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Nov 6 87 tweets 28 min read Read on X
1/ It's time to take a look at Russian tank productions and refurbishment rates! Long time delayed, I know, but finally here! This first part of the thread will be about T-54/55s, T-62s, T-64s and T-80s. T-72 and T-90s and specifics on the industry will come in the second part. Image
2/ Here’s the previous threads, first about APCs, where I also explained the fundamentals and methodology:
4/ As always, first I want to thank @CovertCabal and @A36848080 in particular for helping with the sat imagery. Check Covert’s video on the topic as well!
5/ With the introduction dealt with, and as always too, first I want to make some things clear: we have to consider that for the last year Russia has decisively switched tactics to infantry and light vehicles intensive ones..
6/ Light infantry intense tactics have certainly yielded good results to Russia, as long as they don’t give a shit about the lives of their own men.
8/ Even then, Russia has recently restarted mechanized assaults, tho not with the same intensity as before. With increasingly worse weather, mechanized pushes become feasible and relatively effective once again.
9/ All that said, Russia has spent this year replenishing their armor fleet and has increased refurb and production rates.
10/ While earlier in the war most AFVs taken from storage bases were in good enough condition to be sent to the front without refurbishment, that’s not the case anymore. Image
11/ As always, I want to stress that not every vehicle refurbished meant there was another one lost in combat. The Russian army expanded massively after November 2022.
12/ It’s not just refurbishing and producing tanks, they also repair battle-damaged ones. So it’s not 1:1 to storage bases figures regarding demothballed equipment.
14/ So, let’s now see the rates for each tank type! We shall start by T-62s. We can see that they have become over time in one of the backbones of the Russian tank fleet, per @WarSpotting. Image
Image
15/ T-62s were already used as the main model for mobilization tanks since 2017/18, related also to supplies to Assad’s Syria.
16/ However, T-62s have since late 2022 risen to become one of the backbones of the Russian tank fleet. They’re mainly refurbed and modernized at the 103rd BTRZ, located near Chita. Image
17/ This base had a huge backlog of T-62s before the war, as we can see. Image
18/ However, over the war, and related to their increasing usage and loss rates in Ukraine, this factory has seen its T-62 related activity spike. Image
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19/ Just compare these two pictures from 2025: Image
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20/ The piles of scrap are a good indicator as well:
21/ Even today, we can see more T-62s being sent to the 103rd from storage bases, as the backlog is worked through and T-62s given to the army. Image
Image
24/ I’ve been tracking T-62 demothballing rates at storage bases, and this year has seen a spike in this too (also for other tank types, as we’ll see further below this thread): docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…Image
25/ Also worth noting, as you can see in the T-62 graphics, the 103rd has increasingly become more efficient not just at mere refurbs, but also modernizations.
26/ There’s barely any standard T-62 losses, but rather modernized T-62M/MV or M/MV Obr. 2022 (cheap mobilization upgrade packages).
27/ Which also makes sense considering it’s been a while since the 103rd BTRZ focused almost exclusively on T-62 and barely does refurbs for other types of AFVs anymore.
28/ I believe however that by year we’ve passed the peak of T-62 refurbs. That they’re working on the wrecked T-62 hulls parked at the factory yards for years means the ones in storage are equally terribly preserved and time intensive to reactivate.
29/ Therefore, I estimate a refurb/modernization rate of 300-500 T-62s, with 400 being the most realistic figure. This is considering storage shipments, BTRZ activity and sightings of active T-62s both within proper Russia and in Ukraine.
30/ This might be also related to that contract announced in 2022 about the 103rd BTRZ being ordered 800 T-62s, which by now they surely have achieved:
31/ Oryx accounts for 311 T-62 losses, and that’s considering 20-30% unpublished losses and lack of mechanized attacks: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…
32/ As for the amount of T-62 hull in the 103rd: 583 in 2021, 507 in 2022, 641 in 2023, 534 in 2024 and 356 in 2025. Image
33/ Next, let’s consider T-54/55s and T-64s. These have never been more than outliers, as T-64s were made in Kharkiv and Russia doesn’t have the industrial capabilities to refurb them, and T-54/55s are simply so old and rare in numbers in storage. Image
34/ Most T-64s were ex Ukrainian tanks captured by DLPR forces between 2014 and 2022, and some Russia kept in good state in storage and gave to these proxies to keep their tank fleet operational.
35/ Ukrainian T-64s captured at the end of the Kursk offensive probably replenished the almost extinct Russian T-64 forces.
36/ This is probably why we’ve also seen some movement of stored T-64s, something so rare for most of the war. Still, we’re talking about two digit numbers.
37/ And we’ve also seen some T-64s in footage of Russian repair depots. But that’s probably all we can expect for this tank type.
38/ As for T-54/55s, despite memes their usage and losses has been minimal so far. No wonder, they were retired from service over a decade and half ago and there were barely over 300 left in storage, mostly in bad condition. Image
Image
39/ Russia probably kept them around to have a source of spare parts for countries that still operate T-55s and require maintenance. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T-54/T-55…
40/ However, recently we’ve also seen a spike in the movement of remaining T-54/55s in storage.
41/ And “high” (for T-54/55 previous figures) numbers of losses recently (see the graphic above), with footage of T-55s being delivered to the army:
42/ T-54/55s are probably repaired at their own storage bases. With such low numbers remaining, we can’t expect much from them.
43/ I have the theory that until now these were being used as training tanks, but with an increasing number of more modern tanks available, they’ve decided to dump them on the battlefield:
44/ I also think some were used to convert them to BTS ARVs, as there were too few of those in storage for the amount of them Russia has lost so far.
45/ Again, don’t expect many Russian T-54/55s and T-64s destroyed in Ukraine. Their time has long passed.
46/ Next comes the T-80. By now everyone has come to know these tanks. So many lost in Ukraine. Before the war Russia just had some hundreds in active service, but kept many more well preserved in storage. Image
Image
47/ While no longer in production since the end of the Soviet Union, Omsktransmash has kept refurbishing and modernizing them all these decades (among other things). Image
48/ With 1,225 T-80 lost as of date by Oryx, one can already safely assume Omsk has had a lot of work done these years!
49/ As the 103rd BTRZ with T-62s and seen in the graphics, Omsk does not only refurb T-80B/BVs, but also modernizes them to BVM/BVM Obr. 2022 standards.
50/ Not only is there no shortage of footage both from shipments in and out of the factory (tho not as common as those of T-90Ms and BMP-3s), sat imagery of the factory and deployment and losses in Ukraine. Image
53/ And of course, the almost total disappearance of T-80s from storage bases! Image
54/ But we also have other news that also point to this, such as the restart of mass production of GTD-1250 tank engines that T-80B/BV/BVMs use:
55/ Refurb and modernization has been so high that barely some poor T-80B/BV hulls remain in storage, and they have probably even used up most stored T-80UDs (same problem with these as with T.64s) to get spare parts for B/BVs. Image
56/ In fact, in this image we’re probably seeing some cannibalized T-80UD turrets at Omsk: Image
57/ But back on Omsk’s capabilities: back in 2021, the only T-80s you could spot were these 52 ones, parked there for years and clearly cannibalized. Nothing would change during 2022, either. Image
Image
58/ And in 2023, suddenly, T-80s everywhere, in massive numbers, waiting to be refurbished or modernized to BVM standard. Image
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59/ And even more T-80s in the backlog in 2024. Image
Image
60/ Do consider that the lower part of this footage wasn't updated and it's still from 2023. You can see the line where the two images become blurry. Image
61/ But even then, we can see there was a lot of activity between May 2023 and May 2024. Even those 52 cannibalized hulls were finally put to use, either completely scrapped or refurbished. You can see some missing and a pile of turrets a bit north of them. Image
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62/ And weirdly enough, some T-62s and even a solitary T-90 among all T-80s. Image
63/ And then, in March 2025 the amount of T-80s waiting in the yards finally decreased, with even some fewer by April and May. Image
Image
64/ Likely, the factory is already feeling the running out of viable hulls and is now doing extra work to prep the remaining ones sitting outside the factory proper. Image
65/ Even them, the sheer amount of T-80s they refurbed and modernized so far means that Russia will still field T-80s for the foreseeable future if attrition remains at the current rate.
66/ Like T-62s (and also T-72s and T-90Ms), we have so much footage of T-80s in rear units, training and stationed within Russian territory.
69/ And what’s more important, Omsk doesn’t just refurb T-80B/BVs, it also modernizes a lot to T-80BVM and BVM Obr. 2022 (the latter being the cheaper mobilization-rate upgrade package).
70/ I estimate it’s 50/50 between refurbed and modernized tanks.
71/ Overall, Omsk has seen: 52 T-80 hulls both in 2021 and 2022, 381 in 2023, 455 in 2024 and 394 in 2025. Image
72/ Finally, it’s worth pointing out that the 61st BTRZ near Leningrad also does refurbs on T-80B/BVs AND T-80Us. Image
Image
74/ The 61st has by now cleared its prewar backlog of over 300 of T-80s, as you can see in the image by the low amount of armored vehicles remaining here: Image
75/ However, so far it doesn’t appear this plant has done heavy lifting as part of the overall tank repair effort, and what little footage we’ve got mostly shows T-72s.
76/ The big question is: what will Russia do when one of its main sources of tanks completely runs out in the medium term?
77/ No longer are we seeing this kind of abominations, as hulls have become scarcer:
78/ The answer was given by Russia itself a while ago: restart production, under the lead of UVZ.
79/ However, so far that hasn’t happened, but we keep getting hints that they’re indeed planning on doing that, not least because T-80 hulls will also be used for other systems such as TOS thermobaric systems, 2S19s, etc.
80/ Not to mention the already mentioned engine production.
81/ In total, I estimate 12-15 T-80BVs and 12-15 T-80BVMs delivered each month; over 300 in total per year.
82/ And as for people about to bark about Russian industrial capabilities being shit, even if there are, things like unfortunately these happen:
84/ That’s it for now! I’ll try to write up ASAP the second half of this tank BTRZ thread regarding T-72s, T-90s and specifics on production and future developments! So far, this is a summary of what’s been discussed: Image
85/ Hopefully I won't remember some data I forgot to write up as soon as I press the publish button lol.
86/ As always, kudos to everyone who helped, who by now are too many people to mention, by in this case specially @WillKnowler, @Rhaescuporis and @T_90AK for obvious reasons, and also Raptorama for making the graphics! Thanks again to everyone!
@WillKnowler @Rhaescuporis @T_90AK 87/ Of course I was missing something... In multiple images of the 103rd you can see that tanks waiting dispatch usually are around 30 odd units, which leads me to estime 400 T-62s refurbished this year: Image

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More from @Jonpy99

Oct 30
Lyman looking as bad as Pokrovsk and Kupyansk.
There's one fundamental reason for everything that we're seeing lately, and it's been in the making for 2 years already: Zelensky & co refusing to understand that this is a war of survival and not enacting a proper mobilization. Corruption, incompetence, political interests...
Call it whatever you want, but at some point it's not even Syrskiy's fault anymore. YOU CAN'T HOLD GROUND WITHOUT INFANTRY. Everything and everywhere is atrociously undermanned.
Read 8 tweets
Oct 8
Since some people are wondering how many of the "poor" and "worse" tanks can ever be brought back to service, let me explain it once more: ALL OF THEM. It's just a matter of money and time, and how willing the Kremlin is to waste its assets. Image
Take for example the 2456th tank storage base. The main facility is the one already known, but to the right there's the old scrapyard. Right when the war started they were scrapping T-62s and 64s there, but they stopped for obvious reasons: Image
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We included this tanks in our count, as explained by @CovertCabal in his video about the 2456th, because the ones remaning weren't yet scrapped, tho they're in a terrible state. Image
Image
Image
Read 7 tweets
Oct 8
Thanks to the kind benefactor we observe that in 3-4 months things have changed a lot for the Russian tank reserve:
- Overall tanks have dropped from 3,106 to 2,478.
- More specifically, T-72As, which previously stand almost the same as prewar, have dropped from 900 to just 461. Image
Even at bases which previously hadn't seen abrely any tank drawdown like the 2544th, which also has T-62s, T-72As are being pulled out like crazy. Image
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No surprise, considering other recent developments linked to this one, which are what allowed us to suspect in the first place T-72As were fastly being removed from storage bases:
Read 9 tweets
Oct 2
So we all were wrong, Russia is in fact modernizing T-90As into T-90Ms. And I'm very happy to be proven wrong, as this is good news for Ukraine.
Only question now is how many T-90As they had in the first place, how many T-90Ms are actually made from scratch and how long the tank stockpiles will last, considering they already going for T-72As.
To clarify: this doesn't mean Russia doesn't produce T-90Ms from scratch. In fact T-90A refurbs are probably but a tiny share of the total producion. Among other things, because barely 200 T-90As were produced.
Read 4 tweets
Aug 13
1/ Sort 🧵about the 6018th: while there's still no new decent footage of this major storage base, a closer look at a recent update on Copernicus (Sentinel-2) appears to show a lot of naked ground on the spot where there used to be a lot of the remaining (poorly conserved) armor. Image
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2/ After mostly emptying out the 6018th earlier in the war, in recent times they've come back to pick up the remains.
3/ I previously speculated that these base probably has seen, at the vary least, most or all of their remaining rusty T-80s and better preserved BMP-1/2/3s taken in recent months. We'll just have to wait until better proof of it. Image
Image
Read 8 tweets
Jul 24
It would appear whatever stock of T-72Bs held UVZ at their own facilities, is now exhausted, as the Russians have restarted to take T-72Bs stored at the 1311th base to be refurbished at that factory. The stock probably won't last long, I estimate they pull ~20 per month.
Also, unless I'm seriously mistaken with the count/IDs, there are no more T-80BVs at the 1311th. By now it's likely there are no stored T-80s left at all (possibly the ones remaining at the 22nd are all T-80UDs).
Would need a recent image of the 6018th to prove it, but unfortunately that base gets no coverage at all as of lately. This would also point to Omsktransmash being able to quickly work through its backlog of T-80s, similar to what I already analyzed in previous BTRZ threads.
Read 5 tweets

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