Honza Černý Profile picture
Jan 28 14 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🧵 THREAD: China just pulled the emergency brake on silver leverage. Here’s why stackers should smile. 🪙🔥 Image
1/
China just announced a MAJOR margin hike on precious metals futures.

Starting Jan 29, 2026, margin on silver (Ag T+D) jumps from 44% → 60%.

That’s not a tweak.
That’s a warning shot.
2/
When exchanges raise margin this aggressively, it means only one thing:

👉 Volatility is coming
👉 Risk is rising
👉 Leverage is being punished

Paper traders are about to feel it.
3/
Higher margin = less leverage.
Less leverage = forced liquidations.
Forced liquidations = weak hands flushed out.

This is how exchanges clean the casino before the real move.
4/
Official excuse?

“Market volatility”
“Investor protection”

Real reason?

👉 The market is too tight
👉 Physical supply is stressed
👉 They don’t want defaults
5/
Notice something important:

This does NOT affect physical silver holders.

No margin calls.
No forced selling.
No liquidation risk.

Only paper players bleed here.
6/
This is the difference between:
📄 Paper promises
vs
🪙 Metal in hand

One needs permission to exist.
The other doesn’t.
7/
China doesn’t raise margins when markets are calm.

They do it when pressure is building and control matters.

And they even warned:
👉 Further margin increases may follow.
Translation: buckle up.
8/
Every margin hike widens the crack between paper and physical.

Every rule change confirms the same truth:

Silver isn’t volatile —
👉 the system around it is.
9/
Stackers don’t panic on margin hikes.
We don’t use leverage.
We don’t chase charts.

We accumulate reality.
10/
If you hold physical silver:

Relax.

If you trade paper silver:

Pray.

Same metal.
Very different outcomes.
11/
This isn’t bearish.
This isn’t neutral.
This is structurally bullish for physical silver.
The tighter the rules, the closer we are.
12/
Stack quietly.
Hold patiently.
Let the paper system eat itself.

🪙 Silver doesn’t need leverage. It needs ownership.

#Silver #SilverStackers #PhysicalSilver #PaperVsPhysical #China #Ag #Commodities #Stackers
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More from @honzacern1

Feb 14
Thread 🧵: Global Asset Registry — And Why Physical Silver Matters Image
1/
At the IMF & World Bank Annual Meeting (Oct 2025), Erica Payne, president of Patriotic Millionaires, proposed a Global Asset Registry.
The goal?
Track who owns what. Everywhere. 🌍

Let’s unpack this.
2/
Her three proposals:
• A global registry of assets (who owns what, how much, and where it came from)
• A global debate on what is “enough” wealth
• Stronger taxation that actively reduces extreme wealth

This isn’t fringe. It’s gaining traction in elite policy circles.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 12
COMEX Is Bleeding Silver.

🧵 1/

While everyone watches the price…
COMEX silver is quietly bleeding.

And almost nobody is talking about it. 🩸🥈

Let’s look at what just happened.Image
2/

📉 TOTAL REGISTERED SILVER:

Was: 101,394,888 oz
Now: 98,138,005 oz

💥 −3,256,882 oz
In. One. Day.
Registered = metal ready for delivery.

That’s the ammo pile shrinking.
3/

📉 TOTAL COMBINED STOCKS:

Was: 386,273,024 oz
Now: 381,568,803 oz

💣 −4,704,221 oz gone.
Not a paper move.
Not a spreadsheet trick.

Physical silver leaving the system.
Read 13 tweets
Feb 9
CHINA CURBS U.S. TREASURIES — AND THE SILVER SIGNAL NOBODY WANTS TO SEE 🧵Image
1/
China is quietly telling its banks to limit exposure to U.S. Treasuries.

Official reason? “Concentration risk & volatility.”
Real reason? They don’t trust the exit.
2/
Treasuries are no longer “risk-free.”
They’re policy tools, weaponized by deficits, geopolitics, and refinancing stress.

China sees what’s coming — too much debt, too little real demand.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 8
1/9

🚨 STACKERS, WAKE UP.

This is the moment we’ve been watching for years.
The silver paper house of cards is starting to crack.
February 2026 set the stage — March could be HISTORIC.Image
2/9

📦 February 2026 deliveries: INSANE.
In just the first few days:

➡️ ~19 MILLION ounces taken physically.

That’s nearly ALL of last February’s deliveries — in under a week.

Even more telling: ~98% of open interest stood for delivery.

Buyers don’t want paper. They want REAL METAL.
3/9

📊 Now look at March 2026:

• Open Interest: ~80,500 contracts
• That’s OVER 400 MILLION ounces demanded
• COMEX registered (deliverable) silver: ~103 MILLION ounces

Do the math.
If even 25–30% stands for delivery like we’re seeing now…

👉 THERE ISN’T ENOUGH SILVER.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 7
🧵 THREAD:

This Executive Order isn’t about weapons.

It’s about physical scarcity. 🪙Image
1/

The America First Arms Transfer Strategy isn’t a foreign-policy memo.

It’s an industrial command.

The key phrase isn’t “arms.”
It’s production capacity.

And capacity runs on physical inputs, not paper.
2/
The order explicitly says the U.S. will use foreign money to expand domestic production.

That means:

– new factories
– new lines
– new inventories

You can’t finance that with ETFs.
You need metal.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 7
PHYSICAL SILVER CRISIS — WHAT’S REALLY HAPPENING 🧵Image
1️⃣

Physical silver is breaking away from paper markets.
Since early 2026, demand exploded while supply chains simply can’t keep up.
2️⃣

Major European wholesalers and dealers admit they’re overwhelmed.

Daily orders often exceed what they can process — even at higher prices.
Read 12 tweets

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