Honza Černý Profile picture
Nov 5 10 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🧵 THE SILVER STORM IS TURNING INTO A LIQUIDITY HURRICANE ⚡🥈

They told you silver was boring.
They told you manipulation would never end.

But look closer — the system itself is cracking. 👇 Image
Image
1️⃣ The Hidden Reservoir is Draining
The Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility — once holding $2.5 trillion — is now near zero.

That “ocean” of excess cash that kept markets calm?

💨 Gone.

No liquidity buffer.
No margin of safety.
When liquidity dies, real assets rise.
2️⃣ From Draining to Firefighting
The New York Fed’s own repo data shows daily spikes in emergency operations.

Translation: institutions are scrambling for dollars.

This isn’t “normal plumbing.”
It’s the first smoke before the next credit fire. 🔥
3️⃣ The Quiet Panic Beneath the Surface UBS just warned that insurers are “shopping for grades” —the exact playbook banks used before the 2008 crash.

Fake ratings. Hidden leverage.
A trillion-dollar private credit bubble waiting for ignition. 💣
4️⃣ The Setup Is Identical to Every Liquidity Crisis Before

2008 – Subprime mortgages
2020 – Pandemic stimulus
2025 – Private credit & liquidity drain

Each cycle ends the same way:
💸 QE returns.

And every time the Fed prints, silver doesn’t just move — it detonates.
5️⃣ Let’s review the pattern:

2008–2011: Silver $9 → $49 (+440%)

2020–2021: Silver $12 → $30 (+150%)

2025–2026: ?

History doesn’t rhyme — it compounds.
6️⃣ Why silver this time?
Because it’s no longer just a “precious” metal.
It’s a critical industrial resource:

☀️ Solar panels
🚗 EV batteries
⚙️ AI hardware
🛰️ Defense systems

Supply is flat. Demand is structural.
And China just labeled it strategic.
7️⃣ Physical vs. Paper Is Splitting Apart
Shanghai vaults are draining −74 tonnes in a week.
India’s buying spree is breaking import records.
Western ETFs are bleeding metal while COMEX inventories are down 70% since 2021.
Paper claims are piling up on a shrinking pile of real🥈
8️⃣ The Domino Setup
Phase 1️⃣ – Liquidity cracks (Reverse Repo collapse)
Phase 2️⃣ – Credit stress (insurers, private debt)
Phase 3️⃣ – QE reboot
Phase 4️⃣ – Silver rerates violently

You’ll know it’s started when they call it “speculation.” 😉
9️⃣ Final thought:
Manipulation can suppress price — not physics.
Liquidity can vanish — but demand can’t.

When the system runs out of fake money, it runs straight into real money.
And real money is silver. 🦾🥈

#SilverSqueeze #StackerLogic #LiquidityCrisis

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More from @honzacern1

Nov 6
🧵 THREAD:

U.S. Declares Copper & Silver CRITICAL 🚨
This just changed everything for commodities and real assets. 👇 Image
1️⃣ It’s Official.

The U.S. Geological Survey has officially added SILVER 🥈 and COPPER ⚙️ to America’s Critical Minerals List.
That means they’re now considered vital to the nation’s economy and national security. 🇺🇸
2️⃣ Why It Matters:

This list isn’t symbolic.

It’s the blueprint for future policy — guiding billions in investment, mining permits, and trade protections.
In plain English:

→ “Critical” = “Strategic priority.”
→ “Strategic priority” = “Money and protection follow.” 💰🛡️
Read 10 tweets
Nov 6
🧵 THE GREAT SILVER DRAIN — EAST & WEST ALIGN 🥈🌍 Image
Image
1️⃣
Silver just hit $48+ globally.
China’s SGE silver vaults dropped over 90 tonnes this week.

And now, the Comex giants are queuing for physical delivery.

This is no random move — it’s the start of a global squeeze. ⚡
2️⃣
📄 Comex Silver Delivery Intentions – Nov 6 (CME Report):
Among those standing for delivery:

Wells Fargo

JP Morgan

RJ O’Brien

Advantage Futures

ADM

CME itself

When the biggest players take metal instead of cash,
you know the storm is real. 🌪️
Read 6 tweets
Nov 6
🧵 CHINA’S SILVER VAULTS ARE BLEEDING — THE PHYSICAL STORM IS HERE 🇨🇳⚡🥈

Thanks to @oriental_ghost Image
1️⃣
Silver just spiked +1.9% on Shanghai Gold Exchange.
Price closed near ¥11,422/kg ≈ $49.90/oz — almost $50 silver in China.

📈 Demand is overwhelming the system.
This isn’t paper speculation — this is physical.
2️⃣
Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) silver vaults:
656,170 kg → 639,940 kg in ONE DAY
➡️ -16,230 kg

Meanwhile, Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) weekly vaults:
905,235 kg → 830,310 kg
➡️ -74,310 kg in ONE WEEK

That’s over 2.3 MILLION ounces of physical silver gone. 💨
Read 9 tweets
Nov 4
🧵 THE U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN — DAY 34
What happens to silver when the lights go out in Washington? 🏛️🥈 Image
1️⃣
The shutdown has lasted over 34 days — the longest in modern history.

Regulators are silent.

Reports are frozen.

And one of the most important market signals — the COT report — hasn’t been published since September. 📉
2️⃣
No COT = no transparency.

We’re flying blind.

No one knows how big the COMEX positions are, who’s net long, or how deep the shorts go.

Only one thing’s certain — uncertainty itself. 🌀
Read 7 tweets
Nov 4
🧵 MICHAEL BURRY JUST WENT 66% SHORT ON PALANTIR — HERE’S WHY IT MATTERS 💥

1️⃣
Michael Burry’s latest 13F filing shows a massive short position on $PLTR, making up 66% of his entire portfolio.

That’s not a hedge — that’s a full-scale conviction trade. 📉
2️⃣
Why $PLTR?

Because it represents everything Burry loves to bet against:

AI hype with no clear earnings
Retail cult following

A valuation detached from fundamentals

Classic “bubble DNA.” 🧬
3️⃣
Remember 2008?
Everyone laughed at him then, too.
But when the music stopped, he was the only one holding the score sheet. 🎼💣
Read 9 tweets
Nov 3
China's Strategic Move on Silver: What it Means for the Market and Global Politics 🇨🇳🥈

1️⃣ China's New Policy on Key Minerals China has officially classified silver, along with tungsten and antimony, as strategic minerals under export control.

This is a direct step to solidify China’s position in the global supply chain for critical materials.

But what does this mean for the silver market? 🧐👇Image
2️⃣ Silver’s Growing Strategic Importance With demand soaring in solar energy, electronics, and national defense, silver is becoming a cornerstone of global energy transition and security strategies.

China produces over 30% of the world’s silver, meaning they control a significant portion of global supply. 🌏🔋
3️⃣ The Impact on Global Supply This move will likely limit silver exports from China, reducing supply available to the rest of the world.

While it's not a total ban, increased regulation and export quotas will likely push the price higher. 💸📈 #SilverSqueeze
Read 9 tweets

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