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Feb 11 24 tweets 5 min read Read on X
1/ Russian warbloggers are outraged at the Russian government's view that blocking Telegram is no big deal for frontline troops. They say it's a catastrophe heaped on the disaster of losing Starlink and that anyone who says Telegram isn't needed is talking "complete bullshit". ⬇️ Image
2/ Dmitri Peskov, Vladimir Putin's spokesman, says: "I don't think it's possible to imagine frontline communications being provided via Telegram or some other messenger. It's difficult and impossible to imagine such a thing."
3/ However, it is very much a thing, as warbloggers have been pointing out furiously. 'Callsign Bruce' provides an example of how it is used to avoid friendly fire incidents:

"I'll give you a real-life example from one of the directions."
4/ "A drone pilot is flying at night in free hunt mode. He approaches a grey zone where no one's "pencils" have been moving for a long time.

The pilot doesn't know the exact situation in this area because his neighbours are responsible for it.
5/ "He's simply flying through this zone behind enemy lines to reap his harvest. And then, out of the blue, he sees a group of infantry moving in this very zone. A perfect target. But it's night, you can't see who it is, only heat signatures. And the zone is grey.
6/ "The pilot, not being an idiot, immediately reports this to the commander at the control centre via [Telegram]. Like, "Comrade Commander, check with your neighbours. What if it's ours? Maybe they've advanced?"
7/ "The commander logs into [Telegram ] and messages the neighbouring regiment, "Guys, there's movement at this point. Yours?"

It turns out it's ours. If the neighbours had been smarter, they would have warned the pilots from the start. But that's just the way it is.
8/ "So the pilot didn't engage his own troops and flew on to search for the enemy.

The moral of the story is that with other available means of communication, it wouldn't have been possible to clarify the situation so quickly.
9/ "Either the pilot would have unknowingly engaged his own troops, or he would have missed the enemy group, thinking they were his own."

(Possible friendly fire incidents linked to the Starlink shutdown have already been reported.)
10/ 'Archangel Spetsnaz' reports what frontline troops are forecasting:

"The primary problem is the loss of interunit coordination: established communication channels will collapse."
11/ "Without internet access at the front lines, the transmission of intelligence will slow, and the absence of Telegram will exacerbate this situation by adding a delay in information at the command level.
12/ "For example, a Mavic unit detects an enemy on the move at 10:00 a.m., transmits this information to its operational officers within a minute, then (without Telegram) via intercom to the unit commander, then to the reconnaissance command post, then from the reconnaissance…
13/ …command post, the information will be transmitted to the remaining units for fire engagement and then back to the unit. In the best-case scenario, the information will travel several hours, instead of 1-2 minutes via Telegram.
14/ "The intelligence will be irrelevant within 10-15 minutes, and fire engagement will be inadvisable, affecting the effectiveness of the troops.
15/ "With Telegram, interaction between operational officers is direct, and a response to a target occurs within seconds. A drone appears in the air a minute after detecting a target, allowing us to "catch" the enemy in motion.
16/ "This will essentially set us back a couple of years, roughly to the very beginning of the war. However, alternative methods are already being devised, and recovery will be a long process.
17/ "The current war is very dynamic, and the foundation of this dynamic is a rapid response to changing circumstances, so any delays will negatively impact combat operations.
18/ "Training will also suffer, since our entire front depends on it: training for the Mavics, which brings victory on the battlefield, will go to zero.
19/ "Information warfare will also suffer greatly, because it was built up over a long period, and now everything will simply be abandoned, and everything will fall to the enemy."

Platon Mamatov explains that "frontline communications are provided via Telegram."
20/ "This includes coordination of actions within and between units, intelligence exchange, ensuring the fire engagement of targets, objective monitoring of the results of engagements, information support for logistics, evacuation of the wounded, and so on.
21/ "No alternatives to this method of communication have emerged in four years of war. And none are expected in the near future.
22/ "Radio communications are built primarily on mass-market Chinese radios and serve an auxiliary function of exchanging non-classified information over a distance of no more than ten kilometers."
23/ 'DSHRG Rusych' agrees, and adds:

"Everything relies on Telegram chats: information exchange, coordinates, broadcasts (often conducted on the now-blocked Discord), and so on. [Peskov's] degree of detachment from reality is simply astounding." /end

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More from @ChrisO_wiki

Jul 27
1/ Russia isn't winning in Ukraine and it's all the fault of Russian society, says an angry Russian warblogger. Seeking an explanation for why (in the eyes of warbloggers) Russia has not yet started "fighting for real", he blames ordinary Russians for apathy and cowardice. ⬇️ Image
2/ Russian society has been massively atomised under the rule of Vladimir Putin, with the near-destruction of most civil society organisations (apart from a limited number approved of or tolerated by the state). Passive subservience is welcomed; collective action is discouraged.
3/ This nuance seems to have passed by the author of the 'It's Time To Go Home ZOV' Telegram channel, who thinks that his fellow citizens, rather than the oppressive regime they live under, are to blame for the current situation:
Read 18 tweets
Jul 27
1/ Wildberries sellers are generally blaming the Russian government, rather than Ukraine, for their losses. It's an interesting and striking dynamic, which Russian warbloggers say the Russian government itself has created through its suppression of bad news. ⬇️ Image
2/ Over the last couple of weeks, Russian social media has been flooded with videos of distraught Wildberries sellers weeping over their huge losses as a result of Ukrainian drone strikes against warehouses across Russia.
3/ Tens to hundreds of thousands of small and medium-sized businesses have lost much if not all of their stock, with total financial losses just from inventory alone already reckoned to be in the billions of dollars. Ukraine, however, has received surprisingly little blame.
Read 21 tweets
Jul 27
1/ A rare Russian armoured assault on 22 June ended in disaster, with the loss of numerous vehicles and the reported deaths of scores of Russians. Russian warbloggers are scathing about the losses, seeing the attack as incompetent. ⬇️
2/ FT military correspondent Andrey Filatov is highly critical, using a standard euphemism for the Russian army to evade censorship:
3/ "The enemy's video report is all standard fare: analog FPV, fiber optics, Mavics. The new thing is a strike wing approaching a stationary "shed" [turtle tank] All these threats can be worked on, but they're not for the brilliant commanders of the Laotian army...
Read 15 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin has strongly hinted that Russia should claim the entire eastern half of Ukraine, going far beyond the existing annexation of the Donbas and southern Ukraine. He foresees a future in which western Ukraine is also annexed by its neighbours. ⬇️
2/ In a meeting with sailors in St Petersburg to mark Navy Day today, Putin extensively discussed Russia's historical rights over Ukraine, highlighting in the process his obsession with Russian and Ukrainian history and his dubious reading of it.
3/ He told them that "Ukraine has always been divided into Left-Bank and Right-Bank. Left-Bank Ukraine has always been considered not just Russia-oriented, but part of Russia." Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 26
1/ Vladimir Putin is today celebrating the 330th anniversary of the Russian Navy. However, it's a muted, shrunken event held under the shadow of Ukrainian drone strikes and with the Black Sea Fleet blockaded in Novorossiysk. Russian commentators fear for the Navy's future. ⬇️
2/ Putin has today been at the Main Admiralty of the Russian Navy in St. Petersburg for Navy Day to mark the Navy's 330th anniversary since its foundation under Peter the Great. He spoke of the Navy and Marines' "important role in the Special Military Operation."
3/ "Shipborne complexes are delivering devastating strikes against the enemy with high-precision weapons. Marines are advancing, fighting bravely, skillfully, and fearlessly. The entire country supports them and awaits their return home with victory."
Read 32 tweets
Jul 26
1/ A Russian commander has reportedly come up with a novel form of 'flag-sticking', the practice of planting flags in Ukrainian-held territory to falsely report advances. He was reportedly caught using AI to fake flag-sticking events to conceal his territorial losses. ⬇️ Image
2/ 'Donetsk Infantry' has posted an insight into the problems that the Russian command is continuing to have. with false reports from the ground. These have led to the war being fought on the basis of grossly inaccurate control of terrain maps.
3/ He writes: "On the role of AI in the Ministry of Defence’s reports," likely with reference to one of the areas in the Zaporizhzhia region where Ukrainian forces have recently been reported to be advancing.
Read 5 tweets

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