Andreas Umland Profile picture
Analyst @SCEEUS_UI @UISweden. https://t.co/IkOoexeE4e. Editor book series SPPS & Ukrainian Voices https://t.co/hkLTqsK7RZ. Views my own.
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Oct 6 16 tweets 4 min read
Die gegenwärtige deutsche Verballhornung des Friedensbegriffs unter Führung des @bsw_bund & der @AfD sowie häufig unkritische Berichterstattung dieser konzeptionellen Perversion dürfte in die Geschichtsbücher als beschämende Episode im wiedervereinigten Deutschland eingehen.

/1 Image Womöglich wird dieser moralische Aussetzer einst als eine Art "Dritte Schuld" der Deutschen (vgl. Ralph Giordanos "Zweite Schuld") gegenüber einem der größten Opfer des Nazismus, der Ukraine, gelten.

@historikertag @VHDtweets @ge_wi_didaktik @GOsteuropa @DGO_Berlin @IGFM_DE

/2
Sep 26 12 tweets 2 min read
SHORT THREAD ON MOSCOW'S ANNOUNCED CHANGE OF RUSSIA'S NUCLEAR DOCTRINE

This is a psychological PR operation, by the Kremlin, without much substance. It is designed to scare leaders & voters of countries supporting Ukraine.

/1


@MoscowTimes @SCEEUS_UI
themoscowtimes.com/2024/09/25/put… Ukraine has, for more than 2 years, attacked Russian military targets on 5 occupied Ukrainian territories that are - after the annexations of 2014 & 2022 - official Russian state territory, according to Russia's Constitution: Crimea, Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia & Kherson.

/2
Sep 24 9 tweets 2 min read
Short interview on 2nd Peace Summit and Russia:

1. Recently, the Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany stated that a Kremlin official should participate in the second Peace Summit. Under what conditions would the Russian Federation agree to such a decision?

/1

@SCEEUS_UIImage Andreas Umland: For now, Russia has rejected the invitation. The crucial factor may be the position of China. Normally, the Kremlin would not consider any multilateral initiative by Ukraine, but if Beijing decides to go, Moscow may have no other choice than to appear too.

/2
Aug 25 4 tweets 1 min read
Honored by Garry @Kasparov63's deliberations, with reference to my @TheNatlInterest article about the global dimensions of Ukraine's freedom fight for:

- the international rules-based order,

- reignition of worldwide democratization, and

- general human progress & development. On a personal note:

@Kasparov63 was already my idol as a schoolboy when I was actively playing chess & followed with awe the 48 matches of the Sep 1984-Febr 1985 #WorldChessChampionship between him & @anatolykarpov which ended with NOTHING as @FIDE_chess aborted the tournament.
Aug 15 18 tweets 4 min read
THREAD ON CHINA'S (AND OTHER CONTRIES') CONTINUED MISUNDERSTANDING OF

- NATO'S ROLE IN EASTERN EUROPE,

-MOSCOW'S PERCEPTION OF NATO ENLARGEMENT, AND

- THE RUSSIAN OCCUPATION OF TERRITORIES OF UKRAINE (AS WELL AS NEUTRAL MOLDOVA AND TINY GEORGIA)

/1

reuters.com/world/planned-… Explanations of Beijing & other capitals for their officially neutral positions on the Russo-Ukrainian War continue to refer to the vagaries of NATO's enlargement since 1999. Supposedly, Russia merely reacted to this process, with its ever more aggressive assault on Ukraine.

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Apr 16 9 tweets 2 min read
Kurze Antworten zu Fragen einer Journalistin betreffs Wechselwirkungen zwischen Russisch-Ukrainischem Krieg & Eskalation im Nahen Osten:

a) Sollte die Lage zwischen der Islamischen Republik und Israel weiter eskalieren, wie könnte sich das auf den Ukraine-Krieg auswirken?

/1 Image Über konkrete Auswirkungen lässt sich nur spekulieren, da die genaue Positionierung von Drittländern zu solch einer Eskalation noch offen ist. Was sich heute abzeichnet, ist ein neuer Kalter Krieg mit heißen Regionalkonflikten zwischen Demokratien & Autokratien im 21. Jhd.

/2
Apr 5 5 tweets 1 min read
THREAD on Lenin, Putin & Anti-Colonialism

Learning today, in a discussion on India and the Russo-Ukrainian War, that misunderstanding of current Russian colonialism/"anti-colonialism" has a lot to do with world-wide remembrance of Lenin's support for anti-colonial struggle. /1 Image Yet, Putin took an explicitly anti-Leninist position in February 2022, justifying the full-scale invasion: "As a result of Bolshevik policy, Soviet Ukraine arose, which even today can with good reason be called 'Vladimir Ilyich Lenin's Ukraine'. He is its author & architect." /2
Mar 6 4 tweets 1 min read
Moscow is currently arming up on a large scale, and will use its new weapons outside Russia. If we do not get our act together, the post-1945 national state system and international legal order are over.

.../1
facebook.com/share/v/tRoPZj… If Russia manages to lastingly extend its borders & eliminate the Ukrainian nation, other stronger states will try to repeat in their neighborhood Putin’s trick. The weaker states will do everything - including acquisition of WMDs - to avoid Ukraine's fate.

/2


#StandWithUkraine
Feb 20 5 tweets 1 min read
Problematische Dokumentation "Ukraine: Krieg den Verrätern" heute bei @ARTEde:

Eine komplizierte Story um adäquate Kriegsführung, Kollaboration, Kriegstraumata, Nachbarschaftsfehde, Rache & Verrat, Mord & Selbstmord, Schuld & Sühne, konfligierende Narrative usw.

@ZappMM

/1 Image Viele aufwühlende Bilder aus den befreiten Gebieten. Thema ist allerdings, was in Zeit der Zeit vor der Befreiung während russischer Okkupation passierte oder nicht passierte.

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@UkraineKompakt @DUF_Forum @UA_Institute_DE @StimmeUkraine @DerDuod @Ukrainki_UA
Oct 26, 2023 20 tweets 6 min read
Thread

THE BOOK SERIES "UKRAINIAN VOICES": PURPOSES OF THE PROJECT

A letter to current & future authors of the @ibidem11 series "Ukrainian Voices" (UAV).



Picture: Some UAV volumes presented by @ibidem11 at the 75th Frankfurt @Book_Fair, Oct 2023 .../1 ibidem.eu/de/reihen/gese…
Image @ibidem11 @Book_Fair @MarieluiseBeck @katiapylypchuk @sasha_weirdsley @OKhromeychuk @megan_buskey @AlinaNychyk @CUPPublicity @mykhed_o @UABookInstitute @AAUS_says SUMMARY: The aim of UAV is less to popularize Ukrainian matters among the general public than to support Ukrainian studies in adult education, public schools, study organizations, intellectual associations, cultural institutes, book clubs, think-tanks, universities, etc. .../2
Sep 27, 2023 8 tweets 2 min read
A thought experiment on #NordStream and Ukraine - Thread

After one year of inconclusive investigations, the are many speculations about the perpetrators & principals of the attack against the defunct Nord Stream pipeline, on 26 September 2022... /1

E.g. tagesschau.de/multimedia/pod…
Image @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @OstAusschuss @DerDuod @Ukrinform_News @DUF_Forum @KyivDialogue @boell_secpol @BVEG_de Many journalists in Germany and elsewhere have repeatedly and extensively argued that a Ukrainian group conducted the attack on Nord Stream. Supposedly, these Ukrainians did so although the pipeline was already an industrial ruin at the time of its destruction... /2
Sep 24, 2023 14 tweets 4 min read
Dies ist ein gutes @tazgezwitscher-Interview mit Mary @e_sarotte. Drei Ergänzungen:

I. Dass 1989-1990 eine #NATOOsterweiterung über die #DDR hinaus diskutiert wurde, erscheint unwahrscheiinlich... /1

CC: @VHDtweets @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia
taz.de/Historikerin-u… @tazgezwitscher @e_sarotte @VHDtweets @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia Haben Moskau und der Westen damals wirklich die Möglichkeit eines Dritten Weltkriegs der NATO zur Eroberung des Territoriums des Warschauer Vertrages im Detail diskutiert? Denn: Wie sonst hätte man sich damals eine NATO-Osterweiterung vorstellen können? .../2

CC: @DGO_Berlin
Jun 24, 2023 7 tweets 2 min read
Three preliminary observations from Kyiv:

1. The so far inconclusive uprising of the #WagnerGroup illustrates once again what already became clear in the spring of 2022 near Kyiv: #VladimirPutin's state is in many respects a #PotyomkinVillage. /1

@SCEEUS_UI @rightsinrussia @SCEEUS_UI @rightsinrussia @DUF_Forum @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @LawUkrainian @TerekMedia @BritUkrAid @BrennpunktUA @krus_stern @EuromaidanPR As with other authoritarian regimes, the unity, effectiveness & functionality of one-man rule is more a projection than a political reality. /2

CC: @DUF_Forum @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @ictopyk @LawUkrainian @4freerussia_org @ukrainian @BrennpunktUA @EuromaidanPress
Jun 14, 2023 7 tweets 7 min read
THREAD:

An interesting policy proposal in this article by @SKaraganov in @ru_global:
He seems to suggest to throw nuclear war heads on countries that have
(a) not attacked Russian state territory, and
(b) have not even sent any troops to Ukraine. /1

globalaffairs.ru/articles/tyazh… An atomic explosion as an answer to economic sanctions, and delivering some hardware, information & training to Ukraine? Perhaps, Russia and other nuclear-weapon states could then also use nuclear threats in their regular trade relations? /2

@Konflikt_Sicher @TerekMedia
@ictopyk
Jun 12, 2023 5 tweets 3 min read
Brief thread:

Chinese weaponry and military equipment is now - in addition to large amounts of civilian Chinese goods and equipment - more and more supporting Russia's war of conquest in Ukraine. /1

@tonline
t-online.de/nachrichten/uk… This raises more and more questions about the assurances Beijing gave to Kyiv in its 1994 governmental declaration in connection with Ukraine’s accession to the NPT, and in the 2013 friendship treaty between China and Ukraine fully ratified in 2015. /2
Jun 9, 2023 10 tweets 7 min read
Misunderstanding of the sad events in Ukraine continues:

Most observers still seem oblivious to the fact that not only Ukraine but humankind's legal order and security system are being destroyed.../1

@SCEEUS_UI @Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @LawUkrainian @ictopyk Image Every new Russian action of mass terror against Ukrainian civilians and subsequent international inaction or half measure confirm: Even the most bloodthirsty might will remain right if one is sufficiently ruthless.../2

@rightsinrussia @SakharovCentre @DUF_Forum @IDMVienna
May 31, 2023 4 tweets 5 min read
THREAD
Ukronazism & similar constructs are, in view of the political marginality of Ukrainian fascism today, not antifascist terms. Such labels are often accompanied by bloating of minor phenomena, or even falsified stories or pictures, as those below. /1
amp.dw.com/en/fact-check-… Terms like "#Ukronazism" are designed to dehumanize self-identifying #Ukrainians & to justify their #genocide by an imperialist, far-right & anti-egalitarian regime./2

@FFRAFAction @fghtfascism @vvn_bda @FascismJournal @BAntifaschismus @ColletivoA @ak_antifascism @derrechterand
May 6, 2023 6 tweets 7 min read
SHORT THREAD

Smart essay by @MykolaKapitone1 in @IPGJournal. I disagree though with his dire prediction... /1

@SCEEUS_UI @ResearchUI

@Konflikt_Sicher @GSPSipo @TerekMedia @LawUkrainian @ictopyk @RusVerstehen @UA_Institute_DE @rightsinrussia @DUF_Forum
ipg-journal.io/ru/rubriki/vne… While it is prudent to prepare for a long war, I expect it to be short or at least not long - for the reasons Łukasz Adamski outlined in a Facebook comment to @MykolaKapitone1's posting of the Ukrainian version.../2

@MieroszewskiPL @LukaszAdamskiPL
Apr 11, 2023 5 tweets 1 min read
This horrible scene is, like the previous publication of the shooting of a Ukrainian soldier, not a spontaneous action. Rather, it is a purposeful, KGB-style "reflexive control" operation designed to drive Moscow's enemy to behave in a way that benefits Moscow. /1 The aim of staging and circulating such horrible scenes seems to be to radicalize Ukrainian soldiers or to make their radicalizaiton appear plausible. A radicalization of Ukraine's society and army is beneficial to Moscow, as this will feed back on defeatist Russian soldiers./2
Feb 21, 2023 5 tweets 15 min read
Kurzkommentar zur heutigen Rede von #WladimirPutin:

Ein besonderer Schwerpunkt dieser #PutinRede war der angeblich defensive und reaktive Charakter von Russlands offensivem und völkermörderischem Krieg.... /1

@SCEEUS_UI @UISweden @DUF_Forum @IDMVienna @RusVerstehen @TerekMedia @SCEEUS_UI @UISweden @DUF_Forum @IDMVienna @RusVerstehen @TerekMedia @Konflikt_Sicher @Osteuropakanal @DGO_Berlin @swud_org @pw_portal @GSPSipo Putins Darstellung der #Großinvasion der Ukraine im Februar 2022 als provoziert durch westliche Pläne und Aktivitäten zum Angriff auf #Russland richtete sich sowohl an das heimische als auch an das ausländische Publikum... /2

CC: @IGFrieden @FIfF_de @dsfrieden @MucFriedenskonf
Feb 18, 2023 4 tweets 5 min read
The #RussianUkrainianWar should serve as an occasion to delete the "#Eurasia" label from #areastudies. Unless it geologically denotes the entire Euro-Asiatic continent, "Eurasia" has #protofascist connotations. #Eurasianism was the Russian version of the #ConservativeRevolution. PS: "#CentralEurasianStudies" seems to be ok if it denotes #CentralAsia, which can be seen to be in the center of both Asia and Eurasia, understood as continents rather than cultural realms.