Ken Moriyasu Profile picture
Jan 8 3 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Greenland is “Panama Canal North” for Trump.

Just like he was opposed to China controlling both ends of the Panama Canal, the president wants command over both sides of the Arctic Northwest Passage: Alaska and Greenland.

asia.nikkei.com/spotlight/trum…Image
2/ "Greenland is the eastern flank of the Arctic Northwest Passage," Jeff Mahon said, referring to a sea lane that runs across the northern shores of Canada.

"Ships traveling from Europe would need to pass by Greenland to reach the passage on their journey to Asia," he said. "The U.S. is looking to control both entry points to the Northwest Passage."Image
3/ "China is looking for new strategic points around the globe to increase its influence,” said @LyleJMorris

A major concern is Chinese and Russian ballistic missile submarines, equipped with nuclear weapons, roaming the Northwest Passage. Image

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More from @kenmoriyasu

Aug 19, 2025
600 km east of the Iron Curtain, a new group of China-friendly nations is forming a north-south line that runs through the heart of Eurasia.

The "Silk Curtain," which spread from Hungary down to Greece, offers China a hub near Western Europe, Africa and the Middle East. 🧵 Image
2/ Most notable are the growing ties between China and Serbia.

-- Vucic was the first foreign leader to confirm he would join China's Sept. 3 parade

-- Last month, China and Serbia conducted joint special forces training, their first military drill

asia.nikkei.com/politics/inter…
3/ For China, Serbia is a piece of a wider puzzle, according to @v_vuksanovic
"Just take where the Chinese investments are, and you see that four countries are important. Greece, North Macedonia, Serbia and Hungary. These four countries are part of a single whole" Image
Read 4 tweets
Nov 26, 2024
Got a glimpse of Trump's China policy this morning, as Mike Waltz appeared on CNBC. His logic was:

– You don't “solve” Gaza in Gaza. You solve it by dealing with Tehran. As long as they are flushed with cash, the Middle East is never going to have peace.

- China buys 90% of Iran's illicit oil. We'll be having some conversations with China about those purchases.
asia.nikkei.com/Politics/U.S.-…Image
2/ Other things he said:
– We're in communication with President Biden's team, with his national security adviser Jake Sullivan and one of the lead negotiators, Amos Hochstein.
–Resolving Lebanon will further isolate Hamas, and we are all hopeful we can drive some type of resolution to get our hostages home by Inauguration Day.
– We’re seeing the “President Trump effect,” where suddenly everybody's ready to deal. We're seeing that across the board and around the world.
– My message to the world, and I think Mr. Sullivan would certainly agree, is, to our adversaries, if you think this is a moment of opportunity, that you can play one administration off against each other, we don't agree on every issue, but we are in communication. You cannot use this as a moment of opportunity. And we need to send that message as fellow Americans loud and clear.
– Solving Iran will help stability in the Russia Ukraine theater as well. Iran provides ballistic missiles and literally 1000s and 1000s of drones that are going into that theater. The Middle East is also a key component to resolving the Russia Ukraine conflict.
– If the Biden administration is escalating (by allowing Ukraine to fire into Russia) in response to a North Korean escalation, now South Korea is talking about some type of potential involvement. We keep climbing this escalation ladder. And to what end? What is success in line with America's interests?
3/ Trump needs China’s help for early “wins” in Lebanon, Gaza and Red Sea.
It looks like he will try to negotiate an arrangement with Beijing to stop the flow of money to Iran.
Perhaps the 10% tariff on fentanyl is a test case to see if cooperation is possible.
Read 5 tweets
Oct 11, 2023
There was a buzz among defense contractors at the #AUSA2023 in Washington this week. Especially the Koreans, fresh off a landmark arms deal with Poland.

Amid Gaza war, South Korean arms makers take aim at U.S. market via @NikkeiAsiaasia.nikkei.com/Politics/Defen…
2/ In Hanwha Aerospace's 232-sq.-meter booth was a massive K9 self-propelled howitzer, the same type that the company has sold to Poland.

Also on display were various charge systems for 155-millimeter rounds, one of the most in-demand artillery munitions in use in Ukraine. Image
3/ South Korean law prohibits its defense companies from selling directly to countries engaged in conflict.

But such suppliers have an opportunity to fill up the U.S. military's depleted stockpiles, if Washington were to expand its military assistance to Ukraine and Israel.
Read 5 tweets
Aug 10, 2023
No checks, no balance.

1/ China's summer political season has arrived. Communist Party leaders have gathered in Beidaihe to hold their annual, secretive discussions on the state of the nation.

asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks…
2/ In his 11 years in power, this is the first time that Xi Jinping will not have to face the most powerful of the party elders. Jiang Zemin has passed away. Hu Jintao is said to no longer be based in Beijing.
3/ The lack of checks and balances is convenient for Xi. But is it good for China? Under Xi’s strong-man rule, the only way to rectify problematic key policies is for Xi himself to recognize them and order their correction.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 15, 2023
Analysis: Xi throws Okinawa into East Asia geopolitical cocktail

1/ On June 4, the People's Daily published a story on its front page.

It introduced Xi's comments on the Ryukyu Islands, present day Okinawa, Japan's southernmost prefecture.
asia.nikkei.com/Editor-s-Picks…
2/ Xi was visiting the China National Archives, a facility established on the outskirts of Beijing last year.

During the tour, Xi stopped in front of a woodblock-printed book about the history of the Ryukyus.
3/ Xi told a curator: "When I was working in Fuzhou, I knew that Fuzhou had a Ryukyu museum and a Ryukyu tomb, and that Fuzhou had a deep relationship with the Ryukyus." Image
Read 5 tweets
Jun 13, 2023
NATO will deepen collaboration with its four major partners in the Indo-Pacific, simultaneously preparing bilateral cooperation documents with Australia, Japan, New Zealand and South Korea, Nikkei Asia has learned. (1/4)

asia.nikkei.com/Politics/Inter… via @NikkeiAsia
2/ The four, collectively known as the Asian-Pacific partners (AP4), are currently tagged as "partners across the globe" by NATO.

The alliance will formulate an Individually Tailored Partnership Program (ITPP) with all four -- an upgrade to a higher form of partnership. Image
3/ NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg has proposed opening a NATO liaison office in Tokyo next year, but the idea has faced opposition from France, which fears it sends the wrong message to China, and that it may also raise concerns among members of ASEAN. Image
Read 4 tweets

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