John Bolton: The damage that Trump is doing to America's reputation is just impossible to state.
This is so extraordinary to threaten the invasion of a NATO ally, to seize territory from a democracy. The impact in Europe, you cannot calculate how bad this is for us. 1/
Bolton: There is nothing that we need in terms of security in Greenland that's not amply provided in a 1951 treaty with Denmark called the Defense of Greenland Treaty.
I think diplomats between the two countries and with other NATO allies could resolve this very quickly. 2/
Bolton: Russia and China are a threat in the Arctic — we’ve known that for decades. The U.S. has been just as lax as other NATO allies in responding.
But we’ll do whatever it takes to defend our interests in Greenland, Northern Canada and Alaska — that’s why alliances exist. 3/
Bolton: It’s not about defending Greenland. Trump said Russian and Chinese ships are all over it — they are not.
The threat comes from the melting polar ice cap. We need surveillance, not U.S. military force. 4/
Bolton: If you want to rip up NATO and show allies like Japan, South Korea, and Australia we can’t be trusted — use force against Denmark in Greenland.
Threaten friends with tariffs. It’s so counterproductive it’ll take years to repair the damage Trump is doing. 5/
Bolton: Consider what it means for the United States to invade an ally like Denmark. Is Canada next, Great Britain, Spain?
For 250 years Denmark’s been one of America’s closest friends, yet Trump thinks that the only way to deal with them is to threaten military force. 6/
Bolton: People say that's just the way Trump is. That's not the right answer. He's the president of the United States.
People take what he says seriously. They think that the risk of military force is real. I don't think it is, but other people could be forgiven if they do. 7/
Bolton: Trump said the other day, we need Greenland psychologically. The United States does not need Greenland psychologically.
Trump does. This is not about American national security. This is about Donald Trump alone. 8X
Thank you for reading this post!
Please also consider donating to support Ukrainian students who study during the war if this cause resonates with you.
NATO is on the edge. America may walk out.
Trump called allies “cowards”.
Rubio — who co-wrote the 2023 law blocking unilateral NATO exit — now calls the alliance “a one-way street” and demands a full re-examination after the Iran war, writes The Economist. 1/
Spain shut its bases and airspace to US forces attacking Iran. Italy blocked American planes from a Sicilian base. France barred US military aircraft from its airspace entirely. Britain allowed base access only to protect neighboring countries — not to fight. 2/
Trump is “absolutely” considering leaving NATO.
Daalder, former US Ambassador to NATO: “This is the worst moment NATO has faced.”
Rather than convince Trump to stay, he says, Europe must focus on building its own military capacity. 3/
Zelenskyy: We proposed to Russia a ceasefire for Easter. But for them all times are the same.
There is nothing sacred to them. If Russia can afford this war and finance it, it will not move toward peace on its own. That is why pressure on the aggressor cannot drop. 1/
Zelenskyy: Our long-range sanctions are working. They are cutting Russian revenues, above all oil revenues.
Only serious financial losses force Russia to think about an exit from the war. Everything Russia earns from shock oil prices, it will pour back into war. 2/
Zelenskyy: If Russia is ready to stop strikes on our energy system, we are ready to respond in kind.
That proposal has already been passed to the Russian side through the Americans. Security guarantees are the key to ending the war, to peace, and to trust in the process. 3/
Trump spent his first year back in office imposing tariffs on Europe, threatening to withdraw US troops, and flirting with NATO exit. Europe wants to reduce its dependence on Washington.
But the US accounts for over 20% of European exports — Jacob Kirkegaard, Foreign Affairs. 1/
Two-thirds of Europe's cloud market runs on Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Three quarters of European firms run on US software.
Visa and Mastercard handle roughly two-thirds of card transactions in the euro area. 2/
US LNG imports quadrupled between 2022 and 2025 to replace Russian gas.
The EU has committed to ending all Russian gas imports by 2027. If Iran's strikes on Qatar's LNG facilities cause lasting damage, most of Europe's LNG will need to come from the US. 3/
DW: Ukrainians bring a lot of expertise in UK. They are showing the British how they operate drones.
"Our partners have a certain understanding of drones, but they have not encountered them. They don't fully understand how drones affect the battlefield, how intense it is.” 1/
Ukrainian serviceman: A Ukrainian warrior is an intellectual warrior. He knows why he's going to the front. He knows what he has to do at the front. This is in contrast to the Russian soldier who doesn't know why he's there, who gets sent there by Putin. 2/
DW: Ukraine is a role model for the British. The Irish Guards spent a year training with Ukrainian soldiers.
“What you've seen today is the result of that advice and experience, from small uncrewed aerial systems to drone nets and dropper drones.” 3X
Orbán has vetoed more EU decisions than any leader in the bloc's history.
On April 12, Hungarians vote in what may end his 16-year grip on power — AP News. 1/
"He entered a club, read the rules, figured out how he can rig the rules, and then started to blackmail all of the other club members" — Dániel Hegedűs, Institute for European Politics. 2/
From 2014 to 2022, Hungary was one of the biggest beneficiaries of EU funds. Orbán took the money and used his veto to block Ukraine aid, stall Moscow sanctions, and extract concessions. 3/
Syrskyi: Russia gets about $700M a day from oil, and that money finances the war.
Our strikes on refineries, Ust-Luga, Primorsk, and missile plants are strategic actions. They cut export capacity, hit military production, and reduce the aggressor’s offensive potential. 1/
Syrskyi: There is no instant straight line from a strike on Ust-Luga to a trench in the east.
But the effect builds over time: fuel delays, disrupted deliveries, tanks that do not arrive, missiles that do not fly, and a smaller stockpile for Russia’s war machine. 2/
Syrskyi: Russia planned to make 404 Shaheds a day in 2025 and wanted 1,000 a day in 2026. Those plans are unrealistic.
The strikes also squeeze budgets, delay payments, and fuel discontent inside Russia and among its troops. 3/