years of stagnation, real GDP growth has plateaued and is almost ten percent below where it should be. The 2022 energy shock triggered the largest one-year drop in real wages since World War II. 2/10
Despite some gains in 2024, real wages are still eight percent below the pre-pandemic trend. Economic insecurity is fueling political extremism. The far-right AfD just finished second in federal elections—and since jumped to the first rank in some polls. 3/10
NEW PAPER: The 2022 fossil fuel price jumps caused an oil and gas profit explosion. We show the US reaped the largest profit increase (USD 275bn) of any country. Big Oil claims this benefits the American people. In fact, 51% went to the richest 1%, only 1% to the bottom 50%. A 🧵
This new working paper has been the outcome of an interdisciplinary collaboration with high powered modelers and wonderful colleagues. @GregorSemieniuk @BJMbraun @JFMercure @PabloSalasB Link:
2/ scholarworks.umass.edu/server/api/cor…
@GregorSemieniuk @BJMbraun @JFMercure @PabloSalasB At the height of the global energy crisis in 2022 that threw people around the world into energy poverty, quarterly net profits in stock market-listed oil and gas companies were at a record globally, peaking in quarter 2. 3/
Economic stabilization used to be part of the disaster preparedness toolbox. It is time we add it back in. Just as it was recognized that some banks were too big to fail after the global financial crisis, we have to recognize that some sectors are “too essential to fail.”
In essential sectors, we need to move from a pure efficiency logic to strategic redundancies. This requires policy interventions.
Ports and other critical infrastructure should have spare capacity and a well-paid work force large enough to ramp up activity when needed. 16/
The Strategic Petroleum Reserve, a publicly owned buffer stock, should be employed systematically to buy when prices collapse & sell when prices explode to avoid price extremes. Buffer stocks can operate in commodity markets like central banks in money markets. 17/
Unemployment weakens governments. Inflation kills. The politically destructive power of inflation had been forgotten. Standard policy tools left us unprepared and fueled inequality. The re-election of Trump should serve as a warning to all democrats.
My first @nytopinion. 1/
In this age of emergencies threats to supply chains are becoming commonplace. Each threat brings the risk of inflation & its power to destabilize governments. If we learned anything from last week’s election, it's that we need new means of protecting our society & democracy. 2/
Among the biggest problems that need fixing: Many business sectors today are dominated by large corporations that can profit from these one-time events. 3/
1/ Former President Trump recently called VP Kamala Harris “full communist” for her stance against price gouging. Some economists argue such policies are “not sensible.” This debate isn’t just about politics—it’s about the foundations of economic theory.
2/ The textbook view says prices should adjust freely to balance supply and demand. This idea is so deeply ingrained in economics that real-world facts are often overlooked. Take Furman’s claim that egg prices rose last year to adjust the supply of eggs.
💥NEW PAPER💥
When the companies that manage essentials like food reap record profits from disasters, there is little hope for resilience. Macro policy cannot fix this. We need a new stabilization paradigm starting from buffer stocks. A 🧶
In search of a post-neoliberal stabilization paradigm, we return to the crossroads of the 1970s: inflation triggered by oil & food price shocks set the stage for international negotiations over commodity price stabilization as part of a New International Economic Order (NIEO). 2/
The Volcker shock crushed the bargaining power of developing countries & workers paving the way for neoliberalism. Debt crises & Washington Consensus policies kept commodity prices low, removing buyers’ rationale for commodity price stabilization & ending the hope for a NIEO. 3/