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Jan 11 14 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Russian pro-Kremlin blogger Alexei Chadayev concedes that Ukrainian tactics are starting to prevail over Russian infantry assaults.

“The enemy is increasingly mastering the ‘playing second fiddle’ strategy - a situation where Russian forces are constantly advancing …
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“…almost everywhere, and their task is to make our offensive as difficult, bloody, and resource-intensive as possible. And this is not just about the ‘drone line’ anymore.
2/
“For example, we are now seeing tactical techniques like this: their artillery is positioned deep in their battle lines, beyond the reach of our main drones, and they keep their own forward positions and key objects on it well-fortified with well-positioned fire.
3/
“Accordingly, as soon as our forces start moving, they knock out an enemy stronghold with drones and go to capture it. The enemy then waits for our forces to enter and eliminates them along with the incoming troops.
4/
“Their drone operators, in turn, not only habitually scavenge on supply and reinforcement routes, but also catch our forces engaged in any activity near ‘formerly ours’ objects.
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“Add to this constant mining, including remote detonation, and the active use of ‘ambushers’ on the few (and well-monitored) logistical lines.
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“If our forces try to quickly deploy a second echelon - for example, drone operators - the enemy immediately launches a local tactical ‘offensive’ and, even at the cost of losing equipment and personnel, achieves its goal: …
7/
“…preserving the ‘kill zone’ between our forward positions and the nearest rear areas. In Kupiansk, for example, they successfully applied this tactic several times - which led to the current situation there.
8/
“Since this situation repeats itself not once or twice, our forces, at all levels, are increasingly less willing to advance at all, and they can be easily understood - it's an inevitable trade-off of kilometers covered for lives, and very valuable lives of soldiers: …
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“…those who actually know and are able to act in this very kill zone (the untrained ones will simply die without any result). Therefore, the problem of ‘map coloring’ is not just about headquarters' lies.
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“It's also about the difficult moral choice that commanders make: if I really go all out in an unprepared offensive now, I'll lose many people, but if I just send a few teams forward to plant flags and report on the drone footage about the physical presence at the necessary…
11/
“…positions - I'll save lives and equipment.

However, as a result, this leads to situations where it's impossible to request strikes on already ‘colored’ (i.e., ‘our own’ on the headquarters' maps) positions - …
12/
“…neither by artillery, nor by the Aerospace Forces, nor even by drones. Everything there is already ours! And as a result, we still have to pay with lives.”
13/13

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More from @GrandpaRoy2

May 20
Serhii “Flash” clarifies new Russian tactics that combine “Geran-2” attacks on Ukrainian air defense units while another UAV simultaneously strikes the main target.
First, a “Gerbera” reconnaissance UAV studies the air defenses to determine their movements and locations.
1/
Then, a double strike is applied—one Geran-2 strikes and distracts the ground-based air defenses, while another attacks the target.
“Flash” advises using camouflage, changing to backup positions, and closely monitoring reconnaissance UAV flights.
2/
While the crew is engaged in targeting, the radar must be monitored closely for other UAVs nearby.
It is important not to fire too early or ineffectively, as this can prematurely reveal the defensive position.
3/ Image
Read 4 tweets
May 20
Russian blogger “Philologist in Ambush” (Svyatoslav Golikov) warns Ukraine is no longer just flooding the front with drones.
It is building an adaptive, networked strike system that is increasingly outpacing Russian EW and logistics defenses.
1/

[Ukrainian “Hornet” UAV strike]
“At the root of the sharply increased activity of Ukrainian UAVs, I see a progressive increase in the volume of deliveries of small strike drones to the troops.
2/
“However, the issue is not just about the increase in activity itself, but also about the effectiveness of this increased activity. For example, you can dramatically intensify offensive actions, but not achieve any significant progress and at the same time suffer heavy losses.
3/
Read 15 tweets
May 19
Russian blogger Alexei Rogozin warns that the American company Palantir has provided Ukraine with AI tools that process vast amounts of data to integrate with and leverage long-range UAV strike capabilities.
1/

[Tuapse oil terminal burns]
“Ukraine's long-range strikes on Russian targets cannot be viewed solely as a problem of air defense. An unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) or missile is just the final link in the chain.
2/
“The main work begins earlier: reconnaissance, accumulation of digital traces, analysis of satellite and aerial photos, comparison of open and closed data, assessment of the vulnerability of objects, and review of the results of previous strikes.
3/
Read 17 tweets
May 10
The Russians have developed a new radio reconnaissance system called the “Meshtastic-Sniffer” for detecting and analyzing Ukrainian Meshtastic/LoRa mesh networks.
Using multiple synchronized receivers, it can geolocate transmitting nodes via TDOA (Time Difference of Arrival).
1/ Image
It is important to note that mesh networks and Meshtastic are different.
A mesh network is a general communications architecture in which devices relay data to one another without a central base station.
Meshtastic is one specific implementation that uses LoRa radio modules.
2/ Image
The “Meshtastic-Sniffer” can exploit the security risks of poorly configured Meshtastic networks.
It passively listens to radio traffic, intercepts packets, analyzes network activity, and attempts to decrypt messages using default or weak keys.
3/
Read 7 tweets
May 9
The sorry state of Russian surface warship construction is exemplified by the long-delayed commissioning of the small 800-ton missile ship Burya.
Laid down in December 2016 and launched in October 2018, it then sat idle for years awaiting its diesel engines.
1/ Image
Even then, sea trials dragged on for another three-and-a-half years due to chronic engine problems.
Originally, German high-speed diesel engines had been intended, but sanctions imposed after the 2014 annexation of Crimea cut off supplies.
2/
Russia shifted to domestic “import substitution,” but the Zvezda factory in St. Petersburg has lacked the capacity, facilities, and supply chain to keep up with demand.
When engines have finally been delivered, they have been plagued by breakdowns and warranty disputes.
3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
May 5
Ukrainian EW and radio expert Serhii “Flash” Beskrestnov was an early supporter of the importance of UGVs.
Here are excerpts from an interesting interview with him by ArmyInform.com.ua
1/ x.com/grandparoy2/st…Image
“If we’re touching on the topic of robots, including UGVs, it should be understood that someone has to control these robots, operate them, support them, and repair them. So humans are indispensable here.
2/
“But we are trying to make sure that the robots themselves take the first hit and work where it is most dangerous. Thanks to this, people will be able to stay further back — ‘pulled back’ — and, accordingly, in much greater safety.
3/
Read 11 tweets

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