Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 5 4 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Zelenskyy: I hear signals about recognizing occupied Ukrainian territories as Russian to end the war.

That would change nothing. Not everyone would accept it, and only Ukraine signs for Ukraine. Our territories remain ours.

1/
Zelenskyy: Ukraine’s security guarantees will rest on preserving an 800,000-strong army and, after the war or a ceasefire, transitioning it from a mobilized force to a professional contract army.

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More from @Mylovanov

Feb 7
Ukraine forced Starlink to cut off Russian troops.

After Kyiv’s request, SpaceX blocked unregistered terminals, disrupting Russian frontline communications and drone control. Russian military bloggers report widespread outages — NYT 1/ Image
Russia had used smuggled Starlink terminals for years.

Recently, Russian forces began mounting Starlink on drones, improving targeting and reducing vulnerability to jamming. 2/
Defense minister Mykhailo Fedorov coordinated with SpaceX.

Starlink now works in Ukraine only for government-verified terminals. Contraband Russian devices were locked out via a whitelist. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 6
Ukrainian POWs were forced to exhume civilians killed by Russia in Mariupol.

Marine Serhii Hrytsiv: “Over four weeks, we dug up around 800 civilian bodies.” Russia made prisoners clean up the crime scene — then blamed them for it, reports. 1/ Slidstvo.InfoImage
Every morning at 4 am, POWs were taken from Olenivka colony to ruined Mariupol.

Serhii Hrytsiv: “They divided us into groups of 5 and drove us into the city.” They dug in courtyards, gardens, mass graves, under collapsed homes. 2/ Image
The dead included children and elderly people.

Serhii Hrytsiv: “Many died from shelling, hunger, cold, no medical care.” Some bodies were torn apart. Often they could reach only one victim while entire families remained buried under concrete. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Feb 6
Plan A for Ukraine: foreign troops on the ground, air patrols, and naval presence, with the United States as a backstop.

Plan B: an 800,000-strong Ukrainian army.

Politico argues that with a neighbor like Russia, Ukraine must rely primarily on itself to preserve peace. 1/ Image
Ukraine no longer treats political security guarantees as a sufficient foundation for survival.

Decades of broken promises—from the 1994 nuclear disarmament pledges onward—have taught Kyiv that written assurances can fail at the decisive moment. 2/
Ursula von der Leyen described Ukraine’s future model as a “steel porcupine,” a country so heavily armed and resilient that any aggressor would find it impossible to digest.

This is a design requirement. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Feb 6
Russian occupation makes young Ukrainian men illegal on their own land: join Russia’s army, or go to prison. So they run.

In 2024 alone, Russia drafted 5,500 men from Crimea. Since 2015, it has drafted 50,000+ Crimean residents into the Russian army. — Hromadske.

1/ Image
Vasyl, 20, from Crimea got his first draft notice at 18 — at work.

He hid, moved across Russia, and fled through Belarus to Ukraine in Dec. 2025 — without documents.

2/
Bogdan, 18, from occupied Berdiansk, faced the same path.

Russian authorities pulled him from class, took him to a psychiatric hospital, registered him for the draft, and told him: “Free until 2026. Then — the army.”

3/
Read 11 tweets
Feb 5
For Putin, the end of the war would be a referendum on his presidency. He fears that verdict.

That is why he keeps sending soldiers into the grinder — to preserve the appearance of control and momentum, writes Michael Kimmage and Hanna Norte in FA. 1/ Image
On the eve of invading Ukraine in 2022, Russia held a workable global position.

It had strong ties with China, deep economic links with Europe, and a “functioning” relationship with the United States.

Russia was flexible, connected, and not isolated. 2/
The invasion destroyed that position overnight.

Europe and the U.S. became adversaries.

Russia lost diplomatic leverage in Europe and became structurally dependent on China for trade, technology, and markets. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Feb 5
Kyrylo Veres, commander of Ukraine’s K2 unmanned systems brigade: Reaching 50,000 confirmed enemy losses per month is realistic.

Unconfirmed can become near 80,000.

When you add unverified losses from infantry, and artillery, the real number is much higher.

1/
Kyrylo Veres: In the army, every specialist has a cost. As cynical as it sounds.

Training an FPV drone pilot costs about 300 times more than training an infantryman.

2/
Kyrylo Veres: If there’s another breakthrough toward Kyiv, many fighters will want to leave to defend their homes. Then it will collapse on both fronts.

I know this personally — in 2022, when my home near Kyiv was occupied, I begged my brigade commander to let me go.

3/
Read 5 tweets

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