🧵The announcement by Canadian PM @MarkJCarney of a reset in Canada-China ties accompanied by a trade deal of dramatic proportions will likely go down in history as a major political blunder. But don't listen to me: Premier Doug Ford of Ontario already denounced the deal. 1/9
Anger, however justified, should never be the principal driver of policy. This is true both about our Canadian brethren, and true about our European allies. We are living through a rocky transformation of the international system, but the geopolitical realities remain. 2/9
It is at times like this that we need cooler heads to prevail, and when we need leaders who can focus on the foundational principles of what constitutes our civilization. It defies reason that Canada would invite an Asian communist state to set up shop in North America. 3/9
Canada is culturally a close relative of the United States (we joke that "Canadians are Americans with health insurance."). Canada is vital to US security. Our common border is not much more than a line on the map-we've been always close and connected. These are the realties. 4/9
Economic or cultural issues aside, the United States is critical to the security and defense of Canada. Let's not forget that while Canada's population is only around 42 million, it is the world's second-largest country by total area covering approx.3.85 million square miles.5/9
Canada spans nearly half of the North American continent, with the world's longest coastline and six time zones. In a nutshell, Canada needs a strong alliance with United States to ensure national security, and conversely, America needs Canada to secure its neighborhood. 6/9
Alliances are built based on common threats and common interests, with shared values reinforcing if not driving their formation. The US-Canada alliance ticks off all three. So, riddle me this: Why would Canada endanger this alliance by inviting China into our neighborhood? 7/9
Again, anger-justified or not-should never define foundational policy choices. As I always repeat when I speak in Europe: Europeans do not have a relationship with this or that US President, this or that party; they have a vital security relationship with the United States. 8/9
I would say exactly the same thing to our Canadian friends. Let's reflect on how we got to this place and course correct. And I would add that statecraft is never easy, and that we need leaders who can rise up to the challenge because the future of the West is at stake. 9/End
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🧵I've spent my entire professional career dedicated to strengthening transatlantic relations for America has always been "Albion's seed," with its institutions and culture steeped in the British settler culture of the 18th century. That why we used to understand each other. 1/10
Today Europe and America understand each other less and less. I visit Europe multiple times each year, and I can almost feel our "common language" disappear. My European friends tell me it's all because of Trump, but it wasn't that much different during the Biden years. 2/10
Let me take a crack at this: It's not just that the world has changed. More importantly-we have changed, on both sides of the Atlantic. Europe today is not what it was a generation ago, nor is America. After the Cold War ended, something profound also changed within us all. 3/10
🧵This won't be my typical post; rather, a reflection after the Christmas season that allowed me to slow down a bit. BLUF: We need a return to analog culture. We need to reclaim reading physical journals and books. We need to return to in-person contact and conversations. 1/6
The internet generates alienation and ultimately loneliness. As human beings we were never meant to live our lives online. The world can't be reduced to a phone screen, and even if so, it shouldn't be. We need to reclaim tangible living where real human complexity resides. 2/5
No computer screen can substitute for the weight of a book in your hand, no zoom call can substitute for the timbre of someone's voice, or genuine eye contact, or a handshake. No AI algorithm can replicate the act of learning that takes time, reflection and making mistakes. 3/6
🧵Over Christmas I had an opportunity to catch up with friends across Europe, and those conversations convinced me even more that unless there is a fundamental rethinking inside the European Union, the continent will slide into geopolitical irrelevance-and we'll all lose. 1/13
It is time EU elites stop talking about "Europe" and the EU as interchangeable concepts. There can be no such thing as a "federalized Europe," as there is no European nation. Indeed, you can construct a centralized mega-state, but it would be a democratic polity in name only.2/13
The EU can be centralized assuming the new Union Treaty abolishes the veto, shifts to majority voting and also pushes through the notion that EU directives (AKA the "EU law") supersede national constitutions. But if this happens smaller states will lose their sovereignty. 3/13
🧵I don't get rattled often, but today I've had enough when I watched online two credentialled American apologists for #Russia's imperialism repeating yet again that we caused the war in Ukraine because we declared in 2008 that we would consider bringing Ukraine into @NATO. 1/10
I ask this: What planet do these people live on to argue with a straight face that a nation brutally attacked by its neighbor, and fighting for its very survival must explain itself to them and convince them that it has the right to live free? Are they simply this callous? 2/10
Would they be just as self-righteous if the discussion was about our country? Would they then claim that as Americans we have no right to make sovereign choices because a great power "out there" disagrees? By this logic the 13 American colonies should have never rebelled. 3/10
🧵About to get on the plane to fly back home. A few thoughts after visiting @KUL_Lublin and my series of meetings in Warsaw. First, #Poland has undergone a remarkable transformation over the post-Cold War decades. What was once a smoldering ruin, is now w thriving economy. 1/5
#Poland’s remarkable transformation is a tribute to its people, with a new generation-untainted by communism-coming into its own and now ready (I hope) to take the helm. In my conversations I sensed patriotism, aspirations and tenacity young Poles display in spades. But…2/5
Central Europe’s security is devolving fast, with Russian imperialism and revisionism rearing its head yet again, causing some say that “history is about to repeat itself.” But those people are wrong, for while geography has remained constant, the region’s dynamic has not. 3/5
🧵I recently visited Europe, and I'm planning to go again to Poland, UK, Lithuania and Finland. I returned from my recent visit to Poland with mixed feelings, encouraged by the commitment to collective defense, but concerned by the apparent chaos in various policy debates. 1/11
Since the end of the Cold War, Poland has achieved a remarkable economic success, with a new generation- untainted by communism-coming into its own. The country is a model. But what is missing in various publicized policy debates are the fundamentals geopolitics and power. 2/11
"Man and not nature initiates, but nature in large measure controls." This classic dictum should be the starting point of debate for countries on @NATO's flank, whether Poland, Finland or others, for geography at the point of contact between Europe and Russia is unyielding. 3/11