The reason I am getting very frustrated about this, is that this is the single biggest danger facing humanity. That there is a complete failure to understand how no one has ever investigated how biodiversity and natural ecosystems, sustain our society.
1/🧵
Everyone, including most senior scientists, just seem to assume:
1) That science, and experts understand how natural systems sustain our societies/civilization.
2) How stable and resilient our societies/civilization, will be to the collapse of these natural systems.
2/
This is because of an entirely false assumption, in modern Western culture, that our societies/civilization, somehow exist, independent of natural systems (biodiversity, ecosystems, the climate).
3/
Where it is falsely perceived, that if these natural systems "collapsed", that somehow our societies/civilizations, would somehow just carry on, albeit with a bit of inconvenience. Where the most likely outcome, is our civilization would just implode, and collapse.
4/
This is simply because our societies/civilizations, and everything connected to them like the economy, financial system, and everything else, are themselves systems, inexorably linked to natural systems. One can't collapse, and the other not be effected by this.
5/
It is very important to understand what the "collapse" of biodiversity and ecosystems means, because there is almost no real understanding of this, amongst climate scientists, most other scientists, and those concerned about the environment.
6/
They all talk about this collapse, without apparently having any understanding of what this actually means. By collapse, it doesn't mean they would cease to exist, because if they did, we'd have disappeared long before.
7/
No matter what we do to biodiversity, and natural ecosystems, no matter how badly we damage them, they won't cease to exist. By collapse, we mean change state, so they'd no longer support and sustain, what they did before.
8/
Primarily, what this means for us, is that they would no longer sustain, our societies and civilization, which actually could just totally disappear. Although this is not likely to happen all at once.
9/
Life, biodiversity, and ecosystems have existed on Earth for over 3.5 billion years, in an unbroken chain, and it'd be very difficult to completely destroy them, as even if the planet was blown apart, then extremophiles would likely persist in the fragments of the planet.
10/
Whereas modern humans have only been around for about 2-300,000 years, and civilizations, cities, for maybe less than 6,000 years. Therefore, there is no good reason but hubris, to suppose they will always be around.
11/
I mean, industrial civilization is only about 250 years old, and the world as we know it now, for less than 100 years. It is only hubris, which makes us assume that it will always be there. It would hardly be the first civilization to collapse.
12/
The assumption people make, is that somehow, somewhere, there are experts and science, that understand, how this biodiversity and ecosystems, sustain our society. There really aren't.
13/
The only science that studies how the diversity of organisms, sustain each other through their relationships, is ecology. Yet it doesn't study how that network of organisms, supports humanity and our civilization.
14/
I should know this, because I'm a graduate in scientific ecology, and I know very well, that humanity and our civilization, is treated as if it is somehow apart, and not reliant on natural systems, which is just bullshit, and a cultural delusion.
15/
So anyone who just assumes, that this is understood, is making a baseless assumption. I have looked very hard to find what is known about this, talked to leading scientists and ecologists, and most never seem to have even thought about it.
16/
Currently, we have environmentalists and green politicians complaining that the "National security assessment on global ecosystems", has been redacted. I can't say if it has, but what I can say with 100% certainty, is not much more is known about it.
Everything you need to know is already there, and if you want to know more about what this actually means for our societies, then there are no experts, no scientific assessments to tell you more, because no one is studying it.
18/
This is what I am desperately trying to get across to people, is that yes we do need to know far more about this. However, this could only be achieved, with massive funding, and bringing all the disparate experts on parts of the problem together, to evaluate it.
19/
There is currently no research project, or field of science, trying to understand it. It is not being hidden from the public.
Rather, governments have failed to fund research into it, because they don't want to know how bad it is.
20/
@threadreaderapp unroll
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
Hi Caroline, I agree, if the report has been redacted, the full version should be made available. However, as I have been trying to explain to @GreenRupertRead the thinness of the report, is not really due to redaction, and anyone with insight, should know that this is as serious as it gets.
However, the real problem, is that there is absolutely no field of expertise here, no field of science, no institute studying this, no experts, that could tell you what this actually means for our societies/civilization.
I'm a graduate in scientific ecology, I have spent over 30 years investigating this, and trying to alert people to the fact, that there is no field of science, no institute, and no experts, who know what this actually means for our societies, because absolutely no one is studying.
Everyone, including scientists, wrongly assumes there are experts and research on this, but there are none. I have challenged leading scientists, to point to who is doing the research, and where, and none can tell me.
I am being so totally ignored on this, that I feel like giving up, and I have vastly more education and insight into this, than those ignoring me, and stonewalling me.
I will put a peer reviewed paper, in the tweet below, that absolutely proves, that absolutely no one is studying the threat to our civilization, which the climate and ecological crisis poses. Talk about denial. Well, just wait until you start starving to death, and remember I did warn you about it. threadreaderapp.com/thread/2018757…
1/2
This should be the biggest story in the world today. If anyone states billions could starve to death, in the not so distant future, a lot of techno-optimist climate scientists will come along, and falsely accuse you of being alarmist, because there is no scientific evidence, that says climate change, poses this sort of risk to our societies.
Actually, they are right that there is no scientific evidence, the climate change could collapse our civilization. But that's because:
1) There's no research at all into the resilience of our societies/civilization, to climate/ecological shocks. So of course there's no science to support these concerns.
2) Secondly, the threat to us is from a combination of biodiversity and ecological collapse (which climate scientists are not qualified to comment on) and climate change. No one is researching the combined impact of both. There is no field of science that studies this.
Scientific ecology, only studies the interaction of populations of non-human organisms, with the natural environment, including climate change. It deliberately excludes humans, and human society. I know, because I'm a graduate in it.
The main reason this is not studied, is the complexity, which is many more magnitudes greater than anything else humanity studied. But just because it is complex, doesn't mean we should be ignoring it, as our lives depend on it, and there could be mass starvation in the near future, if we do not get real. pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn…
2/2
PS. - For crying out loud, will someone please respond to this, and stop ignoring what I am saying, just because it is too complex for you to understand. I don't mind people disagreeing with me, calling me an alarmist, if only they will support why they are saying this, with references and evidence. Stop the denial. We can avert catastrophe, if only we investigate this and acknowledge the problem.
I am not a doomer. I am saying we can avert catastrophe, if only we first investigate the situation, and it will be discovered that what I am saying is true. Secondly, upon this realization, we not only totally change our system, but abandon artificially induced competitive, induced for economic growth, and switch to a cooperative system, which would avoid total system collapse, as people would work together, not against each other.
I will not let anyone pretend that they are really concerned about the ecological and climate crisis, until they acknowledge this situation. Otherwise, you are just trying to look good.
As I say, if people dispute what I say, and try to claim I am wrong and don't know what I am talking about, support your point. But every time someone has tried in well over 30 years, I totally destroy their arguments, and they have to concede, that what I am saying is correct. But then they just go quiet, and don't want to discuss it.
"Flawed economic models mean climate crisis could crash global economy, experts warn"
@ProfSteveKeen has been pointing out the flaws in William Nordhaus fatally flawed DICE model for a very long time. They should now give that prize to Steve Keen.
I have been pointing out that the climate crisis will crash the global economy, for over 3 decades. However, I lacked @ProfSteveKeen economics expertise, to explain why, in economic terms. My analysis was derived from ecology and systems theory.
2/
It was only when I read @ProfSteveKeen systematic demolition of William Nordhaus' intellectually dishonest DICE model, that I realized why governments had been. misled to believe the impacts of climate change on our system, would be slight.
3/
I'm making a very serious point here. The way natural ecosystems and biodiversity, support our societies and economies, has never been systematically studied, despite us destroying the natural systems our lives depend on, and no one is the slightest bit interested in that? 1/3
Very few people, almost no one, is aware of what I'm saying here. Most people, including most scientists, wrongly assume somewhere it's known, how natural ecosystems and biodiversity sustain us. That there is expertise in this. But where is it? The cat got your tongue?
2/3
In my lifetime of investigating this, the only people I've come across who truly understand the total unsustainability of our modern systems, and how natural ecosystems and biodiversity sustain us, are indigenous cultures. Our culture seems free of this insight.
3/3
I wrote a thread on the ecological impacts to our societies, explaining climate change was just one small, but very significant part of those ecological impacts. Remember, in 2024, UK farming suffered big losses in yield, because of rain.
This was the thread I wrote, and without a huge amount of words, I can only partially explain what I was getting at. That we need to urgently develop a holistic, joined up way of thinking, who understand all these serious challenges we face as a whole.
There are 2 very different ways of looking at the increased flooding we are experiencing in the UK, and other parts of the world. The first is to look at it as a singular problem, in terms of specifics of flood engineering. This is relevant, but only part of it.
3/
This is reality, within the near future, I mean the next few years/decades, we are going to get hit, by cascading ecological impacts, and climate change is just one part of this.
Whether we act on this, is up to us, but if we ignore it, we face catastrophic consequences.
1/🧵
I have been warning about the ecological impacts, this report, essentially by the UK intelligence services, warns of, for decades. I suppose I better dig out some links to prove it. But what I said doesn't matter.
What matters, is that it is going to happen, it already is happening, and there is massive evidence for global ecosystem collapse. Everything, our civilization, our lives, our economies, totally relies on ecosystems, which are collapsing.
3/
A big thanks to Rupert Read for sharing this. This is the latest in a long line of reports, highlighting the the unsustainability of our present system, and that serious problems lie ahead. Last week, we had the Nature Security Assessment on biodiversity.
1/🧵
There is nothing particularly new about this, there is a long line of similar such assessments, by all manner of institutions, from military, government, corporate, financial institutions going back decades.
All are essentially ignored by governments, our politicians.
2/
Here's the outline of assessment by UK Intelligence services, on the threats from biodiversity collapse, ecosystem collapse. Apparently it is redacted.