Clément Molin Profile picture
Dec 23, 2025 25 tweets 11 min read Read on X
The NEW DONBAS LINE, a massive ukrainian 🇺🇦 fortification program

This year, Ukraine built important fortifications that may be able to stop or slow down russian 🇷🇺 forces. Visible from space, these fortifications have already proven useful.

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This weekend, Ukraine published this video showcasing their new defensive line.

For the first time, they officially showed the results of months of digging effort. This video shows the most advanced defensive line, with only two holes in 16km !
This line is new because it is not only anti-tank or anti-infantry obstacles, but all of them at the same time.

We can count 21 barbed wires rows (4 lines and 3 lines at the bottom of ditches), 3 dragon teeths rows and 3 rows of anti-tank ditches. Image
In a recent article, @United24media talked about those defenses, with a good adaptation of my map (without directly quoting it 🙃but anyway), I recommend the article :

united24media.com/war-in-ukraine…Image
Since the first days of 2025, the previous fortifications programs have been abandonned and replaced by new massive continuous lines.

You can see them here in yellow, with in white the constructions ongoing, you can see the coherence of this new defensive system. Image
Together with @Playfra0 I also started adding barbed wire and dragon teeths visible on SAR images.

Those can give a good understanding of where the next lines will be and to also understand how difficult it will be to cross the new lines. Image
For months, ukrainian excavators have been digging 3 rows anti-tank ditches. Even if russian forces cross the first one, they will have to cross the second and third ones.

-> Any breaching operation will get way more difficult, or maybe even impossible. Image
Also, after the first row of ditch (which is of course very deep -probably around 2 meters- and filled with barbed wire (impossible to cross if you want to disconnect the teeths)), you will find 3 rows of dragon teeths, also with barbed wire on tope... Image
Additionnaly, independant systems of barbed wire are also prepared, as I said, you will need to cross 7 obstacles, 3 with only barbed wire and the others filled with barbed wire.

It would take a lot of time and a lot of men to cross... Image
In august, the most critical situation was for the southern frontline, mainly in Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk oblasts.

Urgently, 3 defensive lines have been built, one east of Zaporizhia (completed now south of it), one near Novomykolaivka and one behind Pokrovsk'e. Image
These lines are nearly finished, despite Russia trying to reach them as fast as possible if they want to start the battle for Zaporizhia next year. Image
The main vulnerability of those lines are the roads, the small holes that have to be kept open for ukrainian forces to go to the frontline or later retreat behind the line.

This is also a good point, artillery and drone teams can target one point instead of a 10km area... Image
This summer, when russian forces broke through in Dobropilla, they managed to cross the New Donbas Line for few days.

Ukraine understood the problem and new lines are now also covering rivers and forest, no hole is left except designated roads. Image
Additionally, small entrenched positions have been built just behind the defensive lines. There are multiple ones so drone teams and infantry can hide in different places and move.

Those positions are concealed in treelines and will soon disappear with the trees. Image
Case study, Novomykolaivka :

Near this small countryside town where the video above was filmed, two lines have been recently dug. Both are in front of urban areas, being completed southwards and a river is even behind, as another natural defense. Image
West and north-west of Pokrovsk, massive defensive lines are standing. The upper ring is still being completed, it should be soon finished despite the snow)

Just west of Pokrovsk, russian forces will face a lot of ditches and barbed wire before even reaching the first of 4 lines Image
Are those lines useful ?

Yes, Here, with just one ditch, russian forces have to go on a road, which has been mined (you can mine roads with UGVs.

And this video is old. Russia is now mainly using unarmoured vehicles...
You have seen those images, but ditches and barbed wires will increase russian losses : russian forces now have to cut through wires or walk on small roads in order to cross those lines.

-> It is getting very deadly. Image
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What about ukrainian positions ?

Ukraine is lacking men, but those lines will allow less men to hold an area : you need men to cover the line, mainly drone teams and the holes.

They can be safely hidden in small trenches and bunkers behind the line. Image
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Another thing you want is concealed artillery and mortar positions.

With this kind of positions, it will be easy to strikes russian forces approching or trying to cross the line. Image


In july, I published this map with the New Donbas Line fortifications back then. I added the most recent ones in white.

It clearly shows that the construction is ongoing very fast and it will get more and more difficult to push. Image
How can Russia cross those lines ?

They can use massive artillery, FAB and FPV barrage on the line to open holes into it.

But one should remember that the line is 100-150 meters long, so it will need a lot of precise strikes. Image
And even after, it will still be difficult to cross the line under fire.

So, this new type of line is the new strategy. Today, a small unfinished portion of it is on the frontline, in Ivanivka, it allowed ukrainian forces to hold and push back the russians there. Image
We will see soon if those lines are working and if new ones are under construction (too much clouds for 2 months).

I will continue to map them and to analyse their use. Many people are still laughing at me when I talk about it, saying that it is not an important aspect of ukrainian defenses.

I believe they are wrong, those lines are meant to change the course of the war, by stopping Russian forces at least temporarily at a series of points where they will lose a lot of men and time.Image
Thank you for following this long and detailed thread on ukrainian fortifications.

It is a long and difficult work that I do for free, so if you want to support me, you can do it here :

Thank you !buymeacoffee.com/clement.molin

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More from @clement_molin

May 13
In the remaining Ukrainian 🇺🇦-controlled Donbas, Russia is currently pushing 3 offensives, on 3 key cities : Sloviansk, Kostiantynivka, and Dobropilla.

The Russian army has recently made some progress towards several key positions in the region.

🧵THREAD🧵1/14 ⬇️ Image
The first direction is the Sloviansk one. After the fall of Siversk 6 months ago, russian forces have been slowly crawling towards Rai Oleksandrivka, a strategic height overlooking Sloviansk/Kramatorsk agglomeration.

They are slowly nearing Mykolaivka and Sloviansk itself. Image
Here are the suspectied russian offensive routes in black, with geolocated videos of ukrainian strikes in the last 31 days in red.

Blue circles are ukrainian strongholds. The grey zone is expanding and the situation is slowly worsening, this is the main russian success of 2026. Image
Read 14 tweets
May 11
Le drone terrestre peut-il remplacer le soldat ?

Dans le Donbass, ce sont 22 000 robots terrestres qui ont remplacé des soldats ukrainiens 🇺🇦 sur la ligne de front durant les premiers mois de 2026.

(English 🇬🇧 below for the slides)

🧵THREAD🧵1/10⬇️ Image
Le chiffre est du Président Zelensky lui-même, sur le seul premier trimestre 2026.

Il montre à quel point cette nouvelle technologie est sur le point de devenir indispensable sur le front. Image
➤ Le marché ukrainien est passé de 500 drones terrestres produits en 2024 à environ 20 000 au seul premier trimestre 2026. Plus de 280 entreprises, près de 310 modèles distincts. Une bascule de l'artisanat à la production de série en dix-huit mois. Image
Read 10 tweets
May 11
In the Ukrainian 🇺🇦 occupied territories, Russia 🇷🇺 has developed significant military linked infrastructure projects.

New highways, water pipes, railways, power lines, military bases, building reconstruction can be seen in multiple places in Ukraine.

🧵THREAD🧵1/18 ⬇️ Image
West of Taganrog, the Rostov-Mariupol road has been slightly expanded, for both civilian and military purpose.

This snapshot is inside Russia.
After the border with Ukraine, the same road is again much larger. There is even a new parking lot.

This road is in fact the new Russia-Crimea northern road (the southern road is going through Kerch bridge).
Read 18 tweets
May 7
Comment suivre la guerre en Ukraine 🇺🇦🇷🇺 soit-même ?

Oubliez Liveuamap, oubliez l'ISW, oubliez les médias traditionnel, il est ici question des véritables outils accessibles gratuitement !

Les outils en sources ouvertes pour suivre la guerre en Ukraine :

🧵THREAD🧵1/22 ⬇️ Image
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1- Une bonne carte

Il existe des dizaines de cartes en ligne, voici les plus intéressantes :

🔹map.ukrdailyupdate.com (pro-ukraine, mais avec plus de 200 vidéos géolocalisées par jour)
🔹playframap.github.io (carte de Playfra, pro-ukraine mais la carte est plutôt neutre, utilisant de nombreuses sources de terrain)
🔹deepstatemap.live (pro-ukraine, proche du gouvernement ukrainien mais conservant une constance dans la guerre + beaucoup des sources de terrain)
🔹google.com/maps/d/u/0/vie… (carte d'AMK mapping, pro-russe, carte bien plus progressive que les autres)
🔹ukraineviews.org (outil rassemblant 12 ! cartes interactives dont 6 pro-russes)
🔹uacontrolmap.com (carte neutre utilisant uniquement les vidéos géolocalisées)
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2- Bases de données des pertes de militaires :

🔹Pour la Russie : en.zona.media/article/2026/0… (média russe dissident)
🔹Pour l'Ukraine : ualosses.org/en/soldiers/ (groupe ukrainien, infos concordantes avec d'autres sources) Image
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Read 22 tweets
May 5
Dans le sud de l'Ukraine 🇺🇦, l'offensive russe s'intensifie autour d'Orikhiv, l'armée ukrainienne fait face à des difficultés localisées.

J'ai cartographié plus de 1 500 impacts de frappes aériennes qui montrent la direction de l'offensive russe 🇷🇺.

🧵THREAD🧵1/15 ⬇️ Image
En février, j'avais réalisé cette carte montrant les probables objectifs russes pour l'année dans le secteur.

Cet objectif semble encore d'actualité au vu de la direction de l'offensive mais les défenses ont été renforcées. Image
Donc, l'objectif russe est de prendre Orikhiv. Pour cela, il faut absolument contrôler les hauteurs au nord-est.

L'armée russe multiplie les infiltrations et s'est emparé d'une partie de Zaliznychne. La clé ici, c'est Ternuvate, qui permettait de sécuriser le flanc nord. Image
Read 15 tweets
May 3
L'armée ukrainienne 🇺🇦 poursuit la fortification d'au moins 45 villes de différentes tailles pour préparer la défense sur le long terme.

Parmi les grandes villes, Odessa, Mykolaiv, Dnipro, Kharkiv, Soumy ou Tchernihiv ont été renforcées.

🧵THREAD🧵1/10 ⬇️ Image
Commençons au nord, oblast de Tchernihiv. (rouge = tranchées et surtout fossés anti-chats, blanc = barbelés et dents de dragons)

Défenses de Hrodnia + 3 lignes en amont
Défenses en construction à Snovsk et Koriukivka
Défenses de Ripky et Tchernihiv
Défenses de Novhorod-Siverskyï Image
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Oblast de Soumy :

Défenses circulaires de Chotska
Défenses circulaires de Hloukhiv
Défenses circulaires de Putyl et Buryn
Défenses circulaires de Konotop (anciennes) Image
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Read 10 tweets

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