Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jan 10 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
This:

>>Casualties are high on both sides

...argues that we are looking at a Regime Security Forces corruption-based THUG SHORTAGE.

In 2022 the IRGC & Basij had fire superiority & numbers to control situations when lethal force was used.

Now they are taking significant casualties.

1/
Where are the IRGC heavy weapons?

Where are the IRGC technicals with heavy machine guns to mow down crowds of protestors?

We should be seeing thousands of protestors shot, given the mobs seen on Tehran streets.

We are hearing numbers like ~217 in six Tehran hospitals.

2/ Image
Image
Just look how dense that protestor crowd is.

Just imagine the horror that one 12.7mm or 14.5 mm heavy machine gun technical could do to this crowd, given a willing IRGC crew.

3/
But we are seeing that Iran's government _ISN'T_ relying upon the Basij.

Because the Basij manpower has been hollowed out via hyperinflation driven GHOST TROOPS payroll corruption? 🤔

4/
We are also seeing small groups of IRGC - notably without assault rifles - sneaking up to crowds and chucking grenades at them and scampering away.

Small numbers w/o AK's in the middle of a mass civic uprising???

5/
Additionally, the IRGC senior commanders are screaming to the world that they have a lack of manpower to go with the lack of heavy weapons.

6/
Iranian police communications are complaining of no Regime Security Forces back up.

7/
Over and over again we are seeing videos of small groups of Iranian Regime Security Forces lacking both heavy crew-served automatic weapons and AK's getting overwhelmed by protestor mobs with their small arms falling to the uprising.

8/
Even important to the Mullah family income mosques are being burned down in Tehran when a few IRGC crewed technicals with 12.7 HMG's could have secured them given a willingness to mow down crowds of protestors like the Chinese did at Tiananmen square

9/
Image
Image
We are seeing other signs of Iranian corruption-collapse - a Mullah evacuation air bridge to Russia.

Likely this is the$95B US dollars' worth of embezzled assets held by the Ayatollah, his family, and entourage. Maybe other assets.

10/
united24media.com/latest-news/ir…
I am beginning to think, given all of the above reports, that the hollowing out of Iran's Mullah state is so extensive that they literally lack the bodies and weapons to defend itself because of the corruption caused by of four years of now 1.4 million rial to the US dollar hyperinflation.

11/11
Image
Image
@threadreaderapp unroll please

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Jan 10
Okay folks, we have to say at this point what is driving the uprising in Iran isn't the strength of the protests.

It is the WEAKNESS OF THE IRANIAN STATE. Basij commander Shoushtari's killing is the neon sign of Mullah-ocracy weakness. It had to be an inside job, reasons.

This means we need to talk about Russia's LAST PLANE OUT OF TEHRAN. 🧵
1/Image
Just as US military evacuations of Saigon and Kabul required securing the embassy & airport for evacuation.

Perhaps as soon as 48 hours from now, the Russian VDV will have to secure the Tehran airport to evacuate not only Iranian Mullah gold, but lots of Russian intel & technical experts.
2/Image
The Fall of Kabul made clear you not only need marines for ground security.

You also needed a USAF operation/maintenance squadron (-) for loading, refueling and operating air traffic control as you can't count on the locals to run the airport as the security situation collapses.
3/Image
Image
Image
Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 8
A lot of people have been spouting off that the failure of Air Defense in Venezuela means Chinese air defense is 💩.

Just...no. S-300's arrived in the Fall of 2025.

That isn't enough time to train competent operators, be they Cuban, Venezuelan, Russian or Chinese.
1/
Job training for a PATRIOT fire control enhanced operator requires 10 weeks of Basic Combat Training and 20 weeks of Advanced Individual Training with on-the-job instruction.

Russian S-300 are far worse than Patriot in terms of human interface & "plug and play" maintenance.
2/ Image
Image
Image
They were literally designed to be operated by drafted Ukrainian university educated STEM students.

The Maduro regime didn't trust anyone from the Venezuelan middle class to operate the oil industry, let alone Russian and Chinese air defense equipment.

3/ Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 6
P.M. Frederiksen of Denmark has a selective memory.

I remember Greece and Turkey fighting over Cyprus not destroying NATO.

Like Cyprus, non-Danish NATO members w/o nukes simply won't go to war with the USA over Greenland...

...nor will nuclear armed NATO states.

1/3
This @vtchakarova suggestion would be the best possible outcome for Denmark. **

** This assumes Denmark's political elites have the wit to go there.



2/3
If P.M. Frederiksen of Denmark thinks NATO will save Greenland for Denmark.

Then Greenland as the USA's "Northern Cyprus issue" with Denmark inside of NATO is the most likely Thucydides-Esque power politics outcome.

3/3 Image
Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Jan 5
We need to talk about this report by General Davila of non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse or high-powered microwave weapons being used on Venezuelan air defenses.

1/
x.com/GeneralDavila/… x.com/TrentTelenko/s…Image
Air Power Australia has a very good article titled:

The Electromagnetic Bomb
- a Weapon of Electrical Mass Destruction

...on these "E-Bombs" with some US bomb form factor figures (below).

2/ Image
Image
Image
E-bombs are built around a technology called "Explosively Pumped Flux Compression Generators" (FCG) which explosively crush electrically charged coils to generate huge pulses of electromagnetic energy rivaling nuclear EMP at close ranges.

3/ Image
Image
Read 11 tweets
Jan 3
Pres. Trump Buys Venezuela from Maduro's friends from under the noses of China, Iran, Russia and the MSM.

Cuba, Canada, and Congressional war powers most affected.

1/
See this for Canada's broken geo-political position.



2/
Read 10 tweets
Jan 3
Watching the Trump haters and Maga isolationists heads collectively explode like the final scene from the Kingsman has been a hoot.

Short form:

Trump bought the Maduro snatch with a traditional 19th century US imperialist "Gold or lead" offer.

1/
IOW, "Take the US bribe or die."

The Trump "bribe a regime change" plan has been going on for months.

The lack of leaks for the plan happened in part because the Pentagon put in place the non-disclosure rules...

2/
pbs.org/newshour/polit…
...that cause the Pentagon reporter walk out in October 2025.

The other reason for no leaks for this operation is Pres. Trump didn't tell either on the Armed Services or Intelligence committees about the mass bribery until after the snatch was in progress.

3/
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(