If Covid infections caused harm to the immune system like weakening immune surveillance and dysregulation of T cell balance, making it harder to keep old viruses in check, then you'd expect to see some things.
Things.
🧵
You'd expect dormant infections to flare up again.
You'd expect more shingles, more EBV activity, maybe even more HPV-related disease...
And if HPV was normally kept quiet by a healthy immune system, then anything that disturbs that balance could let it get a foothold.
Look at the data for hospital episodes where HPV is listed as the cause of other diseases.
It’s not subtle.
After 2020 the numbers climb fast, especially in older adults.
That’s not about sexual behaviour suddenly changing at 70.
They're not catching more HPV.
It looks like vulnerability.
And it raises a serious question:
what if the long-term immune fallout of repeated Covid infections is showing up in the rise of old, slow viruses that the body used to keep under control?
Zoster (shingles) encephalitis in teenagers.
Zoster (shingles) eye disease in older adults.
Zoster (shingles) eye disease in teenagers.
Epstein Barr (glandular fever/mono) in older adults.
🤔
Epstein Barr (glandular fever /mono) in teens.
Maybe those trends will all blow over and everything from here on will be rainbows and unicorns.
But until that happens, I'm going to take the precautionary approach and mask up and try not to catch Covid.
PS. And if Covid infections made it harder for the immune system to keep retroviruses under control too, you might see that show up here as well...
Oh.
Would you look at that.
Retroviruses turning up and causing problems.
What a surprise.
Gosh I am so shocked.
Please, someone fetch me my shocked expression.
Retroviruses don't just mean HIV.
There are endogenous retroviral elements buried in our DNA that usually stay silent, and HTLV-like viruses that only flare when immunity slips.
So a post-2020 rise in B97.3 – Retrovirus as the cause of diseases classified to other chapters could be another quiet signal that something’s off with immune regulation.
I went to visit a 45 year old man in hospital today.
He's recovering from complications of his recovery from surgery after an infection... and he said that while he was ill, three of his teeth fell out.
I have had another horrible realisation. It suddenly made sense of *loads* of things about the effects of covid infection itself, but it also made massive sense of why public health is missing what's going on.
🧵🙏
This is hard to articulate coherently, but I'm going to try.
They're trying to have the best of both worlds, the best of every world...
I'm fumbling for words here, but I'll get them right.