Honza Černý Profile picture
Jan 30 14 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🧵 Paper is panicking. Physical is disappearing. 🧵 Image
1/ A lot of old & silver miner stocks just hit limit down. That’s not a signal of weak metal. That’s a signal of forced selling and paper stress.
2/
Here’s the part that actually matters 👇

Major Chinese banks report that available gold bar vaults have been reset to ZERO.

Zero.
Not “low.”
Not “tight.”
Zero.
3/
Withdrawals are no longer instant.

A one-month advance booking is now required —
with no guarantee of delivery time.

That’s not normal market behavior.
That’s rationing.
4/
If gold were plentiful…
If supply were abundant…
If inventories were “fine”…

You wouldn’t need to wait a month
and still be told “maybe.”
5/
This is the split they don’t want you to see:

📉 Paper assets selling off
📉 Miner stocks crashing
📈 Physical metal becoming unavailable

Same market.
Two completely different realities.
6/
When banks restrict withdrawals, it’s not because metal is worthless.

It’s because metal suddenly matters more than money.

Screens can show any price.
Vaults can only show what’s actually there.
7/
Paper holders panic first.
Physical holders wait calmly.

Why?
Because you can’t margin-call a coin in your hand.
8/
Stacking physical metal isn’t about timing tops or bottoms.

It’s about owning something that doesn’t need permission to exist.
9/
Every time delivery gets delayed…
Every time vaults go “temporarily unavailable”…
Every time paper sells while metal vanishes…

Your thesis gets stronger.
10/
This is why stackers don’t chase noise.
We watch flows.
We watch availability.
We watch who’s locking the vault doors.
11/
Paper can be printed.
Contracts can be rolled.
Excuses can be made.

Physical metal?
It either exists — or it doesn’t.
12/
Stay patient.
Stay disciplined.
Keep stacking real metal.

Because when access disappears,
price is just the last thing to catch up.
#Silver #Gold #PhysicalMetal #Stackers #SoundMoney #RealAssets
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More from @honzacern1

Feb 9
CHINA CURBS U.S. TREASURIES — AND THE SILVER SIGNAL NOBODY WANTS TO SEE 🧵Image
1/
China is quietly telling its banks to limit exposure to U.S. Treasuries.

Official reason? “Concentration risk & volatility.”
Real reason? They don’t trust the exit.
2/
Treasuries are no longer “risk-free.”
They’re policy tools, weaponized by deficits, geopolitics, and refinancing stress.

China sees what’s coming — too much debt, too little real demand.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 8
1/9

🚨 STACKERS, WAKE UP.

This is the moment we’ve been watching for years.
The silver paper house of cards is starting to crack.
February 2026 set the stage — March could be HISTORIC.Image
2/9

📦 February 2026 deliveries: INSANE.
In just the first few days:

➡️ ~19 MILLION ounces taken physically.

That’s nearly ALL of last February’s deliveries — in under a week.

Even more telling: ~98% of open interest stood for delivery.

Buyers don’t want paper. They want REAL METAL.
3/9

📊 Now look at March 2026:

• Open Interest: ~80,500 contracts
• That’s OVER 400 MILLION ounces demanded
• COMEX registered (deliverable) silver: ~103 MILLION ounces

Do the math.
If even 25–30% stands for delivery like we’re seeing now…

👉 THERE ISN’T ENOUGH SILVER.
Read 10 tweets
Feb 7
🧵 THREAD:

This Executive Order isn’t about weapons.

It’s about physical scarcity. 🪙Image
1/

The America First Arms Transfer Strategy isn’t a foreign-policy memo.

It’s an industrial command.

The key phrase isn’t “arms.”
It’s production capacity.

And capacity runs on physical inputs, not paper.
2/
The order explicitly says the U.S. will use foreign money to expand domestic production.

That means:

– new factories
– new lines
– new inventories

You can’t finance that with ETFs.
You need metal.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 7
PHYSICAL SILVER CRISIS — WHAT’S REALLY HAPPENING 🧵Image
1️⃣

Physical silver is breaking away from paper markets.
Since early 2026, demand exploded while supply chains simply can’t keep up.
2️⃣

Major European wholesalers and dealers admit they’re overwhelmed.

Daily orders often exceed what they can process — even at higher prices.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 6
🧵 THREAD: Is this really the bottom in silver? Let’s break it down.
1/
Calls for a “silver bottom” are getting louder.

Leverage washed out. Margins raised. Asia volatile.
On paper, that looks constructive.
But paper ≠ physical.
2/
Yes, leveraged longs were flushed.
Yes, positioning has weakened.
Yes, ETF outflows suggest speculative fatigue.

That clears traders.
It does not create metal.
Read 14 tweets
Feb 5
🧵 SILVER REALITY CHECKImage
1️⃣
Paper smackdowns are loud.
Physical demand is quiet.

But guess which one decides the endgame.

February COMEX silver just printed massive early deliveries.

That’s not noise. That’s intent.
2️⃣
As of early February:

➡️ 3,500+ delivery notices
➡️ ~18 million ounces of silver tied to delivery
➡️ Over 550 tonnes moving through the delivery mechanism

February is not a major delivery month.
Yet here we are.
Read 12 tweets

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