1/ It's time to take a look at Russian tank productions and refurbishment rates! Long time delayed, I know, but finally here! This first part of the thread will be about T-54/55s, T-62s, T-64s and T-80s. T-72 and T-90s and specifics on the industry will come in the second part.
2/ Here’s the previous threads, first about APCs, where I also explained the fundamentals and methodology:
4/ As always, first I want to thank @CovertCabal and @A36848080 in particular for helping with the sat imagery. Check Covert’s video on the topic as well!
5/ With the introduction dealt with, and as always too, first I want to make some things clear: we have to consider that for the last year Russia has decisively switched tactics to infantry and light vehicles intensive ones..
8/ Even then, Russia has recently restarted mechanized assaults, tho not with the same intensity as before. With increasingly worse weather, mechanized pushes become feasible and relatively effective once again.
10/ While earlier in the war most AFVs taken from storage bases were in good enough condition to be sent to the front without refurbishment, that’s not the case anymore.
11/ As always, I want to stress that not every vehicle refurbished meant there was another one lost in combat. The Russian army expanded massively after November 2022.
12/ It’s not just refurbishing and producing tanks, they also repair battle-damaged ones. So it’s not 1:1 to storage bases figures regarding demothballed equipment.
14/ So, let’s now see the rates for each tank type! We shall start by T-62s. We can see that they have become over time in one of the backbones of the Russian tank fleet, per @WarSpotting.
15/ T-62s were already used as the main model for mobilization tanks since 2017/18, related also to supplies to Assad’s Syria.
16/ However, T-62s have since late 2022 risen to become one of the backbones of the Russian tank fleet. They’re mainly refurbed and modernized at the 103rd BTRZ, located near Chita.
17/ This base had a huge backlog of T-62s before the war, as we can see.
18/ However, over the war, and related to their increasing usage and loss rates in Ukraine, this factory has seen its T-62 related activity spike.
19/ Just compare these two pictures from 2025:
20/ The piles of scrap are a good indicator as well:
24/ I’ve been tracking T-62 demothballing rates at storage bases, and this year has seen a spike in this too (also for other tank types, as we’ll see further below this thread): docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
25/ Also worth noting, as you can see in the T-62 graphics, the 103rd has increasingly become more efficient not just at mere refurbs, but also modernizations.
27/ Which also makes sense considering it’s been a while since the 103rd BTRZ focused almost exclusively on T-62 and barely does refurbs for other types of AFVs anymore.
28/ I believe however that by year we’ve passed the peak of T-62 refurbs. That they’re working on the wrecked T-62 hulls parked at the factory yards for years means the ones in storage are equally terribly preserved and time intensive to reactivate.
29/ Therefore, I estimate a refurb/modernization rate of 300-500 T-62s, with 400 being the most realistic figure. This is considering storage shipments, BTRZ activity and sightings of active T-62s both within proper Russia and in Ukraine.
30/ This might be also related to that contract announced in 2022 about the 103rd BTRZ being ordered 800 T-62s, which by now they surely have achieved:
31/ Oryx accounts for 311 T-62 losses, and that’s considering 20-30% unpublished losses and lack of mechanized attacks: oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack…
32/ As for the amount of T-62 hull in the 103rd: 583 in 2021, 507 in 2022, 641 in 2023, 534 in 2024 and 356 in 2025.
33/ Next, let’s consider T-54/55s and T-64s. These have never been more than outliers, as T-64s were made in Kharkiv and Russia doesn’t have the industrial capabilities to refurb them, and T-54/55s are simply so old and rare in numbers in storage.
34/ Most T-64s were ex Ukrainian tanks captured by DLPR forces between 2014 and 2022, and some Russia kept in good state in storage and gave to these proxies to keep their tank fleet operational.
36/ This is probably why we’ve also seen some movement of stored T-64s, something so rare for most of the war. Still, we’re talking about two digit numbers.
38/ As for T-54/55s, despite memes their usage and losses has been minimal so far. No wonder, they were retired from service over a decade and half ago and there were barely over 300 left in storage, mostly in bad condition.
39/ Russia probably kept them around to have a source of spare parts for countries that still operate T-55s and require maintenance. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/T-54/T-55…
40/ However, recently we’ve also seen a spike in the movement of remaining T-54/55s in storage.
43/ I have the theory that until now these were being used as training tanks, but with an increasing number of more modern tanks available, they’ve decided to dump them on the battlefield:
46/ Next comes the T-80. By now everyone has come to know these tanks. So many lost in Ukraine. Before the war Russia just had some hundreds in active service, but kept many more well preserved in storage.
47/ While no longer in production since the end of the Soviet Union, Omsktransmash has kept refurbishing and modernizing them all these decades (among other things).
48/ With 1,225 T-80 lost as of date by Oryx, one can already safely assume Omsk has had a lot of work done these years!
49/ As the 103rd BTRZ with T-62s and seen in the graphics, Omsk does not only refurb T-80B/BVs, but also modernizes them to BVM/BVM Obr. 2022 standards.
50/ Not only is there no shortage of footage both from shipments in and out of the factory (tho not as common as those of T-90Ms and BMP-3s), sat imagery of the factory and deployment and losses in Ukraine.
55/ Refurb and modernization has been so high that barely some poor T-80B/BV hulls remain in storage, and they have probably even used up most stored T-80UDs (same problem with these as with T.64s) to get spare parts for B/BVs.
56/ In fact, in this image we’re probably seeing some cannibalized T-80UD turrets at Omsk:
57/ But back on Omsk’s capabilities: back in 2021, the only T-80s you could spot were these 52 ones, parked there for years and clearly cannibalized. Nothing would change during 2022, either.
58/ And in 2023, suddenly, T-80s everywhere, in massive numbers, waiting to be refurbished or modernized to BVM standard.
59/ And even more T-80s in the backlog in 2024.
60/ Do consider that the lower part of this footage wasn't updated and it's still from 2023. You can see the line where the two images become blurry.
61/ But even then, we can see there was a lot of activity between May 2023 and May 2024. Even those 52 cannibalized hulls were finally put to use, either completely scrapped or refurbished. You can see some missing and a pile of turrets a bit north of them.
62/ And weirdly enough, some T-62s and even a solitary T-90 among all T-80s.
63/ And then, in March 2025 the amount of T-80s waiting in the yards finally decreased, with even some fewer by April and May.
64/ Likely, the factory is already feeling the running out of viable hulls and is now doing extra work to prep the remaining ones sitting outside the factory proper.
65/ Even them, the sheer amount of T-80s they refurbed and modernized so far means that Russia will still field T-80s for the foreseeable future if attrition remains at the current rate.
66/ Like T-62s (and also T-72s and T-90Ms), we have so much footage of T-80s in rear units, training and stationed within Russian territory.
69/ And what’s more important, Omsk doesn’t just refurb T-80B/BVs, it also modernizes a lot to T-80BVM and BVM Obr. 2022 (the latter being the cheaper mobilization-rate upgrade package).
74/ The 61st has by now cleared its prewar backlog of over 300 of T-80s, as you can see in the image by the low amount of armored vehicles remaining here:
75/ However, so far it doesn’t appear this plant has done heavy lifting as part of the overall tank repair effort, and what little footage we’ve got mostly shows T-72s.
79/ However, so far that hasn’t happened, but we keep getting hints that they’re indeed planning on doing that, not least because T-80 hulls will also be used for other systems such as TOS thermobaric systems, 2S19s, etc.
84/ That’s it for now! I’ll try to write up ASAP the second half of this tank BTRZ thread regarding T-72s, T-90s and specifics on production and future developments! So far, this is a summary of what’s been discussed:
85/ Hopefully I won't remember some data I forgot to write up as soon as I press the publish button lol.
86/ As always, kudos to everyone who helped, who by now are too many people to mention, by in this case specially @WillKnowler, @Rhaescuporis and @T_90AK for obvious reasons, and also Raptorama for making the graphics! Thanks again to everyone!
@WillKnowler @Rhaescuporis @T_90AK 87/ Of course I was missing something... In multiple images of the 103rd you can see that tanks waiting dispatch usually are around 30 odd units, which leads me to estime 400 T-62s refurbished this year:
There's one fundamental reason for everything that we're seeing lately, and it's been in the making for 2 years already: Zelensky & co refusing to understand that this is a war of survival and not enacting a proper mobilization. Corruption, incompetence, political interests...
Call it whatever you want, but at some point it's not even Syrskiy's fault anymore. YOU CAN'T HOLD GROUND WITHOUT INFANTRY. Everything and everywhere is atrociously undermanned.
Since some people are wondering how many of the "poor" and "worse" tanks can ever be brought back to service, let me explain it once more: ALL OF THEM. It's just a matter of money and time, and how willing the Kremlin is to waste its assets.
Take for example the 2456th tank storage base. The main facility is the one already known, but to the right there's the old scrapyard. Right when the war started they were scrapping T-62s and 64s there, but they stopped for obvious reasons:
We included this tanks in our count, as explained by @CovertCabal in his video about the 2456th, because the ones remaning weren't yet scrapped, tho they're in a terrible state.
Thanks to the kind benefactor we observe that in 3-4 months things have changed a lot for the Russian tank reserve:
- Overall tanks have dropped from 3,106 to 2,478.
- More specifically, T-72As, which previously stand almost the same as prewar, have dropped from 900 to just 461.
Even at bases which previously hadn't seen abrely any tank drawdown like the 2544th, which also has T-62s, T-72As are being pulled out like crazy.
No surprise, considering other recent developments linked to this one, which are what allowed us to suspect in the first place T-72As were fastly being removed from storage bases:
Only question now is how many T-90As they had in the first place, how many T-90Ms are actually made from scratch and how long the tank stockpiles will last, considering they already going for T-72As.
To clarify: this doesn't mean Russia doesn't produce T-90Ms from scratch. In fact T-90A refurbs are probably but a tiny share of the total producion. Among other things, because barely 200 T-90As were produced.
1/ Sort 🧵about the 6018th: while there's still no new decent footage of this major storage base, a closer look at a recent update on Copernicus (Sentinel-2) appears to show a lot of naked ground on the spot where there used to be a lot of the remaining (poorly conserved) armor.
2/ After mostly emptying out the 6018th earlier in the war, in recent times they've come back to pick up the remains.
3/ I previously speculated that these base probably has seen, at the vary least, most or all of their remaining rusty T-80s and better preserved BMP-1/2/3s taken in recent months. We'll just have to wait until better proof of it.
It would appear whatever stock of T-72Bs held UVZ at their own facilities, is now exhausted, as the Russians have restarted to take T-72Bs stored at the 1311th base to be refurbished at that factory. The stock probably won't last long, I estimate they pull ~20 per month.
Also, unless I'm seriously mistaken with the count/IDs, there are no more T-80BVs at the 1311th. By now it's likely there are no stored T-80s left at all (possibly the ones remaining at the 22nd are all T-80UDs).
Would need a recent image of the 6018th to prove it, but unfortunately that base gets no coverage at all as of lately. This would also point to Omsktransmash being able to quickly work through its backlog of T-80s, similar to what I already analyzed in previous BTRZ threads.