Honza Černý Profile picture
Jan 31 12 tweets 2 min read Read on X
🧵 THREAD: The Jieworui Lesson — Why Physical Metal MattersImage
Image
1/
China just gave the world a masterclass in what paper gold really means.

The collapse of Jieworui wasn’t a “scam gone wrong”.
It was a structure failing under stress.

And that matters.
2/
Jieworui marketed itself as gold exposure.

What users actually owned was:

• locked prices
• leveraged positions
• delayed delivery promises
• platform credit

Not metal.
Not possession.
Not control.
3/
As gold prices surged, something predictable happened:

People wanted OUT.
People wanted DELIVERY.

And suddenly:

• withdrawals froze
• redemptions stalled
• “gold” existed only on screens

Liquidity vanished the moment reality showed up.
4/
This wasn’t a demand problem.
It was a supply illusion.

If metal were truly there:

• rising prices would be manageable
• delivery would be routine
• trust would hold

Instead, the system broke.

That tells you everything.
5/
Here’s the uncomfortable truth:

When price goes vertical,
paper systems fail first.

Why?

Because they rely on:

• hedging
• leverage
• assumptions that most people won’t ask for delivery
Until they do.
6/
Jieworui didn’t collapse because gold went up.
It collapsed because gold became scarce.

Price exposed the lie.
Delivery exposed the shortage.
7/
This is why physical metal matters — especially in personal ownership.

If you:

• don’t hold it
• can’t access it
• can’t take delivery

Then you don’t own it.
You’re just part of someone else’s balance sheet.
8/
No app update fixes this.
No regulator announcement fixes this.
No “temporary delay” fixes this.

Only one thing does:

👉 Metal in your possession
👉 Or fully allocated, segregated storage under your name

Everything else is conditional.
9/
China didn’t expose a rogue platform.

It exposed a global truth:
When trust breaks, only physical settlement counts.

Paper trades promises.
Physical settles reality.
10/
The Jieworui lesson is simple:

• price can be manipulated
• charts can be managed
• platforms can pause

But physical metal doesn’t default.
Own it. Or accept the risk.
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More from @honzacern1

Feb 1
🧵 THREAD: This drop was not “price discovery.”
It was a test of your resolve and intellect.

What we just witnessed in silver was not a market accident.

It was a message.
And it was meant for March delivery holders. 👇Image
1⃣

📉 They smashed the paper price. Hard.
Right before delivery pressure builds.

Classic move.

The goal was simple:

👉 scare longs
👉 force rollovers
👉 delay physical stress

Not to “find a fair price.”
To buy time.Image
2⃣

📊 But here’s the part they didn’t like:

After a violent paper dump, March Open Interest dropped only ~6,100 contracts.

That’s it.

No mass capitulation.
No panic exodus.
No collapse.

Just… resistance.Image
Read 12 tweets
Jan 30
🧵 THREAD: Critical Minerals, Fake Dips & Why Stackers Aren’t Impressed 🧵Image
1/
Czech FM Petr Macinka is heading to Washington for a Critical Minerals Ministerial on Feb 4.

Supply chains. Security. Strategic metals.

Translation: “We have a problem getting real stuff.”
2/
The conference is hosted by the United States Department of State.

Not Reddit. Not Twitter.

Governments don’t organize ministerial summits over minerals that are “abundant and cheap.”
Read 12 tweets
Jan 30
🧵 SILVER REALITY CHECK FOR STACKERS 🥈

finance.yahoo.com/news/silver-sh…
1/
Silver futures > $117 (yesterday)
+275% YoY.

But price isn’t the story.
Coverage is.

COMEX registered inventory covers just ~14% of outstanding futures.

That’s not a market.
That’s leverage with a thin physical floor.
2/
Registered silver: ~108M oz
Open interest: ~760M oz

If only a fraction stands for delivery,
the system feels stress immediately.

Eligible ≠ deliverable.
Paper ≠ metal.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 30
🧵 Paper is panicking. Physical is disappearing. 🧵 Image
1/ A lot of old & silver miner stocks just hit limit down. That’s not a signal of weak metal. That’s a signal of forced selling and paper stress.
2/
Here’s the part that actually matters 👇

Major Chinese banks report that available gold bar vaults have been reset to ZERO.

Zero.
Not “low.”
Not “tight.”
Zero.
Read 14 tweets
Jan 29
🧵 THREAD: Silver isn’t rising. The system is thinning.Image
1️⃣
Silver at $113 and deliveries are still happening.
Not paper rolls.
Not cash settlement.

Physical delivery.
35 contracts issued.
35 contracts stopped.

175,000 oz taken — at triple-digit prices.

That’s not speculation.
That’s need.
2️⃣
Look at who is involved.
BOFA → issuing metal
Wells Fargo → taking delivery
Morgan Stanley, StoneX, ADM → also stopping

These aren’t Reddit traders.
These are system players moving real metal.

Big money isn’t watching charts.
Big money is securing supply.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 28
🧵 THREAD: China just pulled the emergency brake on silver leverage. Here’s why stackers should smile. 🪙🔥 Image
1/
China just announced a MAJOR margin hike on precious metals futures.

Starting Jan 29, 2026, margin on silver (Ag T+D) jumps from 44% → 60%.

That’s not a tweak.
That’s a warning shot.
2/
When exchanges raise margin this aggressively, it means only one thing:

👉 Volatility is coming
👉 Risk is rising
👉 Leverage is being punished

Paper traders are about to feel it.
Read 14 tweets

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