Andreas Umland Profile picture
Nov 21 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🧵
The joint US-Russian "peace plan" aims to end Ukraine's national sovereignty and territorial integrity permanently and officially.
Washington publicly assists Moscow in its attempt to transform a UN member from a sovereign nation-state into an indeterminate rump territory.

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The US is the 3rd out of five permanent #UNSC members and #NPT nuclear-weapon states actively engaged in the dismantling of a 1945 @UN founding republic and official #NPT non-nuclear-weapon state.

Moscow, Beijing & Washington are now jointly destroying the Ukrainian nation.

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@UN The three largest guarantors of the #UnitedNations system & nuclear non-proliferation regime are perverting, in relation to a regular UN member & #NNWS in good standing, the original purposes of the UN & NPT.

They punish Ukraine for its trust in these worldwide agreements.

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@UN The special rights of Russia, China & the US within the UN & NPT help them to jointly dismantle Ukraine - once the third largest nuclear-armed state that gave voluntarily up its nuclear arsenal & received, from the three superpowers, written security assurances/guarantees.

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@UN More than half of the five guarantor states of the United Nations system & nuclear non-proliferation regime are now, in Ukraine, jointly turning the original purposes of these arrangements on their heads.

This is the beginning of the end of the UN & NPT.

#BraveNewWorld

/END
PS: Also note that Russia typically does not implement agreements signed with independent former Soviet republics. It promised to withdraw its troops in agreements with Moldova in 1994, Georgia in 2008, & Ukraine in 2014/2015.

Moscow never did & probably never intended to do so.
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More from @UmlandAndreas

Mar 3
THREAD

Couldn’t 26 EU member countries simply announce an end of the 2009 #LisbonTreaty, and concurrently sign an identical agreement, but without Hungary (...as well as perhaps offer the UK to renew its 2007 signature)?

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Obviously, this would be a legal and procedural challenge.
Yet, Hungary has been outside European integration for some time now.

Budapest is becoming an anti-Brussels Trojan horse tasked to...

/2
A) end the European unification project,

(B) promote an alternative "Eurasian" fantasy agenda,

(C) represent non-European interests (e.g. of China, Russia & the USA) inside the EU,

/3


@EC_Budapest @Dem_Integrity
Read 5 tweets
Feb 2
As the second #TrumpPresidency’s foreign & domestic policies are becoming more disruptive by the week, one can - from a Kyiv perspective - not help but see certain similarities with the #YanukovychPresidency of 2010-14 & notice the role of #PaulManafort in both developments.

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The back & forth in Trump's & Yanukovych's rises (Yanukovych was prime-minister in 2002-4 & 2006-7), their attempts to capture power by illegal means & convictions by courts, the prominent roles of oligarchs in their entourage & Manafort's involvements are strikingly similar.

2
The question is whether Trump's presidency could also end prematurely, as the result of a popular uprising & with a removal of the president by a parliamentary vote, in some ways similar to the 2013-14 collapse of the rule of Yanukovych & his eventual ouster by the Rada.

/END
Read 4 tweets
Jan 23
20 years ago, on this day, #VictorYushchenko was inaugurated as Ukraine's third President. Though coming from the North-East Ukrainian Oblast Sumy, on the border to Russia, President Yushchenko played in 2005-10 a crucial role in starting Ukraine's integration with the West.

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In 2007, Ukraine started negotiating an Association Agreement with the EU which have led this year to the start of accession talks. In 2008, Ukraine received a membership perspective from NATO. Both NATO & EU membership are today supported by the vast majority of Ukrainians.

/2
In 2004, Yushchenko's face had been disfigured by - as we know today - a Russian secret operation to poison him. He suffers until today from the effects of Moscow’s assassination attempt more than 20 years ago.

/END

@Ukrainki_UA @KatyaYushchenko @DUF_Forum @SCEEUS_UI @TartuUTUC
Read 4 tweets
Dec 31, 2024
THREAD

Among achievements this year were four #TheNationalInterest articles based on several #SCEEUS reports arguing that a Ukrainian victory as well as stable and just peace in Eastern Europe will be:

/1


@SCEEUS_UI @ResearchUI @UISweden @UF_Sverige @TheNatlInterest @CFTNI Image
Image
(a) very difficult to secure as they are currently impossible to be obtained via diplomacy only (February 2024):

/2


@TheNatlInterest @CFTNInationalinterest.org/feature/why-di…
(b) nevertheless necessary to realize as they will reverse Moscow's subversion of the world order (May 2024): ,

/3


@TheNatlInterest @CFTNI @FPRI @FPRI_Orbisnationalinterest.org/feature/how-ru…
Read 8 tweets
Dec 24, 2024
Thread on a @UChicagoPoliSci professor:

One explanation why @MearsheimerJ agreed to debate Russian dilettante scholar & crypto-fascist #AleksandrDugin may have been that Mearsheimer's own hyped academic publications are of low analytic quality & questionable cognitive value.

/1
Have read #JohnMearsheimer's books "The Great Delusion" & "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics," and several of his articles. His texts have partly amused me, but I learned only little. Do not understand why Mearsheimer is respected, translated & quoted as much as he is.

/2
They combine outlines of Mearsheimer's "offensively Realist" worldview with cherry-picked Wikipedia-type data and schematic comparisons to quickly explain war and peace as well as ridicule alternative IR theories in general and more "idealist" approaches in particular.

/3
Read 10 tweets
Dec 23, 2024
Нарешті - міжнародне визнання! Рецензія "Спокійне Різдво у Швейцарії? Ні! Там теж панують розпалювачі війни!" на проросійському швейцарському сайті "#GlobalBridge" сьогодні про мою вчорашню статтю у @NZZ ("Нова Цюріхська Газета"):

1/4

@SCEEUS_UI @TartuUTUC @Ukrainki_UA Image
@NZZ @SCEEUS_UI @TartuUTUC @Ukrainki_UA @Ukrinform_deu @Swiss4Ukraine23 @SwissUA @sura_agency @UkraineKompakt @UKRinCHE @UkraineworldD @StopFakeDE @DerDuod @DUF_Forum "'Neue Zürcher Zeitung', протягом десятиліть так звана інтелігентська газета Швейцарії, відома тим, що щодня публікує статті, спрямовані на посилення русофобії. У своєму останньому суботньому випуску, 21 грудня [2024 р.],..."

@NZZde @SWISSUKRAINE

2/4
globalbridge.ch/friedliche-wei…
@NZZ @SCEEUS_UI @TartuUTUC @Ukrainki_UA @Ukrinform_deu @Swiss4Ukraine23 @SwissUA @sura_agency @UkraineKompakt @UKRinCHE @UkraineworldD @StopFakeDE @DerDuod @DUF_Forum @NZZde @SWISSUKRAINE "...вона присвятила цій темі цілу сторінку статті Андреаса Умланда, одного з найстаранніших і найогидніших українських пропагандистів".

3/4
CC: @hwag_ucmc @DetectorMedia @MediaSapiensUA @StopFakingNews @antipropaganda @UWCongress @EuromaidanPR @UkrVerstehen @DenkraumUkraine
Read 5 tweets

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