Clément Molin Profile picture
Dec 23, 2025 25 tweets 11 min read Read on X
The NEW DONBAS LINE, a massive ukrainian 🇺🇦 fortification program

This year, Ukraine built important fortifications that may be able to stop or slow down russian 🇷🇺 forces. Visible from space, these fortifications have already proven useful.

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This weekend, Ukraine published this video showcasing their new defensive line.

For the first time, they officially showed the results of months of digging effort. This video shows the most advanced defensive line, with only two holes in 16km !
This line is new because it is not only anti-tank or anti-infantry obstacles, but all of them at the same time.

We can count 21 barbed wires rows (4 lines and 3 lines at the bottom of ditches), 3 dragon teeths rows and 3 rows of anti-tank ditches. Image
In a recent article, @United24media talked about those defenses, with a good adaptation of my map (without directly quoting it 🙃but anyway), I recommend the article :

united24media.com/war-in-ukraine…Image
Since the first days of 2025, the previous fortifications programs have been abandonned and replaced by new massive continuous lines.

You can see them here in yellow, with in white the constructions ongoing, you can see the coherence of this new defensive system. Image
Together with @Playfra0 I also started adding barbed wire and dragon teeths visible on SAR images.

Those can give a good understanding of where the next lines will be and to also understand how difficult it will be to cross the new lines. Image
For months, ukrainian excavators have been digging 3 rows anti-tank ditches. Even if russian forces cross the first one, they will have to cross the second and third ones.

-> Any breaching operation will get way more difficult, or maybe even impossible. Image
Also, after the first row of ditch (which is of course very deep -probably around 2 meters- and filled with barbed wire (impossible to cross if you want to disconnect the teeths)), you will find 3 rows of dragon teeths, also with barbed wire on tope... Image
Additionnaly, independant systems of barbed wire are also prepared, as I said, you will need to cross 7 obstacles, 3 with only barbed wire and the others filled with barbed wire.

It would take a lot of time and a lot of men to cross... Image
In august, the most critical situation was for the southern frontline, mainly in Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts.

Urgently, 3 defensive lines have been built, one east of Zaporizhia (completed now south of it), one near Novomykolaivka and one behind Pokrovsk'e. Image
These lines are nearly finished, despite Russia trying to reach them as fast as possible if they want to start the battle for Zaporizhia next year. Image
The main vulnerability of those lines are the roads, the small holes that have to be kept open for ukrainian forces to go to the frontline or later retreat behind the line.

This is also a good point, artillery and drone teams can target one point instead of a 10km area... Image
This summer, when russian forces broke through in Dobropilla, they managed to cross the New Donbas Line for few days.

Ukraine understood the problem and new lines are now also covering rivers and forest, no hole is left except designated roads. Image
Additionally, small entrenched positions have been built just behind the defensive lines. There are multiple ones so drone teams and infantry can hide in different places and move.

Those positions are concealed in treelines and will soon disappear with the trees. Image
Case study, Novomykolaivka :

Near this small countryside town where the video above was filmed, two lines have been recently dug. Both are in front of urban areas, being completed southwards and a river is even behind, as another natural defense. Image
West and north-west of Pokrovsk, massive defensive lines are standing. The upper ring is still being completed, it should be soon finished despite the snow)

Just west of Pokrovsk, russian forces will face a lot of ditches and barbed wire before even reaching the first of 4 lines Image
Are those lines useful ?

Yes, Here, with just one ditch, russian forces have to go on a road, which has been mined (you can mine roads with UGVs.

And this video is old. Russia is now mainly using unarmoured vehicles...
You have seen those images, but ditches and barbed wires will increase russian losses : russian forces now have to cut through wires or walk on small roads in order to cross those lines.

-> It is getting very deadly. Image
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What about ukrainian positions ?

Ukraine is lacking men, but those lines will allow less men to hold an area : you need men to cover the line, mainly drone teams and the holes.

They can be safely hidden in small trenches and bunkers behind the line. Image
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Another thing you want is concealed artillery and mortar positions.

With this kind of positions, it will be easy to strikes russian forces approching or trying to cross the line. Image


In july, I published this map with the New Donbas Line fortifications back then. I added the most recent ones in white.

It clearly shows that the construction is ongoing very fast and it will get more and more difficult to push. Image
How can Russia cross those lines ?

They can use massive artillery, FAB and FPV barrage on the line to open holes into it.

But one should remember that the line is 100-150 meters long, so it will need a lot of precise strikes. Image
And even after, it will still be difficult to cross the line under fire.

So, this new type of line is the new strategy. Today, a small unfinished portion of it is on the frontline, in Ivanivka, it allowed ukrainian forces to hold and push back the russians there. Image
We will see soon if those lines are working and if new ones are under construction (too much clouds for 2 months).

I will continue to map them and to analyse their use. Many people are still laughing at me when I talk about it, saying that it is not an important aspect of ukrainian defenses.

I believe they are wrong, those lines are meant to change the course of the war, by stopping Russian forces at least temporarily at a series of points where they will lose a lot of men and time.Image
Thank you for following this long and detailed thread on ukrainian fortifications.

It is a long and difficult work that I do for free, so if you want to support me, you can do it here :

Thank you !buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin

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More from @clement_molin

Jul 11
In recent weeks, Ukraine 🇺🇦 launched a large number of strikes against electricity infrastructure in Crimea

Since 2026 started, both Ukraine and Russia 🇷🇺 launched continuous strikes against each other energy infrastructure.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Recently, most of Crimea has been without power after a large number of Ukrainian strikes (source : @georgewbarros).

You can see here that most of the peninsula was lacking electricity, including large cities.
In total, around 37 electric substations have been hit, together with oil and gas infrastructure.

This has drastic consequences on both civilian and military infrastructure of the peninsula.
Read 10 tweets
Jul 8
During the first week of July, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to target Russian 🇷🇺 trucks and logistics, hitting more than 240 vehicles, 34 per day.

Despite fewer coverage, these strikes continue to be a very big problem for Russian forces across occupied territories.

🧵THREAD🧵1/8 ⬇️ Image
The number of strikes continue to increase, with nearly 600 trucks and vehicles hit in june 2026 (around 20 per day) and already 240 for the 1st week of july (34 per day).

All these strikes are only the confirmed ones from ukrainian videos, I do not count videos from the ground. Image
Today, the Ukrainian army of drones () published a compilation of nearly 200 strikes on trucks and vehicles near Crimea.

This video covers multiple units work for the 1st week of July. The good point ? Everything is proven. t.me/robert_magyar/…
Read 8 tweets
Jul 3
Let's dive in Russian 🇷🇺 war propaganda machine

Recently, new videos emerged of Russian soldiers showing their flag far behind the frontline.

What is important about that is the aim of these operations : to show to the Russian command.

1/9 ⬇️ Image
Russian flag videos are almost always the same. One or two Russian soldiers walk along the front line for weeks, evading Ukrainian detection.

Upon reaching the rear, they spend a day wandering through an entire village with their flag, while a drone overhead films them. Image
They are often not armed and will stay in the village for a long time, hidden in a basement, most of the time being found and captured/killed and sometimes go back to their lines.

These soldiers are not meant to disrupt Ukrainian rear but to create the illusion Russia controls an area.
Read 9 tweets
Jul 2
In June 2026, Russia 🇷🇺 launched 8 284 airstrikes, of which I managed to map 49%

This airstrike campaign is at the heart of Russian offensive strategy and one of the biggest challenge to the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 armed forces.

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With artillery and drones, airstrikes are the third phase of the Russian strike campaign.

These unguided bombs—the FAB-250, -500, -1000, and -1500—are fitted with a UMPK guidance kit and dropped from more than 50 km behind the front line.

Here you can see the results of those : Image
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The use of these guided bombs is steadily increasing, reaching a record high this month.

The accuracy of the FABs, which ranged from 10% to 30% last year (with "accuracy" defined as hitting something, such as a hedgerow, a village, or a forest), now stands at between 40% and 90%.Image
Read 20 tweets
Jul 1
Russian 🇷🇺 offensive assessment for June 2026

In June, Russia occupied 28 km2 and continued offensive operations in 7 directions out of 12. Russian forces took control of some neighbourhoods inside Kostiantynivka and advanced near Sloviansk.

My analysis :

🧵THREAD🧵1/13 ⬇️Image
Data above is from @Pouletvolant3 who has a strong regularity, using @Majakovsk73 data.

Below, Maps bases are from @M0nstas, with @Deepstate_UA and @AndrewPerpetua data.

The battle for Kostiantynivka has been ongoing for over 8 months.

Russian forces have been infiltrating the city's eastern, southern, and western sectors for several months; in recent weeks, they have—for the first time—managed to seize control of several neighborhoods, particularly in the west, and secure certain access routes to the city center.

Concurrently, Russian forces have launched a major propaganda campaign, showing flags across nearly the entire city and releasing videos showing their infiltration into most areas of Kostiantynivka.

Ukrainian forces maintain a presence throughout almost the entire city, although their hold on the southeastern and southwestern neighborhoods is increasingly threatened by the Russian advance into their rear. Fighting within the neighborhoods continues, and the Russian objective remains to seize control of the two roads supplying the city.

While the majority of Ukrainian assets—including drones and artillery—were evacuated in early June, the battle for the city (much like the earlier battle for Toretsk to the south) could drag on for weeks or even months until Russian forces achieve total control, enabling them to use the city as a hub for a northward push toward Drujkivka and Kramatorsk.

Overall, the battle for the city is lost, even though the Ukrainians still control more than a quarter of it—specifically the northeastern districts. It is important to understand that it is too early for Russian forces to use the city as a launch point for artillery or drone strikes; however, the initial drone units arriving in the coming weeks could intensify the threat to the northern supply routes leading to Drujkivka.Image
Read 13 tweets
Jun 30
In recent months, Ukraine 🇺🇦 continued to reinforce its fortifications across the country

6 months ago, Zaporizhzhia direction was lacking defensive preparation, it now has 5 defensive lines, which shows how fast Ukraine can adapt.

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Here in red are all the new fortifications built from january to jun 2026. Lines are stretching from Chernihiv to Odessa.

You can see priority was given to Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblast. Image
Near Zaporizhzhia, are still digging new lines, with currently 5 lines protecting the city from the east.

Red are lines dug in 2026, yellow in 2025 and white in 2024 (mostly obsolete). Image
Read 13 tweets

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