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Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
@Mylovanov
Feb 9 • 6 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
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The EU may give Ukraine EU-level protections before full membership

The EU is weighing a peace-deal formula that grants Kyiv early access to EU membership rights and safeguards, locking in a time-bound path to full accession, possibly by 2027 — Bloomberg.

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One option would grant Ukraine up-front accession protections, legal, economic, and regulatory safeguards, plus immediate access to selected EU rights, before formal membership.

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At the same time, the EU would lock in a time-bound accession roadmap, fixed steps and deadlines, replacing today’s open-ended process that can stall for years.

3/
Other scenarios are:

- the standard accession path
- or a transition phase with gradually expanding EU rights before full entry

All would be tied to a peace framework.

4/
Zelenskyy has called EU membership by 2027 a security guarantee, not a symbolic goal, anchoring Ukraine inside EU law, markets, and institutions.

5X
Source: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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More from @Mylovanov

Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 9
Shot and bleeding in a dugout, Ukrainian soldier convinced his Russian captors to surrender.

Volodymyr Aleksandrov lay wounded in hand and pelvis as an FPV mine blocked the entrance and drones hunted above. “If I was going to die, I would take them with me” — Hromadske. 1/ Image
Russian troops ambushed Aleksandrov and his partner while they collected food dropped by drone.

Russians fired from a house, wounded him, argued over killing him, then kept him alive to register a live prisoner for money. 2/
Russians carried Aleksandrov into the dugout and stepped on their own FPV mine.

The blast tore off part of one soldier’s leg, wounded another, and hit Aleksandrov again — shrapnel wounded his shoulder and ear and left him concussed. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 9
Russia gave its main security agency legal power to shut down internet and phone service nationwide. Like in Iran: cut the web when protests erupt.

If crowds fill Moscow’s streets, the switch is ready — United24.

1/ Image
The State Duma passed the law on Jan. 27.

The UK Ministry of Defence says it lets the FSB order total communication blackouts for vaguely defined “security threats,” with no clear limits and no oversight.

2/
The order takes effect immediately.

Telecom operators must cut internet, mobile, landline, and messaging services the moment the FSB demands it — no court order, no appeal.

3/
Read 6 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 9
Kallas: We haven’t seen any concessions on the Russian side. We only have seen what Ukrainians are willing to concede to end this war.

Russia is the problem that has been attacking its neighbors. To prevent war from expanding, we should have concessions on the Russian side. 1/
Kallas: There will always be people in the West who will offer you something so that you walk away with more than you had.

The size of the Ukrainian army is not the problem. The size of the Russian army and military budget is a problem for all its neighbors. 2X
Source:
Read 4 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 9
Beevor, British historian: We are seeing a fresh conflict developing, a second Cold war, with Putin and the rise of China and the threat from Xi.

It is an extension of the Cold War, but also a new era of geopolitics, a split between authoritarianism and democracy. 1/
Beevor: In second Cold War, geopolitics are changing so rapidly. Russian and Chinese leaders used to stick with agreements. We’re not seeing that anymore. We cannot trust Putin to stick to anything he says. It will be seen as one of the greatest self-inflicted disasters in history. 2/
Beevor: We are not going to see a 1917 February revolution in the streets. That’s impossible because a revolution depends on the collapse of willpower of the ruling elite. They know they’ve got nowhere to go except perhaps for Qatar or Dubai into exile. 3X
Read 5 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 9
Jean Akimana, Burundian POW: I thought I’d go to uni. I went to Russia to study. Russians made us sign some papers we didn’t understand.

After signing, a military vehicle took us to camp. We didn’t have anyone to help us in Russia. We didn’t know what we signed up for — U24.

1/
Akimana: I saw a Pakistani guy and asked him what did I sign. He said I signed up to be a soldier.

I tried to deny, but he said “If you are already in a military zone — accept it.”

2/
Akimana: Russians treated us badly. Fed us poorly, sometimes didn’t give us food at all.

And then they took us to the frontline.

They took pur phones. The last time I talked with family was when I only arrived to Russia.

3/
Read 7 tweets
Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Feb 9
Russian soldier came to Ukraine as occupier in 2022. Now he evacuates Ukrainian soldiers under fire in Avdiivka and serves as a tank gunner in the Russian Volunteer Corps.

Russia still pays child support for his three kids back home — Ukrainian Witness. 1/
“Chornyi” was mobilized in 2022. Airborne troops. Father of three. Could have avoided service.

Сhornyi: "I went to war out of stupidity. To prove to someone that they were wrong. I was sure I could come home." He couldn't. 2/
He was deployed to the 83rd Airborne Assault Brigade. Sent to Dzhankoy, then to a village near Armyansk. They did nothing.

Dug trenches. Mined beaches near Energodar. The mines floated away. Exploded near the nuclear plant. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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