Honza Černý Profile picture
Jan 28 14 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🧵 THREAD: China just pulled the emergency brake on silver leverage. Here’s why stackers should smile. 🪙🔥 Image
1/
China just announced a MAJOR margin hike on precious metals futures.

Starting Jan 29, 2026, margin on silver (Ag T+D) jumps from 44% → 60%.

That’s not a tweak.
That’s a warning shot.
2/
When exchanges raise margin this aggressively, it means only one thing:

👉 Volatility is coming
👉 Risk is rising
👉 Leverage is being punished

Paper traders are about to feel it.
3/
Higher margin = less leverage.
Less leverage = forced liquidations.
Forced liquidations = weak hands flushed out.

This is how exchanges clean the casino before the real move.
4/
Official excuse?

“Market volatility”
“Investor protection”

Real reason?

👉 The market is too tight
👉 Physical supply is stressed
👉 They don’t want defaults
5/
Notice something important:

This does NOT affect physical silver holders.

No margin calls.
No forced selling.
No liquidation risk.

Only paper players bleed here.
6/
This is the difference between:
📄 Paper promises
vs
🪙 Metal in hand

One needs permission to exist.
The other doesn’t.
7/
China doesn’t raise margins when markets are calm.

They do it when pressure is building and control matters.

And they even warned:
👉 Further margin increases may follow.
Translation: buckle up.
8/
Every margin hike widens the crack between paper and physical.

Every rule change confirms the same truth:

Silver isn’t volatile —
👉 the system around it is.
9/
Stackers don’t panic on margin hikes.
We don’t use leverage.
We don’t chase charts.

We accumulate reality.
10/
If you hold physical silver:

Relax.

If you trade paper silver:

Pray.

Same metal.
Very different outcomes.
11/
This isn’t bearish.
This isn’t neutral.
This is structurally bullish for physical silver.
The tighter the rules, the closer we are.
12/
Stack quietly.
Hold patiently.
Let the paper system eat itself.

🪙 Silver doesn’t need leverage. It needs ownership.

#Silver #SilverStackers #PhysicalSilver #PaperVsPhysical #China #Ag #Commodities #Stackers
@threadreaderapp unroll

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Honza Černý

Honza Černý Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @honzacern1

Feb 7
🧵 THREAD:

This Executive Order isn’t about weapons.

It’s about physical scarcity. 🪙Image
1/

The America First Arms Transfer Strategy isn’t a foreign-policy memo.

It’s an industrial command.

The key phrase isn’t “arms.”
It’s production capacity.

And capacity runs on physical inputs, not paper.
2/
The order explicitly says the U.S. will use foreign money to expand domestic production.

That means:

– new factories
– new lines
– new inventories

You can’t finance that with ETFs.
You need metal.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 7
PHYSICAL SILVER CRISIS — WHAT’S REALLY HAPPENING 🧵Image
1️⃣

Physical silver is breaking away from paper markets.
Since early 2026, demand exploded while supply chains simply can’t keep up.
2️⃣

Major European wholesalers and dealers admit they’re overwhelmed.

Daily orders often exceed what they can process — even at higher prices.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 6
🧵 THREAD: Is this really the bottom in silver? Let’s break it down.
1/
Calls for a “silver bottom” are getting louder.

Leverage washed out. Margins raised. Asia volatile.
On paper, that looks constructive.
But paper ≠ physical.
2/
Yes, leveraged longs were flushed.
Yes, positioning has weakened.
Yes, ETF outflows suggest speculative fatigue.

That clears traders.
It does not create metal.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 5
🧵 SILVER REALITY CHECKImage
1️⃣
Paper smackdowns are loud.
Physical demand is quiet.

But guess which one decides the endgame.

February COMEX silver just printed massive early deliveries.

That’s not noise. That’s intent.
2️⃣
As of early February:

➡️ 3,500+ delivery notices
➡️ ~18 million ounces of silver tied to delivery
➡️ Over 550 tonnes moving through the delivery mechanism

February is not a major delivery month.
Yet here we are.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 4
🧵 THREAD: The winners are already decidedImage
1/
The U.S. is hosting 50+ countries to talk about loosening China’s grip on critical minerals.

Translation:
👉 the system already lost control.
When governments meet about supply chains, the shortage is real.
2/
China doesn’t just mine minerals.

China controls processing, refining, and delivery timing.

That’s the choke point.

And no amount of speeches can rebuild that overnight.

Years, not months.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 1
🧵 THREAD: This drop was not “price discovery.”
It was a test of your resolve and intellect.

What we just witnessed in silver was not a market accident.

It was a message.
And it was meant for March delivery holders. 👇Image
1⃣

📉 They smashed the paper price. Hard.
Right before delivery pressure builds.

Classic move.

The goal was simple:

👉 scare longs
👉 force rollovers
👉 delay physical stress

Not to “find a fair price.”
To buy time.Image
2⃣

📊 But here’s the part they didn’t like:

After a violent paper dump, March Open Interest dropped only ~6,100 contracts.

That’s it.

No mass capitulation.
No panic exodus.
No collapse.

Just… resistance.Image
Read 12 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(