The NEW DONBAS LINE, a massive ukrainian 🇺🇦 fortification program
This year, Ukraine built important fortifications that may be able to stop or slow down russian 🇷🇺 forces. Visible from space, these fortifications have already proven useful.
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This weekend, Ukraine published this video showcasing their new defensive line.
For the first time, they officially showed the results of months of digging effort. This video shows the most advanced defensive line, with only two holes in 16km !
This line is new because it is not only anti-tank or anti-infantry obstacles, but all of them at the same time.
We can count 21 barbed wires rows (4 lines and 3 lines at the bottom of ditches), 3 dragon teeths rows and 3 rows of anti-tank ditches.
In a recent article, @United24media talked about those defenses, with a good adaptation of my map (without directly quoting it 🙃but anyway), I recommend the article :
Since the first days of 2025, the previous fortifications programs have been abandonned and replaced by new massive continuous lines.
You can see them here in yellow, with in white the constructions ongoing, you can see the coherence of this new defensive system.
Together with @Playfra0 I also started adding barbed wire and dragon teeths visible on SAR images.
Those can give a good understanding of where the next lines will be and to also understand how difficult it will be to cross the new lines.
For months, ukrainian excavators have been digging 3 rows anti-tank ditches. Even if russian forces cross the first one, they will have to cross the second and third ones.
-> Any breaching operation will get way more difficult, or maybe even impossible.
Also, after the first row of ditch (which is of course very deep -probably around 2 meters- and filled with barbed wire (impossible to cross if you want to disconnect the teeths)), you will find 3 rows of dragon teeths, also with barbed wire on tope...
Additionnaly, independant systems of barbed wire are also prepared, as I said, you will need to cross 7 obstacles, 3 with only barbed wire and the others filled with barbed wire.
It would take a lot of time and a lot of men to cross...
In august, the most critical situation was for the southern frontline, mainly in Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts.
Urgently, 3 defensive lines have been built, one east of Zaporizhia (completed now south of it), one near Novomykolaivka and one behind Pokrovsk'e.
These lines are nearly finished, despite Russia trying to reach them as fast as possible if they want to start the battle for Zaporizhia next year.
The main vulnerability of those lines are the roads, the small holes that have to be kept open for ukrainian forces to go to the frontline or later retreat behind the line.
This is also a good point, artillery and drone teams can target one point instead of a 10km area...
This summer, when russian forces broke through in Dobropilla, they managed to cross the New Donbas Line for few days.
Ukraine understood the problem and new lines are now also covering rivers and forest, no hole is left except designated roads.
Additionally, small entrenched positions have been built just behind the defensive lines. There are multiple ones so drone teams and infantry can hide in different places and move.
Those positions are concealed in treelines and will soon disappear with the trees.
Case study, Novomykolaivka :
Near this small countryside town where the video above was filmed, two lines have been recently dug. Both are in front of urban areas, being completed southwards and a river is even behind, as another natural defense.
West and north-west of Pokrovsk, massive defensive lines are standing. The upper ring is still being completed, it should be soon finished despite the snow)
Just west of Pokrovsk, russian forces will face a lot of ditches and barbed wire before even reaching the first of 4 lines
Are those lines useful ?
Yes, Here, with just one ditch, russian forces have to go on a road, which has been mined (you can mine roads with UGVs.
And this video is old. Russia is now mainly using unarmoured vehicles...
You have seen those images, but ditches and barbed wires will increase russian losses : russian forces now have to cut through wires or walk on small roads in order to cross those lines.
-> It is getting very deadly.
What about ukrainian positions ?
Ukraine is lacking men, but those lines will allow less men to hold an area : you need men to cover the line, mainly drone teams and the holes.
They can be safely hidden in small trenches and bunkers behind the line.
Another thing you want is concealed artillery and mortar positions.
With this kind of positions, it will be easy to strikes russian forces approching or trying to cross the line.
In july, I published this map with the New Donbas Line fortifications back then. I added the most recent ones in white.
It clearly shows that the construction is ongoing very fast and it will get more and more difficult to push.
How can Russia cross those lines ?
They can use massive artillery, FAB and FPV barrage on the line to open holes into it.
But one should remember that the line is 100-150 meters long, so it will need a lot of precise strikes.
And even after, it will still be difficult to cross the line under fire.
So, this new type of line is the new strategy. Today, a small unfinished portion of it is on the frontline, in Ivanivka, it allowed ukrainian forces to hold and push back the russians there.
We will see soon if those lines are working and if new ones are under construction (too much clouds for 2 months).
I will continue to map them and to analyse their use. Many people are still laughing at me when I talk about it, saying that it is not an important aspect of ukrainian defenses.
I believe they are wrong, those lines are meant to change the course of the war, by stopping Russian forces at least temporarily at a series of points where they will lose a lot of men and time.
Thank you for following this long and detailed thread on ukrainian fortifications.
It is a long and difficult work that I do for free, so if you want to support me, you can do it here :
Ces dernières semaines, l'armée russe a redéployé le 68ème corps d'armée, la 40ème brigade et la 55ème division d'infanterie navale et la 39ème brigade motorisée dans le secteur d'Houlialpole.
After 10 days of war between Iran 🇮🇷 and the USA/Israel 🇺🇸🇮🇱, the economical situation is worsening
Here is a new MAP UPDATE with the military situation, the economical situation, some analysis and some prospects :
🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️
The war has been going on for now more than 10 days and the repercussion are felt worldwide.
Iran held despite constant strikes which obliterated its navy and airforce and still continues to launch important drone and missile strikes across the region.
The death of Ayatollah Khamenei which was quickly replaced within ten days by his son didn't have the expected results.
The Iranian president and part of the leadership is still alive, while the IRCG individuals now understood that their bases are not safe.
Quelles implications pour chaque Etat du Moyen-Orient dans la guerre ?
Chacun des ~19 Etats de la région est touché de manière plus ou moins profonde par la guerre, voici un petit résumé Etat par Etat.
🧵THREAD🧵1/20 ⬇️
(Partenariat qui peut vous servir) :
L'histoire et la géopolitique de la région étant complexe, pour ceux qui n'ont pas eu de cours dessus ou veulent se remettre à niveau, voici une formation :
La Turquie a abattu un missile iranien au dessus de son territoire, des débris sont retombés dans le Hatay.
🔹Armée : Ankara a massé des troupes à sa frontière sud-est, non pas pour intervenir en Iran, mais pour empêcher un afflux massif de réfugiés et surveiller les mouvements kurdes qui pourraient profiter du chaos.
🔹Politique : Erdogan adopte une posture de condamnation de l'offensive américaine, tout en laissant les radars de l'OTAN sur son sol fournir des données cruciales aux alliés. Il joue la médiation pour ne pas perdre son influence sur le marché énergétique.
🔹La Turquie est dans une mauvaise posture. La guerre pourrait créer une crise des réfugiés massive à sa frontière, sa politique basée sur l'entente entre les pays musulmans se voit impactée et le renforcement d'Israël est un mauvais signal pour Ankara. La Turquie surveille de près les kurdes d'Iran (qu'elle considère comme une menace) et les azéris d'Iran, de potentiels alliés turciques.
🔹En cas de chute du régime, Ankara perdra le rôle qu'elle joue actuellement dans la région, notamment sur l'aspect commercial et sécuritaire. La Turquie n'a aucun intérêt à avoir un Iran pro-américain et puissant à sa frontière.
After 8 days of war between Iran 🇮🇷 and the USA/Israel 🇺🇸🇮🇱, here is a new MAP UPDATE
In total, the US and Israel conducted around 4 500 strikes across Iran, while Iran retaliated with 3 500 vectors, including ~905 missiles.
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Despite facing significant challenges due to Israeli-American air supremacy over Iranian territory, Iranian retaliatory strikes continue across the Middle East, while the United States continues to accumulate damage to its bases.
After initial strikes that had few results (except in Bahrain and Kuwait), Iran used more precise missiles to strike four AN/TPY-2 (THAAD) radars, blinding the region's air defenses and limiting response time.
The massive consumption of Patriot missiles also raises concerns about a potential shortage.