Andreas Umland Profile picture
Analyst @SCEEUS_UI @UISweden: https://t.co/IkOoexfbTM. Docent @NaUKMA. Editing @ibidem11 book series SPPS & Ukrainian Voices https://t.co/aevC6lICqu
Pedro Profile picture giovanni dall'olio 🇮🇹🇪🇺🇺🇦 Profile picture Jeremy Wagstaff Profile picture Paolo Porsia 🇺🇦🇺🇸🇮🇹🇪🇺🇬🇪🇲🇩#NAFOfella Profile picture Andreas Umland Profile picture 15 subscribed
May 31 4 tweets 5 min read
THREAD
Ukronazism & similar constructs are, in view of the political marginality of Ukrainian fascism today, not antifascist terms. Such labels are often accompanied by bloating of minor phenomena, or even falsified stories or pictures, as those below. /1
amp.dw.com/en/fact-check-… Terms like "#Ukronazism" are designed to dehumanize self-identifying #Ukrainians & to justify their #genocide by an imperialist, far-right & anti-egalitarian regime./2

@FFRAFAction @fghtfascism @vvn_bda @FascismJournal @BAntifaschismus @ColletivoA @ak_antifascism @derrechterand
May 6 6 tweets 7 min read
SHORT THREAD

Smart essay by @MykolaKapitone1 in @IPGJournal. I disagree though with his dire prediction... /1

@SCEEUS_UI @ResearchUI

@Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @LawUkrainian @ictopyk @RusVerstehen @UA_Institute_DE @rightsinrussia @DUF_Forum
ipg-journal.io/ru/rubriki/vne… While it is prudent to prepare for a long war, I expect it to be short or at least not long - for the reasons Łukasz Adamski outlined in a Facebook comment to @MykolaKapitone1's posting of the Ukrainian version.../2

@MieroszewskiPL @LukaszAdamskiPL
Apr 11 5 tweets 1 min read
This horrible scene is, like the previous publication of the shooting of a Ukrainian soldier, not a spontaneous action. Rather, it is a purposeful, KGB-style "reflexive control" operation designed to drive Moscow's enemy to behave in a way that benefits Moscow. /1 The aim of staging and circulating such horrible scenes seems to be to radicalize Ukrainian soldiers or to make their radicalizaiton appear plausible. A radicalization of Ukraine's society and army is beneficial to Moscow, as this will feed back on defeatist Russian soldiers./2
Feb 21 5 tweets 15 min read
Kurzkommentar zur heutigen Rede von #WladimirPutin:

Ein besonderer Schwerpunkt dieser #PutinRede war der angeblich defensive und reaktive Charakter von Russlands offensivem und völkermörderischem Krieg.... /1

@SCEEUS_UI @UISweden @DUF_Forum @IDMVienna @RusVerstehen @TerekMedia @SCEEUS_UI @UISweden @DUF_Forum @IDMVienna @RusVerstehen @TerekMedia @Konflikt_Sicher @Osteuropakanal @DGO_Berlin @swud_org @pw_portal @GSPSipo Putins Darstellung der #Großinvasion der Ukraine im Februar 2022 als provoziert durch westliche Pläne und Aktivitäten zum Angriff auf #Russland richtete sich sowohl an das heimische als auch an das ausländische Publikum... /2

CC: @IGFrieden @FIfF_de @dsfrieden @MucFriedenskonf
Feb 18 4 tweets 5 min read
The #RussianUkrainianWar should serve as an occasion to delete the "#Eurasia" label from #areastudies. Unless it geologically denotes the entire Euro-Asiatic continent, "Eurasia" has #protofascist connotations. #Eurasianism was the Russian version of the #ConservativeRevolution. PS: "#CentralEurasianStudies" seems to be ok if it denotes #CentralAsia, which can be seen to be in the center of both Asia and Eurasia, understood as continents rather than cultural realms.
Feb 10 6 tweets 4 min read
Hier hat jemand dieses Dokument - die UnterzeichnerInnen des Appells von @SWagenknecht und @_AliceSchwarzer - als "Liste der Niedertracht" bezeichnet.

THREAD:

So weit würde ich nicht gehen... /1 @SWagenknecht @_AliceSchwarzer Aber stolz kann Deutschland auf die weit ins politische Zentrum reichende Unterstützung solcher Briefe nicht sein. Man hätte meinen sollen, dass gerade die deutschen Intellektuellen mehr aus dem 20. - sozusagen "unserem" - Jahrhundert gelernt haben.... /2
Feb 3 7 tweets 7 min read
EUROPE'S MAGICAL STRATEGIC THINKING AND MAIN BATTLE TANKS -- thread:

There was and is a paradox, if not absurdity, in the long slowness and continuing partiality of #WesternEurope's decision to provide #Ukraine with #mainbattletanks (#MBTs). /1 @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @EPC_CPE_News @UA_22_Ukraine @H__Ukraine @StimmeUkraine @DUF_Forum @CPD_UA @worldoftanks @AugenGeradeaus These vehicles - more so than most other conventional military technology - were once built and commissioned for a potential fight against Moscow's #imperialism in #Europe - rather than for usage against other potential enemies or for peace-keeping missions around the world. /2
Jan 20 9 tweets 15 min read
While Germany has recently provided significant help to Ukraine, Berlin has also significant historical responsibility vis-a-vis Kyiv. In 1941-44, Germany devastated Ukraine. Since 2014, Berlin has indirectly helped Moscow to devastate Ukraine,.../1
@DUHK_2020 @DGO_Berlin @dgapev @DUHK_2020 @DGO_Berlin @dgapev @Konflikt_Sicher @FiS_Heidelberg @VitscheBerlin @StimmeUkraine @GermanyinUA @UKRinDEU @DUF_Forum @DerDuod @GERonOstpolitik @VHDtweets ...with its long-lasting energy and modernization partnerships with Putin's regime. To permit other Europeans to give their German tanks to Ukraine is the least what Berlin can, in view of such responsibility, do today for Kyiv. /END
#StandWithUkraine #Vergangenheitsbewältigung
Jan 14 4 tweets 6 min read
On the Purpose of #ArmsDeliveries to Kyiv: #Ukraine's #liberation demands #Russia's #humiliation - THREAD:
The primary function of good and numerous #offensiveweapons for #Ukraine is not military and bellicose, but political and pacifying. /1
@SCEEUS_UI @UISweden @rightsinrussia The purpose of #Ukrainian #battletanks, #fighterplanes, long-range #missiles, etc. is to make Russia's #defeats humiliating. Only disasters on the #battlefield in Ukraine and frequent hits against supply lines within #Russia will make many #Russians rethink... /2
Jan 8 6 tweets 4 min read
Commenting thread on the below and similar analyses:
There is too much emphasis, in many assessments of #Russia's 2014-15 & 2022 invasions of #Ukraine, on allegedly fundamental or even fatal mistakes made in these decisions by #Putin & his entourage. /1 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/13… The ideological predisposition towards an irredentist revanche, in the neo-Soviet & -Tsarist elite of #Russia, has been strong since the 1990s. This imperial drive was waiting to become unleashed, and has been marginally contained by rational calculus & strategic deliberation. /2
Jan 6 13 tweets 12 min read
THREAD -- Antworten auf vier Interviewfragen zur #Krimfrage:
Für wie wahrscheinlich halten Sie, dass die ukrainische Armee eine Gegenoffensive auf der #Krim in den kommenden Wochen/Monaten vollzieht? /1
@SCEEUS_UI @DUF_Forum @crimeaplatform @Konflikt_Sicher @DGO_Berlin @DerDuod @SCEEUS_UI @DUF_Forum @crimeaplatform @Konflikt_Sicher @DGO_Berlin @DerDuod @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @StimmeUkraine @UkraineworldD @ukrainian_week @DUHK_2020 @VitscheBerlin @FiS_Heidelberg @krus_stern Es wird womöglich weiteren Beschuss von Militäranlagen - insbesondere Flugplätze, die #Kertschbrücke und Raketenbasen - geben. Jedoch scheint mir eine Landoffensive auf die #Krim zunächst unwahrscheinlich.... /2
Dec 23, 2022 6 tweets 5 min read
Congratulations to the writers of #VolodymyrZelenskyy's excellent speech! While most people lionize now #Zelenskyy​, I do not think that another president of #Ukraine would have been much worse. /1 - THREAD
Imagine #VolodymyrZelenskiy​ had not entered the presidential race and there had been a different contest and election in early 2019. /2
Dec 19, 2022 15 tweets 8 min read
THREAD ON INTERNATIONAL SECURITY: Every additional Russian missile or drone hitting Ukrainian civilian buildings or critical infrastrucure has wider implications for Europe and the world. /1
(Picture: Summer 2019 @vostoksos mission: Recording gunfire at the Donbas contact line.) The March 2022 decision by #NATO to reject #Ukraine's request for a #NoFlyZone was taken quickly & resolutely. However, deeper repercussions of this seemingly clear-cut case have remained under the radar screen. What Kyiv wanted was not NATO's active participation in the war. /2
Dec 18, 2022 5 tweets 2 min read
Как то многие #русские не поняли или не хотят признать простую вещь: кроме других народов, #чекитсы ради своей власти уничтожали 70 лет и русскую традицию, мысль, науку, культуру, веру, нацию. /1
fb.watch/hut-zGrhWT/ А теперь уничтожают ещё и российское государство - все под предлогом защиты и безопасности русских от капиталистов, троцкистов, террористов, сатанистов, неонацистов, гомосексуалистов... /2
Dec 15, 2022 5 tweets 11 min read
THREAD: Suppose one takes #JohnMearsheimer, the #RussianGovernment, @SWagenknecht, and similar analysts seriously. Since #Finland's #NATO application on 19 May 2022, we should be discussing every day how Helsinki is putting the future of humankind at risk. /1 @FansMearsheimer @SWagenknecht @FansMearsheimer @Konflikt_Sicher @WeLoveNATO @UkraineToNato @TerekMedia @GSPSipo @FiS_Heidelberg @prarmyua @PromoteUkraine @DAGATAGermany @LiberaleModerne Once #Finland enters @NATO, the length of the border between the Western alliance and #Russia will approximately double. #NATO will be able to attack #Putin's hometown St. Petersburg from two sides, from Finland approx. 170 km away and from #Estonia approx. 140 km away. /2
Dec 7, 2022 4 tweets 3 min read
Most discussions of #Russia’s attack on #Ukraine are about one’s position within the #RussianUkrainianWar. Yet, the real question is: What stance do you take towards the #annihilation and #intimidation campaign of an army against millions of civilians? /1
defenseone.com/technology/202… How best formulate "interests," "strategy" & "tactics" in the face of undisguised mass murder? What is "wise" & "unwise" to do vis-à-vis state terror? How calibrate your reaction when heavy weapons daily target infrastructure that keeps pensioners, patients & children alive? /2
Dec 2, 2022 4 tweets 5 min read
An elaboration on Peter Dickinson's article for the @AtlanticCouncil: People around the world - not the least #Israelis - will now better understand why some "civilized" states did not help Jews in the 1930s and 1940s as much as they could & should have./1 atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainea… @AtlanticCouncil #Israel has today its own reasons to largely watch rather than substantially help prevent an almost live-streamed #genocide. Countries had eight decades ago their own reasons not to "overreact" to a looming #Holocaust that was still in the fog, at that time. /2
Nov 24, 2022 4 tweets 5 min read
Many Western observers assuming that #Ukraine can & should exchange land for peace underestimate neo-Soviet utilitarianism. #Russian leaders engage in #aggressions because they generate victories that are popular with many #Russians. /1
@SCEEUS_UI @Konflikt_Sicher @DGO_Berlin Victories in #Moldova, #Chechnia, Georgia, #Crimea, Syria, and the Donbas did not satisfy Russia. They triggered appetite for more victories. If #Russia is provided with another victory, this will not bring peace but merely provide time to prepare for achieving more victories. /2
Nov 19, 2022 4 tweets 3 min read
Perhaps, the best strategy to help #Ukrainians now is to improve the transportation infrastructure between #Ukraine and the #EU. Many individuals, initiatives, and organizations ready to help and to take the risk will use new trains and roads to flexibly do what is necessary. /1 One could imagine direct high speed @Ukrzaliznytsia trains from @rzeszow_airport & other EU airports near Ukraine's western border to Kyiv or even further east, and with direct flights to these airports from Berlin, Brussels, London, Paris, Stockholm, New York, Toronto, etc. /2
Nov 18, 2022 8 tweets 4 min read
#G20Indonesia2022 summit declaration on #Russia's war against #Ukraine: "We reiterated our national positions as expressed in other fora, including the UN Security Council and the UN General Assembly,.../1
consilium.europa.eu/media/60201/20…
@g20org @Indonesia_G20 @G20china @G20Turkey2015 Image ...which, in Resolution No. ES-11/1 dated 2 March 2022, as adopted by majority vote (141 votes for, 5 against, 35 abstentions, 12 absent) deplores in the strongest terms the #aggression by the #RussianFederation against #Ukraine.../2
Oct 17, 2022 12 tweets 6 min read
Zutreffende Beobachtung. Es war insbesondere seit 2014 skandalös, was und wer alles in den Medien als legitim zum Thema Ukrainekrieg präsentiert wurde. Teils wurde der Bock zum Gärtner gemacht und es der kriegstreibenden Partei erlaubt, öffentlich sein Opfer zu diskreditieren. /1 Repräsentanten russischer Staatsorgane und -medien wurde über Monate allwöchentlich eine Bühne in öffentlich-rechtlichen sowie privaten deutschen Medien geboten, um ihre explizite Ukrainverleumdung und implizite Kriegshetze (teils GEZ-gebührenfinanziert) zu verbreiten. /2