David Turver Profile picture
Nov 9 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Both Reform and Tories have committed to getting rid of Net Zero. While these commitments are welcome, ending Net Zero brings some risks that need to be mitigated (1/n) Image
First up, cutting carbon taxes on gas-fired electricity and ending Renewables Obligation subsidies early will cut revenues for these generators and asset values will collapse (2/n)
This runs the risk of crystallising decommissioning costs. Neither the windfarms, operators or investment vehicles have set aside ring fenced cash to cover the liability. To mitigate this a new Government should ban dividend payments until decomm cash is built up (3/n)
CfD funded units should also be compelled to build up ring-fenced cash, particularly those that have not activated their CfD and are running on a merchant basis. These units will be vulnerable to cuts in carbon costs because wholesale rates will fall (4/n)
To find out more, you can sign up for free to read the full article on the link below (5/5)

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More from @7Kiwi

Nov 2
Today is a sad day, but the show must go on. Time to think about the poor bankers if Reform or Tories get in and abandon Renewables Obligations and cut carbon taxes (1/n) Image
ROCs will cost about £7.8bn this financial year. Onshore and offshore wind are the biggest recipients of ROC subsidies (2/n)
Carbon costs add about £2bn to electricity bills and the cost is rising after Starmer announced we would realign with the EU ETS scheme. Carbon costs make up about a third of wholesale electricity prices (3/n) Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 28
Yesterday, Miliband announced the for the AR7 renewables Contract for Difference (CfD) auction. He's offering £113/MWh for fixed and £271/MWh for floating offshore wind index-linked for 20 years. This will drive up our electricity bills & miss his own CP2030 target. (1/n) Image
First up he has set the budget for offshore wind at £1,080m, split £900m for fixed-bottom and £180m for floating offshore wind. In essence this means the Government expects this auction to add £1.08bn to our bills, which compares to the £2.4bn total CfD cost in 2024/25 (2/n) Image
How much capacity will this buy? It's a complex calculation, but if contracts are awarded at the £113/MWh offer price, the auction will deliver a maximum 3GW of fixed bottom offshore wind (3/n) Image
Read 11 tweets
Oct 26
New research from More In Common shows high energy prices are driving a revolutionary mood. When asked about our institutions, 43% of people can't help thinking "just let them all burn". What is going on. (1/n) Image
First, there is widespread concern and stress about energy bills across all income groups, even those households earning >£100,000/yr (2/n) Image
In a superbly ironic twist, nearly three quarters of Labour and Green voters are concerned about high energy bills this winter. Turns out renewables aren't cheap after all (3/n) Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 15
In preparation for my appearance at #BattleFest on Saturday, I've written a new article on Why is My Energy Bill So High? A thread 🧵(1/n) Image
First off, we have the highest industrial electricity prices in the developed world and the second highest domestic prices. Prices like this represent an existential threat to the economy (2/n) Image
Gas plays a part in setting the wholesale price of electricity, and the cost of gas used in electricity generation in 2024 was about £5.5bn (3/n)
Read 11 tweets
Oct 12
Despite receiving huge subsidies and curtailment payments, yet another wind farm investor is issuing profit warnings. What is going on at Greencoat UK Wind $UKW ? Sunday thread 🧵(1/n) Image
The UKW share price has been on a downward trend since peaking in September 2022 despite paying large dividends and buying back shares (2/n) Image
The large dividends can be paid because the windfarms UKW has a stake in have been paid billions in subsidies, over £8.7bn in total, of which UKW will have received a share. They also get paid to turn off when it's too windy - curtailment payments (3/n) Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 5
How do you go bankrupt? Slowly at first, then suddenly. How does Net Zero crumble? Slowly at first, then suddenly. Net Zero is collapsing faster than the coal power stations blown up by Alok Sharma. A thread (1/n) Image
Not too long ago, the Climate Change and Net Zero agenda was seemingly impregnable. Party leaders agreed to put the agenda outside democratic control (2/n) Image
At COP26 the Tories were falling over themselves to comply with the agenda: blowing up coal power stations and aligning £trillions of global finance towards Net Zero (3/n)
Read 10 tweets

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