This is why very little related to existing stablecoins or layer 1s or RWA tokenization is investable, including SOL, ETH and other L1s and L2s. Everyone wants to build their own chain, no one wants to invest in someone else’s chain or even use someone else’s product. There is tremendous interest and growth in stablecoins/payments and RWA tokenization, but none of that growth is accruing value to any of the existing infrastructure. The new players want to own the stack, not use the stack.
BUT — that doesn’t make crypto uninvestable. It just means you’re being steered in the wrong direction by exchanges and indexes and influencers. Stop investing in infrastructure that is either being passed over, or doesn’t benefit at all from usage.
Instead, invest in apps. There are a few applications built on blockchain rails that are successful. And that is where the value accrues. Fat protocol thesis is dead. Fat apps are where the value lies.
This includes (but not limited to)
- prediction markets
- Perp and spot dexes ($HYPE $AERO etc, but value depends on tokenomics)
- token launchpads (ie $PUMP)
- lend / borrow platforms (ie $SYRUP, $AAVE)
- a few DePIN projects (don’t love these but very long term could work).
Crypto isn’t dead. It’s actually a free for all of new entrants with no moat for incumbents and low barriers to entry for new entrants.
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Many have said this crypto “bull market” is harder to invest in than any previous bull market.
The reason this has been a hard bull market is because it’s barely even a good year for crypto, let alone a bull market.
We explain... Thread 👇
More than 75% of tokens in our coverage universe are negative YTD, and more than 50% of tokens are down -40% or more YTD. Worse, some of this year’s winners are complete nonsense coins and memecoins that no serious investor would even look at (looking your way, $LTC and $BCH).
The only reason some even refer to this as a bull market is because the handful of well-known large-cap tokens are higher YTD
BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, & XRP are all +20-40% YTD.
This is the TradFi equivalent of the DJIA and $GME having a good year, while IWM (small caps) are -40%
I'm fed up with misinformation in crypto. Somehow the world seems to be getting even LESS educated on what is happening with the true growth of blockchain. For every rational, honest, factual take, there are 100 dishonest, incorrect takes floating around.
A thread 👇
Take this blurb from @NYDIG
Really? Everything that isn't BTC is still an “altcoin”? There are 10+ distinct sectors now, & hundreds of different token types (asset-backed, quasi-equity amortizing buyback tokens, debt-like, etc).
Stop pandering to the dumb & start educating.
To take this space seriously, we must differentiate the wheat from the chaff. We put together a taxonomy almost 5 years ago - it’s definitely not a brand-new concept. Take the time to learn and teach.
The market is losing its mind over the $TRUMP coin, and completely missing the plot. Here’s why this is going to be incredibly long-term bullish for the industry (and it has nothing to do with TRUMP coin itself).
Thread 👇
To start, the pushback for 3+ years from both potential token issuers and potential investors in the U.S. has been “regulatory concerns”. This is now completely eradicated when the President himself is both and issuer and an investor
Now, just because the President issued a memecoin doesn’t mean the entire world will only focus on memecoins. Trump validated the technology, yet introduced only one use case of the technology. Potential issuers and investors can see beyond this limited use case
Been tweeting / replying a lot today about the FTX court approved sale of crypto assets, so if you missed key points, here's a summary with a few updates:
1) Galaxy Asset Mgmt, not their trading desk, won the bid. They must act as a fiduciary & sell gradually & opportunistically
2) Galaxy is receiving massive amounts of reverse inquiry already (some from real funds, some fishing expeditions). But OTC sales will dominate the buying. Less likely to see a lot of selling on exchange or via TWAPs. As good bids come in, they will engage.
3) The $100mm max per week is really not relevant. They can ask for court approval if they get a bigger block bid, and they don't have to sell anything in any given week. The $100mm was just a guideline to prevent dumping and destroying value for the estate.
Mostly irrelevant since no one operates in the US anymore and a bunch of non-criminal charges for past wrongdoings don’t really matter.
I see 2 actual negatives from this: ⬇️
1) SEC explicitly defining certain tokens randomly as securities could lead to delistings on Kraken & coinbase or any other US exchange
2) negative sentiment effect if CZ is out and people loved him
That’s about all I see. Pretty benign otherwise.
From a market standpoint... how many times can you rally on the same news over and over again (2020 - corporates buying BTC) or sell off on the same news (2023 - SEC hates crypto)