THREAD

Among achievements this year were four #TheNationalInterest articles based on several #SCEEUS reports arguing that a Ukrainian victory as well as stable and just peace in Eastern Europe will be:

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@SCEEUS_UI @ResearchUI @UISweden @UF_Sverige @TheNatlInterest @CFTNI
(a) very difficult to secure as they are currently impossible to be obtained via diplomacy only (February 2024):

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@TheNatlInterest @CFTNInationalinterest.org/feature/why-di…

Thread on a @UChicagoPoliSci professor:

One explanation why @MearsheimerJ agreed to debate Russian dilettante scholar & crypto-fascist #AleksandrDugin may have been that Mearsheimer's own hyped academic publications are of low analytic quality & questionable cognitive value.

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https://twitter.com/MagaPrimary2026/status/1871076240997941419

Have read #JohnMearsheimer's books "The Great Delusion" & "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics," and several of his articles. His texts have partly amused me, but I learned only little. Do not understand why Mearsheimer is respected, translated & quoted as much as he is.

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Нарешті - міжнародне визнання! Рецензія "Спокійне Різдво у Швейцарії? Ні! Там теж панують розпалювачі війни!" на проросійському швейцарському сайті "#GlobalBridge" сьогодні про мою вчорашню статтю у @NZZ ("Нова Цюріхська Газета"):

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@SCEEUS_UI @TartuUTUC @Ukrainki_UA @NZZ @SCEEUS_UI @TartuUTUC @Ukrainki_UA @Ukrinform_deu @Swiss4Ukraine23 @SwissUA @sura_agency @UkraineKompakt @UKRinCHE @UkraineworldD @StopFakeDE @DerDuod @DUF_Forum "'Neue Zürcher Zeitung', протягом десятиліть так звана інтелігентська газета Швейцарії, відома тим, що щодня публікує статті, спрямовані на посилення русофобії. У своєму останньому суботньому випуску, 21 грудня [2024 р.],..."

@NZZde @SWISSUKRAINE

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globalbridge.ch/friedliche-wei…

THREAD

Yesterday's widely reported hits of residential houses in the Russian city of Kazan with drones remind of the mysterious explosions of several apartment buildings in various Russian cities in September 1999.

1/3 Back in 1999, there was no rationale for Chechen separatists, accused of carrying out the bombings, to mass murder randomly 307 Russian civilians. Yet, the scare after the explosions triggered the Second Chechen War which brought Putin into the presidential office in 2000.

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Die gegenwärtige deutsche Verballhornung des Friedensbegriffs unter Führung des @bsw_bund & der @AfD sowie häufig unkritische Berichterstattung dieser konzeptionellen Perversion dürfte in die Geschichtsbücher als beschämende Episode im wiedervereinigten Deutschland eingehen.

/1 Womöglich wird dieser moralische Aussetzer einst als eine Art "Dritte Schuld" der Deutschen (vgl. Ralph Giordanos "Zweite Schuld") gegenüber einem der größten Opfer des Nazismus, der Ukraine, gelten.

@historikertag @VHDtweets @ge_wi_didaktik @GOsteuropa @DGO_Berlin @IGFM_DE

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SHORT THREAD ON MOSCOW'S ANNOUNCED CHANGE OF RUSSIA'S NUCLEAR DOCTRINE

This is a psychological PR operation, by the Kremlin, without much substance. It is designed to scare leaders & voters of countries supporting Ukraine.

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@MoscowTimes @SCEEUS_UI
themoscowtimes.com/2024/09/25/put… Ukraine has, for more than 2 years, attacked Russian military targets on 5 occupied Ukrainian territories that are - after the annexations of 2014 & 2022 - official Russian state territory, according to Russia's Constitution: Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia & Kherson.

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Short interview on 2nd Peace Summit and Russia:

1. Recently, the Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany stated that a Kremlin official should participate in the second Peace Summit. Under what conditions would the Russian Federation agree to such a decision?

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@SCEEUS_UI Andreas Umland: For now, Russia has rejected the invitation. The crucial factor may be the position of China. Normally, the Kremlin would not consider any multilateral initiative by Ukraine, but if Beijing decides to go, Moscow may have no other choice than to appear too.

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Honored by Garry @Kasparov63's deliberations, with reference to my @TheNatlInterest article about the global dimensions of Ukraine's freedom fight for:

- the international rules-based order,

- reignition of worldwide democratization, and

- general human progress & development.

https://twitter.com/Kasparov63/status/1827507731974242492

On a personal note:

@Kasparov63 was already my idol as a schoolboy when I was actively playing chess & followed with awe the 48 matches of the Sep 1984-Febr 1985 #WorldChessChampionship between him & @anatolykarpov which ended with NOTHING as @FIDE_chess aborted the tournament.

THREAD ON CHINA'S (AND OTHER CONTRIES') CONTINUED MISUNDERSTANDING OF

- NATO'S ROLE IN EASTERN EUROPE,

-MOSCOW'S PERCEPTION OF NATO ENLARGEMENT, AND

- THE RUSSIAN OCCUPATION OF TERRITORIES OF UKRAINE (AS WELL AS NEUTRAL MOLDOVA AND TINY GEORGIA)

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reuters.com/world/planned-… Explanations of Beijing & other capitals for their officially neutral positions on the Russo-Ukrainian War continue to refer to the vagaries of NATO's enlargement since 1999. Supposedly, Russia merely reacted to this process, with its ever more aggressive assault on Ukraine.

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Kurze Antworten zu Fragen einer Journalistin betreffs Wechselwirkungen zwischen Russisch-Ukrainischem Krieg & Eskalation im Nahen Osten:

a) Sollte die Lage zwischen der Islamischen Republik und Israel weiter eskalieren, wie könnte sich das auf den Ukraine-Krieg auswirken?

/1 Über konkrete Auswirkungen lässt sich nur spekulieren, da die genaue Positionierung von Drittländern zu solch einer Eskalation noch offen ist. Was sich heute abzeichnet, ist ein neuer Kalter Krieg mit heißen Regionalkonflikten zwischen Demokratien & Autokratien im 21. Jhd.

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THREAD on Lenin, Putin & Anti-Colonialism

Learning today, in a discussion on India and the Russo-Ukrainian War, that misunderstanding of current Russian colonialism/"anti-colonialism" has a lot to do with world-wide remembrance of Lenin's support for anti-colonial struggle. /1 Yet, Putin took an explicitly anti-Leninist position in February 2022, justifying the full-scale invasion: "As a result of Bolshevik policy, Soviet Ukraine arose, which even today can with good reason be called 'Vladimir Ilyich Lenin's Ukraine'. He is its author & architect." /2

Moscow is currently arming up on a large scale, and will use its new weapons outside Russia. If we do not get our act together, the post-1945 national state system and international legal order are over.

.../1
facebook.com/share/v/tRoPZj… If Russia manages to lastingly extend its borders & eliminate the Ukrainian nation, other stronger states will try to repeat in their neighborhood Putin’s trick. The weaker states will do everything - including acquisition of WMDs - to avoid Ukraine's fate.

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#StandWithUkraine

Problematische Dokumentation "Ukraine: Krieg den Verrätern" heute bei @ARTEde:

Eine komplizierte Story um adäquate Kriegsführung, Kollaboration, Kriegstraumata, Nachbarschaftsfehde, Rache & Verrat, Mord & Selbstmord, Schuld & Sühne, konfligierende Narrative usw.

@ZappMM

/1 Viele aufwühlende Bilder aus den befreiten Gebieten. Thema ist allerdings, was in Zeit der Zeit vor der Befreiung während russischer Okkupation passierte oder nicht passierte.

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@UkraineKompakt @DUF_Forum @UA_Institute_DE @StimmeUkraine @DerDuod @Ukrainki_UA

Thread

THE BOOK SERIES "UKRAINIAN VOICES": PURPOSES OF THE PROJECT

A letter to current & future authors of the @ibidem11 series "Ukrainian Voices" (UAV).



Picture: Some UAV volumes presented by @ibidem11 at the 75th Frankfurt @Book_Fair, Oct 2023 .../1 ibidem.eu/de/reihen/gese…
@ibidem11 @Book_Fair @MarieluiseBeck @katiapylypchuk @sasha_weirdsley @OKhromeychuk @megan_buskey @AlinaNychyk @CUPPublicity @mykhed_o @UABookInstitute @AAUS_says SUMMARY: The aim of UAV is less to popularize Ukrainian matters among the general public than to support Ukrainian studies in adult education, public schools, study organizations, intellectual associations, cultural institutes, book clubs, think-tanks, universities, etc. .../2

A thought experiment on #NordStream and Ukraine - Thread

After one year of inconclusive investigations, the are many speculations about the perpetrators & principals of the attack against the defunct Nord Stream pipeline, on 26 September 2022... /1

E.g. tagesschau.de/multimedia/pod…
@Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @OstAusschuss @DerDuod @Ukrinform_News @DUF_Forum @KyivDialogue @boell_secpol @BVEG_de Many journalists in Germany and elsewhere have repeatedly and extensively argued that a Ukrainian group conducted the attack on Nord Stream. Supposedly, these Ukrainians did so although the pipeline was already an industrial ruin at the time of its destruction... /2

Dies ist ein gutes @tazgezwitscher-Interview mit Mary @e_sarotte. Drei Ergänzungen:

I. Dass 1989-1990 eine #NATOOsterweiterung über die #DDR hinaus diskutiert wurde, erscheint unwahrscheiinlich... /1

CC: @VHDtweets @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia
taz.de/Historikerin-u… @tazgezwitscher @e_sarotte @VHDtweets @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia Haben Moskau und der Westen damals wirklich die Möglichkeit eines Dritten Weltkriegs der NATO zur Eroberung des Territoriums des Warschauer Vertrages im Detail diskutiert? Denn: Wie sonst hätte man sich damals eine NATO-Osterweiterung vorstellen können? .../2

CC: @DGO_Berlin

Three preliminary observations from Kyiv:

1. The so far inconclusive uprising of the #WagnerGroup illustrates once again what already became clear in the spring of 2022 near Kyiv: #VladimirPutin's state is in many respects a #PotyomkinVillage. /1

@SCEEUS_UI @rightsinrussia @SCEEUS_UI @rightsinrussia @DUF_Forum @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @LawUkrainian @TerekMedia @BritUkrAid @BrennpunktUA @krus_stern @EuromaidanPR As with other authoritarian regimes, the unity, effectiveness & functionality of one-man rule is more a projection than a political reality. /2

CC: @DUF_Forum @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @ictopyk @LawUkrainian @4freerussia_org @ukrainian @BrennpunktUA @EuromaidanPress

THREAD:

An interesting policy proposal in this article by @SKaraganov in @ru_global:
He seems to suggest to throw nuclear war heads on countries that have
(a) not attacked Russian state territory, and
(b) have not even sent any troops to Ukraine. /1

globalaffairs.ru/articles/tyazh… An atomic explosion as an answer to economic sanctions, and delivering some hardware, information & training to Ukraine? Perhaps, Russia and other nuclear-weapon states could then also use nuclear threats in their regular trade relations? /2

@Konflikt_Sicher @TerekMedia
@ictopyk

Brief thread:

Chinese weaponry and military equipment is now - in addition to large amounts of civilian Chinese goods and equipment - more and more supporting Russia's war of conquest in Ukraine. /1

@tonline
t-online.de/nachrichten/uk… This raises more and more questions about the assurances Beijing gave to Kyiv in its 1994 governmental declaration in connection with Ukraine’s accession to the NPT, and in the 2013 friendship treaty between China and Ukraine fully ratified in 2015. /2

Misunderstanding of the sad events in Ukraine continues:

Most observers still seem oblivious to the fact that not only Ukraine but humankind's legal order and security system are being destroyed.../1

@SCEEUS_UI @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @LawUkrainian @ictopyk Every new Russian action of mass terror against Ukrainian civilians and subsequent international inaction or half measure confirm: Even the most bloodthirsty might will remain right if one is sufficiently ruthless.../2

@rightsinrussia @SakharovCentre @DUF_Forum @IDMVienna

THREAD
Ukronazism & similar constructs are, in view of the political marginality of Ukrainian fascism today, not antifascist terms. Such labels are often accompanied by bloating of minor phenomena, or even falsified stories or pictures, as those below. /1
amp.dw.com/en/fact-check-… Terms like "#Ukronazism" are designed to dehumanize self-identifying #Ukrainians & to justify their #genocide by an imperialist, far-right & anti-egalitarian regime./2

@FFRAFAction @fghtfascism @vvn_bda @FascismJournal @BAntifaschismus @ColletivoA @ak_antifascism @derrechterand