James Young Profile picture
Nov 15, 2025 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Stock–Flow Consistent Formulation of
Kalecki–Young Sectoral Inflation Decomposition (KYSID)

"Recasting KYSID within a stock–flow consistent (SFC) framework clarifies that the inflation process is a balance-sheet outcome." Image
Core flow-of-funds identity Image
Distributional block Image
Inflation decomposition (consistent with KYSID) Image
Full SFC closure condition Image
By embedding the KYSID decomposition within the SFC matrix, the model gains full accounting closure and compatibility with the Post-Keynesian stock–flow tradition, while retaining the analytical tractability of its ratio-based form. Image
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More from @JamesYo43532848

Feb 27
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Feb 25
Everyone knows that GDP is driven by Total Credit.

Now we know that PCE growth is largely driven by
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"In a 2-variable VAR (Assets–PCE only), asset composite explains ~72.7% of PCE variance at 12 months." Image
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Feb 9
“NK models require fungible capital to avoid balance sheets — "

Non-fungible capital isn’t a hypothesis that needs testing — it’s the real-world condition.
Fungible capital is the modelling assumption, and once you drop it, balance sheets become unavoidable...

.. and the NK equilibrium story disappears.Image
Once capital is non-fungible, such exclusion is no longer valid, and New Keynesian models lose closure without explicit balance-sheet dynamics. Image
When demand shifts or prices change, firms can’t just move their capital to a better use. They’re left with assets that may no longer earn enough revenue — but the debts used to build those assets don’t disappear. Image
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Jan 24
From Credit Creation to Claim Enforcement: Debt Service, Labour Share, and Balance-Sheet Constraints

"Macroeconomic models that omit leverage and debt service as state variables are therefore empirically incomplete for the purposes of analysing modern inflation and distribution dynamics in high-debt economies."Image
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Read 32 tweets
Jan 23
Services Inflation Dynamics, Housing Pass-Through, and the Misinterpretation of Wage Inflation

"In sum, services inflation in the United States is best understood as a housing-anchored, lag-driven process in which wages play an adaptive rather than causal role." Image
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Jan 14
Solving Tarullo’s Inflation Puzzle:

A Balance-Sheet Theory of Inflation Control

"Solving Tarullo’s inflation puzzle requires shifting the theoretical object of inflation from slack and beliefs to balance-sheet consistency." Image
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Read 21 tweets

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