Clément Molin Profile picture
Dec 23 25 tweets 11 min read Read on X
The NEW DONBAS LINE, a massive ukrainian 🇺🇦 fortification program

This year, Ukraine built important fortifications that may be able to stop or slow down russian 🇷🇺 forces. Visible from space, these fortifications have already proven useful.

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
This weekend, Ukraine published this video showcasing their new defensive line.

For the first time, they officially showed the results of months of digging effort. This video shows the most advanced defensive line, with only two holes in 16km !
This line is new because it is not only anti-tank or anti-infantry obstacles, but all of them at the same time.

We can count 21 barbed wires rows (4 lines and 3 lines at the bottom of ditches), 3 dragon teeths rows and 3 rows of anti-tank ditches. Image
In a recent article, @United24media talked about those defenses, with a good adaptation of my map (without directly quoting it 🙃but anyway), I recommend the article :

united24media.com/war-in-ukraine…Image
Since the first days of 2025, the previous fortifications programs have been abandonned and replaced by new massive continuous lines.

You can see them here in yellow, with in white the constructions ongoing, you can see the coherence of this new defensive system. Image
Together with @Playfra0 I also started adding barbed wire and dragon teeths visible on SAR images.

Those can give a good understanding of where the next lines will be and to also understand how difficult it will be to cross the new lines. Image
For months, ukrainian excavators have been digging 3 rows anti-tank ditches. Even if russian forces cross the first one, they will have to cross the second and third ones.

-> Any breaching operation will get way more difficult, or maybe even impossible. Image
Also, after the first row of ditch (which is of course very deep -probably around 2 meters- and filled with barbed wire (impossible to cross if you want to disconnect the teeths)), you will find 3 rows of dragon teeths, also with barbed wire on tope... Image
Additionnaly, independant systems of barbed wire are also prepared, as I said, you will need to cross 7 obstacles, 3 with only barbed wire and the others filled with barbed wire.

It would take a lot of time and a lot of men to cross... Image
In august, the most critical situation was for the southern frontline, mainly in Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts.

Urgently, 3 defensive lines have been built, one east of Zaporizhia (completed now south of it), one near Novomykolaivka and one behind Pokrovsk'e. Image
These lines are nearly finished, despite Russia trying to reach them as fast as possible if they want to start the battle for Zaporizhia next year. Image
The main vulnerability of those lines are the roads, the small holes that have to be kept open for ukrainian forces to go to the frontline or later retreat behind the line.

This is also a good point, artillery and drone teams can target one point instead of a 10km area... Image
This summer, when russian forces broke through in Dobropilla, they managed to cross the New Donbas Line for few days.

Ukraine understood the problem and new lines are now also covering rivers and forest, no hole is left except designated roads. Image
Additionally, small entrenched positions have been built just behind the defensive lines. There are multiple ones so drone teams and infantry can hide in different places and move.

Those positions are concealed in treelines and will soon disappear with the trees. Image
Case study, Novomykolaivka :

Near this small countryside town where the video above was filmed, two lines have been recently dug. Both are in front of urban areas, being completed southwards and a river is even behind, as another natural defense. Image
West and north-west of Pokrovsk, massive defensive lines are standing. The upper ring is still being completed, it should be soon finished despite the snow)

Just west of Pokrovsk, russian forces will face a lot of ditches and barbed wire before even reaching the first of 4 lines Image
Are those lines useful ?

Yes, Here, with just one ditch, russian forces have to go on a road, which has been mined (you can mine roads with UGVs.

And this video is old. Russia is now mainly using unarmoured vehicles...
You have seen those images, but ditches and barbed wires will increase russian losses : russian forces now have to cut through wires or walk on small roads in order to cross those lines.

-> It is getting very deadly. Image
Image
What about ukrainian positions ?

Ukraine is lacking men, but those lines will allow less men to hold an area : you need men to cover the line, mainly drone teams and the holes.

They can be safely hidden in small trenches and bunkers behind the line. Image
Image
Image
Image
Another thing you want is concealed artillery and mortar positions.

With this kind of positions, it will be easy to strikes russian forces approching or trying to cross the line. Image


In july, I published this map with the New Donbas Line fortifications back then. I added the most recent ones in white.

It clearly shows that the construction is ongoing very fast and it will get more and more difficult to push. Image
How can Russia cross those lines ?

They can use massive artillery, FAB and FPV barrage on the line to open holes into it.

But one should remember that the line is 100-150 meters long, so it will need a lot of precise strikes. Image
And even after, it will still be difficult to cross the line under fire.

So, this new type of line is the new strategy. Today, a small unfinished portion of it is on the frontline, in Ivanivka, it allowed ukrainian forces to hold and push back the russians there. Image
We will see soon if those lines are working and if new ones are under construction (too much clouds for 2 months).

I will continue to map them and to analyse their use. Many people are still laughing at me when I talk about it, saying that it is not an important aspect of ukrainian defenses.

I believe they are wrong, those lines are meant to change the course of the war, by stopping Russian forces at least temporarily at a series of points where they will lose a lot of men and time.Image
Thank you for following this long and detailed thread on ukrainian fortifications.

It is a long and difficult work that I do for free, so if you want to support me, you can do it here :

Thank you !buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Clément Molin

Clément Molin Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @clement_molin

Dec 15
Ukrainian 🇺🇦 forces liberated most of Kupiansk city in a rather uncommon counter-attack

Despite setbacks in Pokrovsk, Siversk or Vovchansk, counter-offensive operations in Kupiansk managed to save the city and its surrondings for additionnal months.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Few days ago, Volodymyr Zelensky filmed himself at the entrance of the city of Kupiansk, less than a month after Vladimir Putin claimed it was liberated by russian forces, inviting western medias into it. Image
A year ago, russian forces crossed the Oskil river for the first time in Dvorichna area.

Back then, the infiltration remained small. However, during the spring and the summer of this year, they accumulated forces, using underground pipes to enter Kupiansk city. Image
Read 10 tweets
Dec 8
La République Démocratique du Congo 🇨🇩 est-elle coupable d'héberger et d'armer les FDLR, des rebelles qui nourrissent l'ambition d'envahir le Rwanda 🇷🇼?

Entre mythes et réalités, la question des FDLR est au cœur de la guerre dans l'est de la RDC.

🧵THREAD🧵1/23 ⬇️Image
Après avoir perpétré le génocide contre les tutsis (et les hutus modérés) en 1994 (800k à 1 million de morts), les Forces Armées du Rwanda et les génocidaires interahamwe ont pris la fuite avec 2 millions de Hutus vers le Zaïre. Image
Contrairement à ce qui a souvent été dit, l'Armée Zaïroise et les forces de l'ONU/françaises, n'ont pas eu ni la volonté ni la capacité de désarmer entièrement et efficacement les hutus fuyant le Rwanda.

Ainsi, dans l'est du Zaïre, de nombreuses armes lourdes sont arrivées. Image
Read 23 tweets
Dec 7
Au Yémen 🇾🇪, le coup de force des Emirats-Arabes-Unis 🇦🇪 pour contrôler le sud du pays

Les forces du Conseil de Transition du Sud (STC), un proxy pro-émirats, ont lancé une vaste offensive militaire, s'emparant d'une grande partie du sud du pays.

🧵THREAD🧵1/16 ⬇️Image
Le STC s’appuie sur un réseau armé sudiste fortement soutenu, équipé et entraîné par les Émirats Arabes Unis, et ancrées dans un puissant sentiment identitaire sudiste pro-sécession.

Ils contrôle le sud du pays. Image
Les forces du gouvernement se composent d’un ensemble hétérogène : Armée nationale (ANY), brigades du MOD, unités tribales et islamistes, appuyées par l’Arabie saoudite ; elles disposent d’effectifs théoriquement importants mais fragmentés, sans cohésion stratégique forte et dépendants du soutien extérieur.Image
Read 16 tweets
Dec 6
Analysis of Russian 🇷🇺 airstrikes north of Sumy in 2025

This year, I've closely followed russian airstrike campaign.

In Sumy, I mapped around 4 000 strikes. With recent satellite images of a small 153 km2, I found 1641 airstrikes impact !

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️Image
I found very recent sattelite images from May or June 2025.

What they are showing is really crazy. Multiple airstrikes impacts and wiped out villages, it helps to understand russian strategy. Image
Thus, I have decided to cover this small area of 153km2 with airstrikes visible on the high resolution images of june in white and the ones on mid resolution from october and november in pink.

1641, it's 10.7 per km2 ! Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 6
Pourquoi la RD Congo 🇨🇩, le Rwanda 🇷🇼, le Burundi 🇧🇮 et l'Ouganda 🇺🇬 sont ils tous en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Depuis 1994, les trois Etats organisent ensemble le pillage des ressources minières congolaise, changeant régulièrement d'alliance, CARTE :

🧵THREAD🧵1/25 ⬇️Image
Le principal Etat impliqué est le Rwanda. Mais pourquoi est-il en guerre dans l'est du Congo ?

Lors de la guerre entre le FPR (tutsis) et l'Etat Rwandais (Hutu) entre 1990-1994, le FPR est soutenu et armé par l'Ouganda 🇺🇬, la Grande Bretagne 🇬🇧 et les Etats-Unis 🇺🇸 Image
Battant les forces armées rwandaises (hutus) pendant le génocide, le FPR prend le pouvoir, avec à sa tête Paul Kagame.

Il devient dès lors la vitrine anglo-saxone en Afrique, recevant armes et financements. Les USA organisent via le Rwanda la chute du dictateur Mobutu au Zaïre. Image
Read 25 tweets
Nov 28
The use of unmanned ground vehicles (UGVs): the new revolution in the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 war.

Replacing infantry, UGVs fulfill several roles: combat support, troop evacuation, mine-laying, or logistics...

The revolution of ground drones in Ukraine 🇺🇦/🇷🇺 :

🧵THREAD🧵1/17⬇️Image
Like images from the future, ground drones are becoming increasingly visible on the ground in Ukraine.

While the arrival of aerial drones and their variants, as well as naval drones, has been well covered, the arrival of ground drones has been almost forgotten.
Multiple videos from the last few weeks are showing a wider use of ground drones for various missions.

Even if they are often targeter by aerial drones, they are still being very useful.
Read 17 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(