Thread by @clement_molin

Analysis of Russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes north of Sumy in 2025

This year, I've closely followed russian airstrike campaign.

In Sumy, I mapped around 4 000 strikes. With recent satellite images of a small 153 km2, I found 1641 airstrikes impact !

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I found very recent sattelite images from May or June 2025.

What they are showing is really crazy. Multiple airstrikes impacts and wiped out villages, it helps to understand russian strategy.

Thus, I have decided to cover this small area of 153km2 with airstrikes visible on the high resolution images of june in white and the ones on mid resolution from october and november in pink.

1641, it's 10.7 per km2 !

This is the area with villages names :

In white, we can see the period when Russia was attacking, from february to june, with multiple impacts in strong resistance areas and the main supply roads.

The purple ones are showing a period when Ukraine had the initiative, slowly pushing back russian forces. We can see airstrikes mooved north, they got very precise, with a methodic work to destroy treelines.

With images of the january-june strikes, we can see massive impacts on key roads such as this one. You can see how precise those FAB bombs are getting.

People asked me multiples times how I could see the difference between airstrikes and artillery impacts.

Here you can clearly see it. There is a high concentration of impacts close to a possible ukrainian stronghold, troops deployment.

Airstrikes are often targetting small trenches, dugouts and positions. Here you can see a trench which was hidden between the trees.

Also, look the multiple artillery impacts all around !

Depending on how big the FAB bomb is (500, 1000, 1500, 3000...), the impact can get bigger.

A year ago (example in Kursk oblast), airstrikes were far less precise than today.

An interesting fact to keep in mind.

More recent images are showing multiple airstrikes in the same direction. In total, for Sumy oblast (I mainly looked from Tetkino to Sumy), I found 4 050 airstrikes impacts for this year.

Forest areas remain the most important ones for soldiers, places where they can find cover and move freely.

Thanks for following this thread ! I will continue to map and analyse the airstrike campaign, as long as there won't be clouds anymore !

You can support my volunteer and free research here : buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin