LA HD 60 TAKE
Looking at precinct data and comparing against other races in the recent past, I'll give this the "Looziana English" treatment: Chasity Martinez was the equivalent of John Bel Edwards 2015/9 & far outpaced typical Democratic margins of support in the district
(1/)
Looking at precinct data and comparing against other races in the recent past, I'll give this the "Looziana English" treatment: Chasity Martinez was the equivalent of John Bel Edwards 2015/9 & far outpaced typical Democratic margins of support in the district
(1/)
(1) White EDay turnout was 21%, while black turnout was 15% (in the River Parishes, Democrats still have a robust turnout infrastructure)
(2) Black EV turnout was much lower than it was in 2024 - and even in the 2023 Governor's race
(2/)
(2) Black EV turnout was much lower than it was in 2024 - and even in the 2023 Governor's race
(2/)
2026:72-27% white/black and 47-39% Dem/Rep
2024:64-34% white/black and 49-37% D/R
2023: 62-37% white/black and 54-33% D/R
(3) This district pre Trump 2016 ALWAYS voted Dem
(4) IOW, Inds/less partisan Reps (who my polling showed had a 20% defection to the Dem) matter.A LOT.
(3/3)
2024:64-34% white/black and 49-37% D/R
2023: 62-37% white/black and 54-33% D/R
(3) This district pre Trump 2016 ALWAYS voted Dem
(4) IOW, Inds/less partisan Reps (who my polling showed had a 20% defection to the Dem) matter.A LOT.
(3/3)
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