tern Profile picture
Nov 10 22 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If Covid infections caused harm to the immune system like weakening immune surveillance and dysregulation of T cell balance, making it harder to keep old viruses in check, then you'd expect to see some things.

Things.
🧵
You'd expect dormant infections to flare up again.
You'd expect more shingles, more EBV activity, maybe even more HPV-related disease...
And if HPV was normally kept quiet by a healthy immune system, then anything that disturbs that balance could let it get a foothold.
Look at the data for hospital episodes where HPV is listed as the cause of other diseases.

It’s not subtle. Image
After 2020 the numbers climb fast, especially in older adults. Image
That’s not about sexual behaviour suddenly changing at 70.
They're not catching more HPV.
It looks like vulnerability.
And it raises a serious question:
what if the long-term immune fallout of repeated Covid infections is showing up in the rise of old, slow viruses that the body used to keep under control?
Zoster (shingles) encephalitis in teenagers. Image
Zoster (shingles) eye disease in older adults. Image
Zoster (shingles) eye disease in teenagers. Image
Epstein Barr (glandular fever/mono) in older adults.
🤔 Image
Epstein Barr (glandular fever /mono) in teens. Image
Maybe those trends will all blow over and everything from here on will be rainbows and unicorns.
But until that happens, I'm going to take the precautionary approach and mask up and try not to catch Covid.
PS. And if Covid infections made it harder for the immune system to keep retroviruses under control too, you might see that show up here as well...
Oh.
Would you look at that.
Retroviruses turning up and causing problems.
What a surprise.
Gosh I am so shocked.

Please, someone fetch me my shocked expression. Image
Retroviruses don't just mean HIV.

There are endogenous retroviral elements buried in our DNA that usually stay silent, and HTLV-like viruses that only flare when immunity slips.
So a post-2020 rise in B97.3 – Retrovirus as the cause of diseases classified to other chapters could be another quiet signal that something’s off with immune regulation.
Not new exposure:

Old code. New vulnerability.
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More from @1goodtern

Nov 11
I've been watching soccer players here get ACL injuries with painful regularity over the last five years.

I've had two ACL injuries myself, and some times of year I develop a painful ache just below and to the side of my knee that feels like a small ball of pure pain.
🧵
So whenever I hear about someone going through this, I feel a strong personal empathy.
I know what it's going to be like for them to try to sleep tonight, and how they'll feel when they try to roll over.
Read 35 tweets
Nov 11
You might think that public health bodies and institutions and their leaders know what they're talking about, but, sadly, they often just regurgitate garbage fake science that has no actual basis in fact, but sometimes it's more sinister than that.
Here's an example, shared a couple of weeks ago by the American Society of Microbiology.

It includes a claim (a lie, actually, but we'll come to that) that you might have seen repeated a lot during the last few years. Image
The *lie* that "80% of all infectious diseases are passed by human contact, direct or indirect".
Read 53 tweets
Nov 10
I'm slowly working my way through the thousands of conditions covered by the uk hospital episodes data.

Quite a few people have been asking me about POTS and Dysautonomia.

Well...
Where shall we start.

Autonomic nervous systems in teenagers? Image
👆That one was a catch all code covering disorders with overlapping sympathetic and parasympathetic dysfunction, post-viral or inflammatory dysautonomia, autonomic failure associated with another systemic disease, mixed or multi-system dysautonomia.
Read 17 tweets
Nov 10
I think it's worth taking a look at the trends in hospital episodes for breast cancer.
🧵
A few graphs to follow.
They show the number of 'hospital episodes' for different aspects of breast cancer.

Hospital episodes are *not the same* as case numbers, or people suffering from breast cancer.
But 'hospital episodes' are a very important tool to monitor changes in prevalence of conditions.
Read 45 tweets
Nov 9
Why are people fighting about what Long Covid is?

This is really important.
Long Covid is the casual term for the long term health problems caused by Covid infection.
But it's an *umbrella term*, which means that it *covers a lot of different aspects*.
Read 40 tweets
Nov 8
It's probably time to talk about bird flu again.
🧵
You may have noticed UKHSA going into intense *we're not panicking mode* about flu here.
They've given a few reasons, including the circulating strains causing more illness and death...

Image
Read 26 tweets

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