Sean Casten Profile picture
Feb 7 13 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Re next week's vote on the SAVE Act, rewatch this scene from The Breakfast Club. It's funny because no one gets a fake ID so they can vote. And - no matter what some racist, demagogic Republican tells you - voting is not why immigrants come to America.
1. Here is the bill they are bringing to the floor next week. It requires that you must have proof of citizenship in order to vote. docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/…
2. This is the legislative equivalent of requiring that you prove you graduated from 4th grade before you can apply to graduate school - in the sense that it doesn't solve a real problem but would hurt folks who can't access those records.
3. Are there post-doc researchers somewhere who failed to pass 4th grade? Probably. But if you think that's more than 0.0001% of our graduate student population, then it's a bigger problem than the number of people pulling a Brian Johnson. Image
5. So if non-citizen voting isn't a problem, what's the point of this bill? Easy: to make it harder for people to vote who don't have easy access to their proof of citizenship.
6. That cohort is quite large and - non-coincidentally - tends not prioritize billionaire tax cuts, pedophile protection or the rest of the modern GOP's agenda, which poses a threat to the advocates of those causes who's access to power depends on winning elections.
7. People who are unhoused / estranged from their family and can't track down their birth certificate. People who never had cause to travel outside the US and don't have / can't afford a passport. And perhaps most significantly...
8. ... the ~80% of married women who changed their last name and no longer have a birth certificate that matches their name on the voting rolls.
9. Some will argue that NOT ALL people who are young / homeless / never left the US / married women / etc will be disenfranchised by this bill, nor will all vote democratic. But that's like saying that not everyone who couldn't pay a poll tax in 1880s Alabama was Black.
10. You don't need to swing every vote to flip an election. You just need to swing enough. And a measure that disproportionately disenfranchises those who won't vote for you makes it easier for you to win.
11. We all know that the arguments made to justify poll taxes - revenue for public works, ensuring "responsible" voters was all BS. It was just to disenfranchise people. The justifications - and purpose - of the SAVE Act are no different.
12. Bottom line: when you have unpopular ideas in a democracy, you have three choices (a) try to persuade people on the merits (b) change your position or (c) voter suppression. The SAVE Act is unambiguously, and solely designed for option (c). /fin

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More from @SeanCasten

Jan 3
The legal justification the WH gave us for attacking Venezuelan boats in int’l waters without Congressional approval was weak, and exposes the WH and military staff to domestic and international criminal prosecution. They have not even sought to justify strikes within Venezuela.
1. Their justification - dutifully repeated by every sycophantic member of the @HouseGOP was that some drugs kill Americans so any international actor who sells or traffics drugs is engaged in war against America. You can drive a bus through that logic, as I noted last month
@HouseGOP 2. Before we left Washington last month we were given a classified briefing by Hegseth and Rubio about Venezuela that contained no classified information other than details on the location of certain military assets that were irrelevant to the question at hand.
Read 15 tweets
Dec 20, 2025
This Yglesias piece in the NYT is really bad. Almost every "fact" it cites is provably false. At best it is cocktail party banter from a pundit who knows nothing of energy. At worst, it was cut/paste from oil industry talking points. So, a rebuttal: nytimes.com/2025/12/18/opi…
1. First: the elephant in the room that he doesn't mention explicitly but haunts the whole piece: climate change is real, we've already overshot and the only way to turn the corner is to leave fossil fuel in the ground. To ignore that is to talk about rocketry and ignore gravity.
2. What he says about climate is patently false (more on that later) but to the extent he's saying "politicians shouldn't do the right thing unless it's popular", I'd note only that that is a toddlers view of leadership. If the popular kids are mean, should you be mean?
Read 50 tweets
Nov 25, 2025
There are complicated, structural reasons for the recent surge in electric prices (maybe a future thread on that) and beware of simple narratives. But prioritizing the most expensive generation is, quite literally, the dumbest possible solution. Image
One of many tragedies here is that the states that are seeing the fastest rate increases are in the central part of the country where historic reliance on coal and a political fear of change have the potential to conspire and make this much worse. Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 30, 2025
Time for a nerd thread on monetary policy in light of the Feds rate cut yesterday. TL;DR: we are in unchartered waters here on account of Trump's tariff policies and general weakening of the US economy that @GOP policies will make worse. nytimes.com/live/2025/10/2…
1. First - if you're a macroeconomist, you can skip ahead as I want to start with some pretty basic stuff. Because statistically speaking, most people aren't macroeconomists.
2. In 1977, The Federal Reserve Act created the "dual mandate" that says that the Fed's obligation is to keep unemployment and inflation low. richmondfed.org/publications/r…
Read 18 tweets
Oct 26, 2025
It's been a while since I've done a non-political nerd thread. And I wish I could do them more often! So let's do a palette cleanse to talk about this article from WaPo that is technically true, but deeply misinformative about US electric markets. washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…
1. Read the whole article, but the big problem is this paragraph. It's true that electricity isn't like other markets, but not because it has high fixed costs. It's because it is a regulated market that isn't subject to those forces you learn in Economics 101. Image
2. Econ 101 doesn't say that falling demand forces lower costs. It says that happens IF you have competitive markets. When demand falls, you cut costs to try and hold onto market share - not because your changing cost structure compels you to pass savings onto your customers.
Read 23 tweets
Oct 25, 2025
Mike Johnson refuses to open the House. Refuses to do oversight. Refuses to defend the Constitutional rights that only protect so long as they are enforced. Refuses to stand up to child predators. So we organized our own hearing in Chicago yesterday.
And if you’re objecting to this on the grounds that I accused Trump of being a child predator… well, you can choose to follow Mike Johnsons example and protect child predators too. Or you could insist on the release of the Epstein files that might clear his name.
Maybe that release will explain why this isn’t as disgusting and criminal as it sounds. courthousenews.com/wp-content/upl…Image
Read 8 tweets

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