Realized a MASSIVE hole in Thomas' reasoning that would create a chaotic loophole:
* A child born here to non-US parents could end up Stateless but present in the US.
BUT that's an issue:
-Under INA § 101(a)(42), 8 U.S.C. § 1101(a)(42) an asylum claim regarding being 'stateless' is not enough for asylum to be granted.
2/7
BUT, if they are stateless because they were denied registration of their birth or citizenship in the country they were born because of ethnicity, social group, or nationality, that is a valid asylum case.
The child must be allowed to stay.
3/7
Even prior to that standards on holding of withdrawal (INA § 241(b)(3), 8 U.S.C. § 1231(b)(3).) mean that we cannot remove someone to a country other than:
* Their country of citizenship
* Their country of last entry
The child has neither a country of citizenship or of last entry and cannot be removed - and you cannot detain them if removal is not foreseeable (Zadvydas v. Davis.)
Trump has ERODED the US' global footprint in a way that will likely shape the world for the next century:
-Ending US aide
-Failing to stand up for Ukraine
-Violating sovereignty in Venezuela
-Weak statements on Taiwan
-Folding on Iran
-Having China push Iran to the table
-Ending US development investment in Africa and Latin America
-Trade wars with South East Asia
-Pushing Canada and the EU into deeper trade relations with China
These have all rapidly diminished the US global sphere of influence, to the smallest its EVER been in the modern era.
2/10
The US spent a century building a sphere of influence that was broad and unchallenged.
It triumphed through cultural export that came on the backs of economic development and unwavering defense agreements.
America was a country you could trust, and it's help was of value.
4/10
Under that doctrine, the US had it's peak global influence around the 2000s, especially as this aligned with EU peak influence and the EU was an unwavering US ally against the China-Russia axis.
Some Pakistani sources close to the negotiations think the current Iran trips are part of plan to *TRICK* American negotiators into a bias peace deal.
Aimed at *appearing* to appease the US until AFTER the midterms, and then continuing a hardline agenda.
2/7
* Multiple sources have told me that Iran’s discussion of any potential concessions are oddly fixated on the first 8-12 months.
* One source said they’ve been told that’s because Iran believes after the mid-terms Trump will be a “lame duck” not authorized for aggression
3/7
* The trips to Oman and Russia seem to be focused on having allies implement short term programs, that “take 6-8 months to implement” and have the “appearance of concessions”
* For Oman this would mean a “joint responsibility” in the Strait in a “transition phase”