ChrisO_wiki Profile picture
Nov 29 11 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ The Wall Street Journal reports that the main focus of the US-Russia peace talks is to get commercial advantage for American companies, and personal benefits for individuals linked to the Trump Administration. European officials are said to be shocked by the plans. ⬇️ Image
2/ According to the WSJ, talks between Trump's golfing friend Steve Witkoff, his son-in-law Jared Kushner, and Russian envoy Kirill Dmitriev have bypassed the US national security and diplomatic apparatuses to focus on economic benefits for well-connected American companies.
3/ The paper reports that "a cast of businessmen close to the Trump administration have been looking to position themselves as new economic links between the U.S. and Russia." Friends of the Trump family and Trump donors are working on lucrative deals with Russian companies.
4/ Anticipating the removal of US sanctions, Gentry Beach, a Trump donor and a college friend of Donald Trump Jr., has been in talks to acquire 9.9% of an Arctic liquid national gas project with the Russian company Novatek. Other businessmen have been involved in similar talks. Image
5/ They include executives from Exxon Mobil, mining companies, and investment funds, which have been offered stakes in Russian energy production, mines, and pipelines. Rare earth production has been a particular focus of interest, as well as gas concessions in the Sea of Okhotsk.
6/ The rest of the US diplomatic and national security apparatus, including the State Department and CIA, is said to have been kept in the dark. US Treasury officials reportedly only learned about the details of Witkoff's meetings from their British counterparts.
7/ Trump's special envoy for Ukraine, Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, is reported to have been "all but frozen out of serious talks" and is leaving his post in January 2026. Image
8/ According to the WSJ, "In the days after [the Alaska peace talks in August 2025], a European intelligence agency distributed a hard-copy report in a manila envelope to some of the continent’s most senior national security officials, who were shocked by the contents."
9/ These efforts have not yet been successful. The Alaska summit fell apart after Putin angered Trump by lecturing him on Russia's historic "right" to control Ukraine, and ended without agreement. Image
10/ In October, Witkoff and Putin appear between them to have persuaded Trump to reject President Zelensky's plea to acquire Tomahawk cruise missiles to attack Russian refineries. Witkoff suggested that the Ukrainians should ask for a 10-year tariff exemption instead. /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Nov 29
1/ The Russian army has to rely on modified civilian vehicles purchased with soldiers' own money, because military trucks are in such short supply. According to a Russian soldier-warblogger, units have to wait between 5 to 12 months to receive trucks. ⬇️
2/ Probably as a result of heavy losses due to Ukrainian attacks and a slowdown of production at Russian manufacturers, trucks are now scarce in the Russian army. Light vehicles and motorcycles are not supplied by the army, forcing soldiers to buy them themselves.
3/ 'Vault No. 8' comments:

"It wasn't until mid-2024 that the regiment finally received a few Chinese buggies out of the 1,500 sent to the Special Military Operation."
Read 12 tweets
Nov 28
1/ Whatever the legality of the strikes as a whole, this incident is very clearly a war crime (if you accept that these are combatants).
2/ Specifically under the 1949 Geneva Convention:

"Rule 47. Attacking persons who are recognized as hors de combat is prohibited. A person hors de combat is:...

(b) anyone who is defenceless because of unconsciousness, shipwreck, wounds or sickness...
3/ "... provided he or she abstains from any hostile act and does not attempt to escape."

I expect that Hegseth and others involved will get a preemptive pardon from Trump eventually, but they might want to avoid travelling outside America for the rest of their lives.
Read 9 tweets
Nov 28
1/ Wounded soldiers in Russia's 51st Army say they have been banned from going back to Russia for medical treatment. Instead, they're sent straight back, unhealed, to the fighting. "Tie a crutch to his leg and let him go to the front line," one commander has reportedly said. ⬇️ Image
2/ The 51st Guards Combined Arms Army, currently fighting at Pokrovsk, is a Russian formation that was originally created in the 'Donetsk People's Republic' as its 1st Army Corps. It has attracted a reputation for brutality and the careless expenditure of the lives of its men.
3/ According to soldiers who have written to the 'Brothers in Arms' Telegram channel:

"The partially recovered are sent to the front lines, they don't roll back the 300s [wounded], and they're sent further. No leave, no compensation. No vacations. There are no rotations."
Read 10 tweets
Nov 28
1/ Hardline Russian nationalists and war supporters have reacted with hostility to the Dmitriev-Witkoff peace proposals. Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin's detailed critique is of particular interest, as it is likely representative of this powerful faction's views. ⬇️ Image
2/ Girkin's comments provide an insight into the fine line that Putin is having to walk between reaching a settlement that he can accept and one that the hardliners will accept. Putin likely agrees with many of their objections, but knows that they are unachievable.
3/ Girkin says, in a letter from his prison, that a correspondent has sent him the leaked list of the plan's 28 points (which he says have not been published in the Russian media). He is aware that subsequent US-Ukraine talks have reduced them to 19 points, but observes sourly:
Read 24 tweets
Nov 27
1/ Igor 'Strelkov' Girkin is sceptical of "the mega-crook Donald and his cronies" and is confident there won't be a peace deal soon. In a fresh missive from prison, he draws attention to the Zaporizhzhia front, but says that Russia is unable to exploit successes there. ⬇️ Image
2/ Replying to an earlier letter from a friend, he comments:

"Now we have yet another “sweet expectation of a quick and inevitable deal” (that is, a “compromise”), inspired by the statements of the mega-crook Donald and his cronies."
3/ "Naturally, my assessment of the situation hasn't changed at all: I'm confident there won't be a fixed deal, as we failed to achieve successes during the entire summer-fall campaign that went beyond the operational (at most, in isolated areas, but mostly beyond tactical).
Read 22 tweets
Nov 27
1/ Russian State Duma deputy and surgeon Badma Bashankaev boasts that wounded Russian soldiers enjoy a 96% survival rate. Russian warbloggers point out, however, that only the lightly wounded usually get treated; most seriously injured Russians die on the battlefield. ⬇️ Image
2/ Badma Bashankaev is a fervent supporter of Russia's war effort and represents Putin's United Russia party in the State Duma. He has recently appeared in an interview with state news agency TASS speaking about Russia's ostensible success in treating wounded soldiers. Image
3/ Russian warbloggers, however, are sceptical. Ilya Ovsyannikov writes in his 'INSTRUCTOR'S NOTES' Telegram channel that: "These statistics only show that the seriously wounded are not being transported and that they cannot organize a mass evacuation!!!"
Read 13 tweets

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